Dynasty Trade Values: Week 8

It’s redraft season, which means it’s overreaction season. Every week of games brings new surprises and another subset of data to evaluate. With that information comes some large changes in value, not just for redraft, but for dynasty as well. Week 7 was full of big games, disappointments, and breakouts. As a result, there are Dynasty Trade Values to be had.

Sometimes the hardest part can be figuring just how much you should pay to get these volatile players, or how much you should demand of those trying to buy them from you. Fantasy football can be a game of quick reactions and decisions that can have effects years down the road.

I want to help you get all the information to make your own informed decisions on some of these players. I’ll be breaking down some of the more polarizing players each week and talking about their dynasty value. Check it out in my Week 8 edition of Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values.

Check out the FF Faceoff’s Revenge Game Tracker

Dynasty League Football (DLF) has a lot of great tools for their members that I highly suggest you check out and subscribe to. One of my favorites, that I will use for this article, is the DLF trade finder. They use real trades happening in real-time across hundreds of leagues and compile the information into one searchable database.

Today I have chosen four players and collected what I thought to be a representative sample of their trades occurring between their Week 7 game and today. I will break down which trades I prefer to acquire the player in question and which I would prefer to sell him.

In the end, I will give a verdict of market value for the player so you can make your own decisions and trades in your own leagues. Use these values to try and go out and make some trades for yourself. Let’s get into it

Antonio Gibson

I led off this article last week with Christian McCaffrey.  Coming into this season, there was plenty of hype for Antonio Gibson to become the next Christian McCaffrey.  He had flashes of brilliance as a rookie, was a college receiver, and is under the same coaching staff that saw McCaffrey break out to become who he is today.  Gibson has not lived up to that at all though.

The pass-catching role we hoped he would take over, stayed with J.D. McKissic, and even before struggling with a shin injury, Gibson was a pretty touchdown-dependent fantasy starter.  He still looks explosive, has the receiver background, and has youth on his side.  This is why the prices I thought I would see going into this exercise have not been as favorable as expected.

Gibson was generally used for upgrading to a better running back by packaging him with picks to get Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara, Aaron Jones, Christian McCaffrey.  A similar package was made to get an elite receiver in Justin Jefferson.  The cheapest package used to obtain him was probably packaging Miles sanders with a couple of depth pieces.

Verdict

Antonio Gibson hasn’t made the jump into the elite tier many were hoping for this season, but that doesn’t mean he can’t be used to get those elite tier options if you are willing to package him with a first-round pick.  This can be especially beneficial if you are a contender.  If I were to buy Gibson, I would shoot for something to the first trade listed here, packaging some depth pieces for a running back upgrade.

Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts is the second-highest scoring fantasy quarterback on the year and the third-highest in points per game.  It hasn’t been a volatile experience either, as he has scored between 20 and 29 fantasy points every week this year.

The problem that is causing a lot of debates among fantasy managers is that he hasn’t been nearly that good for real life.  His accuracy has been spotty, most of his production has come against soft coverages in garbage time, and the Eagles aren’t winning games.  For fantasy, it hasn’t mattered thanks to a combination of that garbage time and his awesome rushing floor.  The worry though is that he could lose his starting job at some point.

The difference between potential future value and current value has caused his trade value to be all over the place.  In some instances, he was able to net managers high-end assets like George Kittle, Russell Wilson, and even Justin Herbert with some picks added in.  In non-Superflex leagues, the returns are more modest with trades netting Laviska Shenault, and needing to add to him to get 33-year-old Matthew Stafford.

Verdict

Whether you are buying or selling Jalen Hurts will really come down to your thoughts on his future as an NFL quarterback.  If you believe he is destined for multiple years of starting in the NFL, you should be more than willing to pay the first-round pick or older veteran quarterback it takes to acquire him in Superflex leagues.  If you are worried that his value will drop to zero within the next year, you should be trying to trade him for those same packages.

Get a Risk Free Bet up to $5,000 with your first deposit.  Exclusive offer from Caesars Sportsbook. 

Calvin Ridley

With Julio Jones moving on to the Titans this offseason following a Calvin Ridley breakout year, things seemed to set up for Ridley to be a top-tier dynasty receiver moving forward.  Things haven’t worked out quite as expected so far for Ridley though, who is the 27^th ranked wide receiver in points per game so far this year and has yet to crack 80 yards in a single game in 2021.

There is reason for optimism, however, as he is still averaging over 10 targets per game and Matt Ryan is starting to pick up his play as of late.  Most of the trades involving Ridley this week seem to see him go for a package of players or players and picks.  He was traded for injured running backs like Clyde Edwards-Helaire or Cam Akers plus a first-round pick.  He was also traded for young lower-tier receivers like Marquise Brown and Brandon Aiyuk with the first-round pick included.

Verdict

Calvin Ridley has the name value and history that will ensure you won’t get him for cheap.  That being said, his value does seem depressed from where it was earlier this season.  If you can package a lower-tier receiver with a first-round pick to acquire Ridley, I think it is more than worth that price.  In terms of straight draft picks, it will still probably require two first-round picks.

Ja’Marr Chase

Say hello to the hottest name in fantasy football right now.  Ja’Marr Chase is off to possibly the best start to a rookie receiver season in NFL history.  The narrative of his connection with college quarterback Joe Burrow seems legitimate, and his ability to win downfield appears to already be in the elite tier for the NFL.

The crazy thing is that he isn’t even doing this on crazy high volume.  In fact, in games Tee Higgins has played, he has out-targeted Ja’Marr Chase.  Chase is averaging 107 yards and 0.85 touchdowns per game on just over 7 targets per game.  That efficiency likely isn’t sustainable long term, even for the best receivers in the NFL.  But it also leaves room for increased target share in the offense.  Unsurprisingly, the price to acquire him is high.

Managers have been adding onto elite assets like Davante Adams, Alvin Kamara, and DJ Moore to acquire Chase straight up.  There are also packages of multiple young upside pieces including Jerry Jeudy, Chase Claypool, Travis Etienne, and early draft picks.

Verdict

I considered not including Chase in this article, given the fact that I honestly don’t think he is realistically obtainable at this point via trade.  But I also wanted to show just how crazy high the returns are for him right now for anyone that wants to sell based on a projected drop in efficiency.  I would warn that there is room for increased volume to offset that decrease in efficiency, but if you want to go get an elite tier asset plus more right now it’s hard to tell you not to.

Sign up for BetUS today with the promo code FACEOFF and get a 125% match on your first deposit! Join here.

What is the Consistency Score?

Consistency Score Home

Consistency Score: Running Backs

Consistency Score: Wide Receivers

Consistency Score: Tight Ends

Consistency Score: DST

Enter to win this signed Terry McLaurin jersey for FREE here!