Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values: Week 4
It’s redraft season, which means it’s overreaction season. Every week of games brings new surprises and another subset of data to evaluate. With that information comes some large changes in value, not just for redraft, but for dynasty as well. Week 4 was full of surprises, injuries, and disappointments. Sometimes the hardest part can be figuring just how much you should pay to get these volatile players, or how much you should demand of those trying to buy them from you. Fantasy football can be a game of quick reactions and decisions that can have effects years down the road. I want to help you get all the information to make your own informed decisions on some of these players each week. I’ll be breaking down some of the more polarizing players each week and talking about their dynasty value. Check it out in my first one here with Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values: Week 4.
Dynasty League Football (DLF) has a lot of great tools for their members that I highly suggest you check out and subscribe to. One of my favorites, that I will use for this article, is the DLF trade finder. They use real trades happening in real-time across hundreds of leagues and compile the information into one searchable database. Today I have chosen three players and collected what I thought to be a representative sample of their trades occurring between their Week 4 game and today. I will break down which trades I prefer to acquire the player in question and which I would prefer to sell him. At the end, I will give a verdict of market value for the player so you can make your own decisions and trades in your own leagues. Use these values to try and go out and make some trades for yourself. Let’s get into it.
Trey Sermon
Trey Sermon disappointed a lot of fantasy managers with the slow start to the year, but when injuries started stacking up in the 49ers backfield it looked like Sermon might finally get his chance to explode in Week 3. He was the only 49ers halfback to see a snap in the game yet somehow only saw 10 of the team’s 21 carries as Shanahan seemed to do whatever he could to take work off Sermon’s plate including a heavy dosage of work for fullback Kyle Juszczyk. Sermon didn’t light the world on fire but he did have a couple of nice runs and saved his fantasy day with a touchdown. Was it enough to hold onto the job with Elijah Mitchell’s eventual return and Jeff Wilson waiting in the wings? The trades this week show some mixed reactions by the market. He was sold for some veteran receiver options like Julio Jones and Marquise Brown. But he also was traded for packages of strictly depth players.
Verdict: Trey Sermon is certainly still carrying some of his offseason rookie hype, but the luster seems to have worn off. If you believe in the talent there seems to be a buying window by packaging depth assets. On the other side if you don’t believe in him long-term he can still be added to packages to help upgrade other spots on your roster.
Robert Woods
Robert Woods might be one of the bigger disappointments in fantasy football right now. He hasn’t had a usable fantasy performance yet this year despite playing in a high-powered offense in an almost every-down role. This is Cooper Kupp’s world and we are all just living in it. There are reasons for optimism still with woods given the aforementioned high-powered offense and high snap counts as well as plenty of past history of performance. But the slow start, apparent lack of early chemistry with Stafford, and his current age (29) many managers are starting to worry. This is evident in the ability to acquire woods for Daniel Jones and a second-round pick in single quarterback leagues, and Damien Harris straight up. There were some more favorable trades as I would be happy to package Woods to get a guy like George Kittle, Amari Cooper, or Chris Godwin.
Verdict: There are panicking Woods owners out there so it might not hurt to throw out a package of depth players and see how the Woods’ manager responds. If you are the Woods manager and want to get out from under him it might be worth packaging him with a pick or hyped asset to target an upgrade.
Justin Fields
Justin Fields might have had the worst and most disappointing debut in recent NFL memory. Coach Matt Nagy didn’t do him any favors with a game plan or play calling but Fields struggled mightily and couldn’t seem to get a single thing right in his debut game. He was a Twitter darling prior to this debut thanks to his big arm and rushing ability, but many managers have had found themselves needing to reevaluate what they have in the young quarterback. One trade of note has Fields being swapped straight up for another rookie quarterback with a rocky start in Trevor Lawrence. It is also interesting seeing the assets that have to be added on to Fields to acquire guys like Joe Burrow and Austin Ekeler who were draft not far from Fields in startup drafts this offseason.
Verdict: Justin Fields is still a talented rookie quarterback with plenty of fervent backers in the fantasy landscape so he won’t be had for anything reflecting his debut game. But there does seem to be a discount or at least a buying window that could be especially nice for a rebuilding team willing to unload proven veterans that are performing at a higher level right now.
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