AFC Championship Game Player Prop Bets – Chiefs vs. Ravens

Welcome back to Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets.

We are two games away from determining who will play in Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas. Hopefully, bettors have more money in their pockets than they started the playoffs with. Yet, the grind never stops. So, let’s not waste any time and get down to business.

Chiefs vs. Ravens Player Prop Bets

The AFC Championship Game is between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Baltimore Ravens. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, sports bettors only care about making money. However, which prop bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for the AFC Championship Game.

All props and odds are from DraftKings. Not on DraftKings? Check out PrizePicks. 

Sign up for PrizePicks with the promo code FACEOFF for a 100% match up to $100!

Lamar Jackson Over 64.5 Rushing Yards (-130)

The Ravens have had one of the worst-luck backfields in recent NFL history. They lost J.K. Dobbins to a season-ending injury in Week 1. Meanwhile, Keaton Mitchell suffered a torn ACL in Week 15 against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Thankfully, Jackson has managed to put the running game on his back, leading the team in rushing yards during the regular season. The superstar has averaged 69.4 rushing yards per game over the past five contests.

More importantly, he had 100 rushing yards last week. The superstar has always used his legs more in the playoffs than in the regular season. Jackson has averaged 103.3 rushing yards per game during the postseason since his rookie year, totaling 100 or more yards in all but one contest. Meanwhile, the Chiefs surrendered 72 rushing yards to Josh Allen last week. More aggressive bettors should be the alternate rushing line for Jackson at 100 or more at +390.

Isiah Pacheco Over 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Bettors need to keep track of the injury report this week. Pacheco didn’t practice on Wednesday because of toe and ankle injuries. However, he should be ready to play on Sunday. The second-year running back averaged 66.8 rushing yards per game during the regular season. He ended the year on fire, totaling 130 rushing yards in his final regular season matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals, averaging over seven yards per attempt.

Furthermore, Pacheco has had at least 89 rushing yards in both postseason matchups this year. He has totaled at least 76 rushing yards in four of five career playoff games. Meanwhile, the Ravens shut down the Houston Texans rushing attack last week. However, they gave up 102.2 rushing yards per game to running backs over their final five regular-season contests, surrendering 103 or more in all but one matchup. Pacheco should keep up his recent hot streak.

Justice Hill Over 11.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Baltimore’s backfield has become a two-headed attack with Gus Edwards and Hill. Edwards is the power back, totaling 13 rushing touchdowns during the regular season, accounting for 65% of the backfield total. Meanwhile, Hill is the pass-catching back, totaling 206 receiving yards during the regular season, accounting for 38.2% of the team’s running back total. The former Oklahoma State star averaged 12.9 receiving yards per game during the regular season.

Yet, Hill has earned more of a role in the passing game lately. He has averaged 33 receiving yards per game over the past four contests, totaling 26 or more in all but one matchup. Meanwhile, Kansas City surrendered 27.9 receiving yards per game to running backs during the regular season. However, they’ve given up 40 receiving yards per game to running backs during the playoffs, including 14 or more to three Buffalo Bills’ running backs last week.

Travis Kelce Over 61.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

Unfortunately, Kelce suffered a knee injury right before the start of the regular season. The superstar tight end never looked 100% healthy, as he battled multiple injuries throughout the year. Yet, he still averaged 65.6 receiving yards per game, leading the Chiefs for the fourth time in the past five seasons. More importantly, the future Hall of Famer has always picked up his play when it matters the most – during the playoffs.

Last week, Kelce had 75 receiving yards and two touchdowns on only five receptions and six targets in the win over the Bills. He also had 71 receiving yards the week before despite a couple of drops in the freezing cold. Furthermore, the superstar has averaged 87.5 receiving yards per game in 16 career playoff contests with Patrick Mahomes under center, including 70 or more in 11 consecutive matchups. Kelce should keep his receiving yards streak alive on Sunday.

Mark Andrews Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

While everyone thought Andrews’ season was over after suffering a leg injury in the Week 11 win over the Bengals, the superstar tight end was a full participant in Wednesday’s practice and should play this weekend. The veteran led the team in receiving yards per game during the regular season (54.4). He had at least 40 receiving yards in all but one game before suffering the injury against the AFC North division rivals.

Meanwhile, the betting market hopes Andrews will play more of a decoy role than an impactful one on Sunday. However, I don’t think Baltimore would put their franchise tight end on the field if he wasn’t near 100%. Therefore, I would bet the over on this prop until it reaches the low 40s. Last week, Dalton Kincaid had 45 receiving yards against the Chiefs. There is no reason why Andrews can’t have a similar total in the conference championship game.

2024 NFL Draft Quick Links

• Senior Bowl Invite Tracker
• 2024 NFL Draft Eligible Prospects Returning to School
• 2024 NFL Draft Tracker: Underclassman Who Have Declared

Trending Now

2024 NFL Draft Big Board

Weekly Fantasy Football Rankings

Free NFL Picks