It’s redraft season, which means it’s overreaction season. Every week of games brings new surprises and another subset of data to evaluate. With that information comes some large changes in value, not just for redraft, but for dynasty as well. Week 11 was full of big games, disappointments, and breakouts. Sometimes the hardest part can be figuring just how much you should pay to get these volatile players, or how much you should demand of those trying to buy them from you. Fantasy football can be a game of quick reactions and decisions that can have effects years down the road. I want to help you get all the information to make your own informed decisions on some of these players. I’ll be breaking down some of the more polarizing players each week and talking about their dynasty value. Check it out in Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Values: Week 12.

Dynasty League Football (DLF) has a lot of great tools for their members that I highly suggest you check out and subscribe to. One of my favorites, that I will use for this article, is the DLF trade finder. They use real trades happening in real-time across hundreds of leagues and compile the information into one searchable database. Today I have chosen four players and collected what I thought to be a representative sample of their trades occurring between their Week 11 game and today. I will break down which trades I prefer to acquire the player in question and which I would prefer to sell him. In the end, I will give a verdict of market value for the player so you can make your own decisions and trades in your own leagues. Use these values to try and go out and make some trades for yourself. Let’s get into it.

Courtland Sutton

It has not been a good few weeks of production for Courtland Sutton.  In the three weeks since Jerry Jeudy has returned to action, Sutton has failed to surpass two catches or 40 yards.  The Broncos seemed to realize that wasn’t a true reflection of Sutton though as they reacted to those three weeks by giving Sutton a four-year $60.8 million deal.  The big question for Sutton seems to be what the Broncos do at quarterback this offseason.  Will they bring in someone talented enough to support all these weapons or is Sutton going to be stuck in his current situation long-term. The worry for Sutton seems to have led to some affordable deals.  He was added to a hot player in Darnell Mooney to get Amari Cooper.  He was also traded straight up for Miles Sanders.  You even had to add on top of Sutton to get Jalen Hurts in a single quarterback league.  He was also traded straight up for Calvin Ridley and combined with Jordan Love to get Kirk Cousins in Superflex.

Verdict: Sutton has been completely unusable these last few weeks, but he has always been good with opportunities given to him, and the contract extension gives me some hope.  I am happily making most of these trades where you can get assets on top of Sutton for good, not great players.  If you can get Calvin Ridley for Sutton straight up I would make that deal though, as I don’t see Sutton ever reaching Ridley’s level.

Russell Wilson

Russell Wilson has not been good since returning from injury a couple of weeks ago.  It seems clear he is not healthy.  There also seems to be a growing sentiment that his era in Seattle may be coming to an end soon.  A long-time fantasy football stud who is performing very poorly has led to some interesting trades.  He was traded straight up for Trey Lance, and for Tua Tagovailoa in a package deal.  He was also packaged with Jalen Hurts for Trevor Lawrence and Trey Lance.  As far as draft picks go, Wilson was moved for a first-round pick, a second-round pick, and Sam Darnold.

Verdict: I think Wilson is still a top-tier quarterback, but there are a lot of questions about his future now.  Will he stay in Seattle beyond this year?  If not, how will it affect him to not have DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett? Wilson is hurt right now so I am not sure he is a buy for contenders.  I generally prefer the upside of the young rookie quarterbacks over Wilson, but don’t mind selling one of them for Wilson if you need something more certain.  I also think there is a large gap between the value of Wilson and Tagovailoa.  In a Superflex league, I want more than a first and second for Wilson in future picks.

Michael Carter

Michael Carter wasn’t lighting the world on fire but was clearly becoming the guy for the Jets, which meant returning value for fantasy football.  Unfortunately, a high ankle sprain in Week 11 will lead to him missing a few weeks.  Does this cool the hype for fantasy managers in the trade market? It depends on your league.  He was still able to be packaged with a second to get a stud in Mike Evans and was also used to upgrade to Clyde Edwards-Helaire.  But he is a young running back that can still be had without giving up a first-rounder by packaging picks or by adding other good young pieces like Etienne or early picks with Carter when you sell a veteran player.

Verdict: Carter will likely never be a star running back, but he is a good young football player with a clear path to relevancy in the future.  I don’t mind selling high on his value if he can help net a star player for your team.  But I am also checking on his price in leagues to see if a manager would be willing to sell for a couple of second-round picks.

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AJ Brown

AJ Brown has not had the season managers were hoping for, thanks to multiple factors.  The Titans offense has been more volatile than in recent years, especially since Derrick Henry went down.  Brown has also battled multiple injuries throughout the year that have led to limited missed games but plenty of time playing hurt.  During his healthiest starch in the middle of October, he had three straight games with nine or more catches and was the second-highest scoring receiver in fantasy over that time.  Outside of those games though he has been completely unusable.  This volatility is not reflective of what you want for a top-five dynasty receiver, which has made him more obtainable in trades.  He was traded essentially for Saquon Barkley, another struggling superstar.  He was also traded for Joe Mixon straight up.  He was packaged with Cam Akers to get Odell Beckham and a first-round pick.  The biggest trade of the week saw Brown packaged with Antonio Gibson and Ja’Marr Chase to get Jonathan Taylor and Justin Jefferson.

Verdict: AJ Brown has been volatile throughout his career and this year is perhaps the most volatile.  The talent is still enough for me to buy into him as a top dynasty receiver though. I will still take him over DJ Moore and Mixon.  I love the deal that got Brown and a running back for the pick and Beckham.  I think it’s time to start buying Brown.

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