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AJ Brown 2024 Fantasy Outlook – Still an Elite WR1?

AJ Brown 2024 Fantasy Outlook – Still an Elite WR1?

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As the 2024 fantasy football season approaches, AJ Brown is a challenging asset to evaluate in both redraft and dynasty fantasy leagues. In this article, we will dive into Brown’s 2024 fantasy football outlook, analyzing his past performances, current team dynamics, and prospects for the upcoming season. Whether you’re considering drafting him early or acquiring him in your dynasty league, this comprehensive analysis will help you decide whether Brown can be an elite fantasy wide receiver in 2024 and beyond.

WR AJ Brown Fantasy Value

In 2023, Brown started strongly, averaging 22.6 PPG from weeks one to nine. However, his performance dropped to 10.8 PPG from Week 10 onward. Will we witness the early-season dominance of Brown, or will the late-season struggles repeat themselves? 

Brown will enter his sixth NFL season in 2024, his third with Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles. In his previous two seasons with the Eagles, Brown has finished as a top-six fantasy wide receiver each year. He has been durable, playing all 17 regular-season games in both 2022 and 2023.

Last year, Brown recorded over 1,456 receiving yards and scored 7 total touchdowns. While these numbers are impressive, he only scored once after Week 9. Despite finishing as a top 12 wide receiver six times in the first nine weeks, Brown only achieved WR1 status once from Week 10 onward. This inconsistency raises concerns about his potential to remain an elite fantasy option.

Fantasy Football Outlook

Heading into 2024, Brown is valued as the WR6 overall, typically drafted in the late first round of redraft fantasy football leagues. Notably, the end of the first round is a great time to select Brown. During the off-season, the Eagles hired former Chargers offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, known for effectively involving star wide receivers, which should benefit Brown.

Dynasty Football Outlook

In dynasty leagues, Brown is ranked as the WR8 according to KeepTradeCut‘s crowdsourced rankings. This ranking suggests he offers good value across dynasty league football formats. Despite being 27 years old, Brown recently signed a three-year, $96 million contract tying him to Jalen Hurts. Notably, Brown has never finished lower than WR6 with Hurts as his quarterback, making his current WR8 price tag potentially undervalued.

Ranked ahead of Brown in the dynasty community is New York Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson. Wilson’s career-best finish came in 2022 when he ranked as WR21. Despite being only 23 years old, Wilson has yet to demonstrate the dominance in the NFL that AJ Brown has shown. Consider trading  Wilson for  Brown and an additional asset to bolster your team’s long-term success!

Conclusion

Overall, Brown is a must-draft wide receiver who can continue to be a prominent figure in the NFL. Whether in redraft or dynasty fantasy football leagues, you can confidently rely on Brown as your team’s top wide receiver. So, is Brown still an elite WR1? In short, yes. Despite his age of 27, Brown remains a worthwhile investment this off-season. 


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Brad Rich Follow me on Instagram and X @ffb_brad