Dalton Kincaid Fantasy 2024 Outlook – Breakout Loading?
The 2024 fantasy football season is close at hand and many drafts will be taking place over the next few weeks. Heading into his second year with the Buffalo Bills, the talented tight end should take over as one of the go-to targets for Josh Allen in the passing game. More importantly, he is in a great spot to help your fantasy football teams out. Find out his value and upside in this Dalton Kincaid fantasy outlook for 2024 and dynasty leagues.
In this article, I’ll dive into Kincaid’s 2024 fantasy football outlook, analyzing last year’s performance, his current team dynamics, and his potential for the upcoming season. Additionally, I’ll explore his strengths and potential red flags. Whether you’re contemplating drafting him or trading for him in your dynasty fantasy football league, this comprehensive analysis will help you make an informed decision on Kincaid for the upcoming season.
TE Dalton Kincaid Fantasy Football Outlook
The first tight end off the board a year ago, Kincaid had a stellar first season for the Bills. The former three-star recruit broke Sammy Watkins’s record for the most catches by a player in their rookie campaign. Overall, he posted 73 receptions for 673 yards and two touchdowns. As a result, the Las Vegas native finished as TE11 in PPR leagues.
Kincaid was especially productive after Dawson Knox was placed on the injured reserve due to a wrist injury. The one-time First-team All-Pac-12 member averaged 7.4 targets, 6.2 catches, and 56.2 receiving yards per game in his absence. This included a 10-81 performance in a week 8 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals.
Dalton Kincaid Fantasy Outlook 2024
Entering year two in Western New York, Kincaid has one of the NFL’s elite quarterbacks in Allen at his disposal. Buffalo’s pass-catching core also transformed in the offseason. The franchise traded longtime star wide receiver Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans. Furthermore, Gabe Davis also departed for the Jacksonville Jaguars in free agency.
This means between the two, the Bills are losing 241 targets from the 2023 season. They added Keon Coleman in the second round of April’s NFL Draft. Meanwhile, the team also inked Curtis Samuel, Mack Hollins, and Marquez Valdes-Scantling to deals in free agency. Nonetheless, Kincaid will play an enhanced role in Joe Brady’s scheme as one of the go-to targets for Allen.
Dynasty Football Outlook
Kincaid is a top-five asset at the tight end position in dynasty fantasy football leagues going forward. At just 24 years old, he is tied to Allen for the foreseeable future. The Faith Lutheran High School alumnus flashed his elite talent in 2023, ranking inside the top 20 in the NFL in both target share (17.7%) and air share (11.4%). Furthermore, he also ranked 28th in average depth of target (6.0).
However, the presence of Knox will prevent Kincaid from reaching overall TE1 status. Following his return from wrist surgery in Week 14 through the AFC Divisional Round, Kincaid had just a 57% snap share. Moreover, the former basketball standout averaged just 4.9 targets, 3.8 catches, and 35.6 receiving yards per game.
Conclusion
With an ADP of 57 in our fantasy football rankings, Kincaid is TE4. Right now, he’s being drafted as the 62nd player off the board according to Fantrax. Fairly priced at his cost, he finished as TE13 in PPR points per game in 2023.
Additionally, Kincaid became one of only four rookie tight ends in league history to tally 70+ catches. With Diggs and Davis no longer in the equation, expect an evenly distributed passing game in Buffalo this season, leaving an opportunity for a breakout sophomore campaign from Kincaid.
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