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Bills @ Chiefs Divisional Round: Player Prop Bets

Bills @ Chiefs Divisional Round: Player Prop Bets

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Sunday afternoon features arguably the most exciting matchup of the week as the Buffalo Bills head to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs. Josh Allen versus Patrick Mahomes is a battle between two of the best in the business. This is a future rivalry that the NFL will be seeing a lot of in the future as these two teams are two of the best in the NFL. Let’s dig right into some player prop bets to target in Bills @ Chiefs Divisional Round: Player Prop Bets.

Current Lines:
Over/Under 53.5 Points
Chiefs -2

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Devin Singletary Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-114 PointsBet) 3 Units

Devin Singletary has quickly become the lead back in Buffalo over this last quarter of the season and leading into the playoffs. The last time the Singletary faced the Chiefs, he was sharing time between Zack Moss and Matt Breida. The Bills have since changed up their offensive line and running game scheme and Singletary has had success. The Chiefs defense has been playing better, but still, suspect against the run. They have given up 114 rushing yards per game and if you split that between Josh Allen (more to come) and Singletary, Singletary will hit that over.

Josh Allen Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-115 DraftKings) 3 Units

As mentioned before, there will be room for the Bills to run on Sunday evening. Their offense likes to split the load between Singletary and a mix of designed and improvised runs from Josh Allen. With the Chiefs using a heavy blitz scheme with their pass defense, I expect Allen to be on the run quite a bit. He might not hurdle another Chiefs defender this week, but he easily gets over 51.5 yards this week.

Tyreek Hill Over 71.5 Passing Attempts (-115 Caesars) 3 Units

I mention later that I do think the Bills defense will cause problems in the passing game against the Chiefs, but I do think someone finds some separation. Tyreek Hill seems like the logical choice to find it. Buffalo has been tops in the league against opposing tight ends this year, so I don’t expect a huge game from Travis Kelce, but this will be the first game the Bills will truly miss Tre’Davious White and his speed and coverage skills. The Bills don’t have a speedy defensive back to keep up with Hill and he should be able to find gaps in their zone to pick up some yards.

Cole Beasley Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-110 PointsBet) 1 Unit

I can’t say I am surprised, but with Dawson Knox and Isaiah McKenzie seeing larger roles in the offense it looks like Cole Beasley has been phased out of the Bills offense a bit. However 29.5 yards? I feel like Beasley can find 30 yards on those underneath routes behind the Chiefs blitzing defenders. Also with the high blitz numbers, Allen is going to be under pressure and looking for options and this is the space where Beasley excels. I might be a fool for picking Beasley’s over again this week, but I can’t pass it up.

Patrick Mahomes Under 282.5 Passing Yards (-115 Caesars) 1 Unit

This is more about the Bills defense than Patrick Mahomes. The Bills have the number one passing defense in the league, only allowing 166 yards through the air per game. In the past six games, they have only allowed 167 passing yards per game, and that includes a 351-yard passing performance from Tom Brady in week 14. Back in week five when Buffalo traveled to Kansas City, they held Mahomes to 272 passing yards.  I would put a few bucks on this under.

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Brendan O'Bryan Born and raised a Buffalo Bills fan in Central NY. Overly sarcastic and always play the devil's advocate.