Free NFL Football Picks & Best Bets Today – Week 6 (2024)
The 2024 NFL season is finally here, and we’ve got you covered with our free NFL football picks & best bets today. In this article, we’ll break down our top free NFL picks against the spread and highlight the best bets for Week 6 action. Plus, we’ll share the top betting targets for your favorite sportsbook. Let’s win some money together.
I cannot believe week 6 is upon us. It seems like the NFL season goes by faster and faster every year. Before we get into the picks, what a couple of days it has been for the New York Jets. Fresh off a 24-17 loss to the Minnesota Vikings, the team stunningly fired Robert Saleh on Tuesday, five games into his fourth season in Gotham City, while naming Jeff Ulbrich as the interim.
Will parting ways with a defensive-minded head coach fix a struggling 40-year-old quarterback and an offense that ranks 25th in the NFL in points per game (18.6)? With a game against the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football, New York needs to find answers quickly if they hope to end their 13-year-long playoff drought. Enough talking. Coming off a 2-4 week, here are the picks.
Free NFL Football Picks Today: Week 6
Houston Texans (-6.5) vs New England Patriots (+6.5)
The Texans outlasted the Buffalo Bills in the Stefon Diggs revenge game after Ka’imi Fairbairn hit a game-winning 59-yard field goal as time expired. Demeco Ryans group is off to a 4-1 start, their best since 2012. However, Houston lost its top target after star wide receiver Nico Collins was placed on the injured reserve list with a hamstring injury.
Set to begin the Drake Maye era in New England; the Patriots announced the reigning number three overall pick would start on Sunday over Jacoby Brissett. The North Carolina product enters behind one of the worst offensive lines in the league and a strong Texans pass rush led by 2023 Defensive Rookie of The Year Will Anderson Jr. Nonetheless; the Patriots are allowing their opponents to score touchdowns on just 40 percent of their red zone trips at home. Meanwhile, C.J. Stroud has tossed three interceptions in his last three games. 6.5 points is too big a number in this spot.
Pick: Patriots (+6.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) vs New Orleans Saints (+3.5)
Tampa Bay lost a Thursday night thriller behind a superstar performance from Kirk Cousins. The veteran quarterback threw for a franchise-record 509 yards. The Buccaneers have now allowed 269 passing yards per game over their last three contests. Along with this, Todd Bowles‘s group is surrendering multiple passing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks on the road.
While the reigning NFC South champions would be hard-pressed to stop Derek Carr, the veteran quarterback will miss multiple games due to injury meaning rookie Spencer Rattler will start. Additionally, the Saints are also down multiple offensive linemen, including guard Cesar Ruiz. Pair this with a Tampa Bay defense that blitzes on nearly one-third of its defensive snaps, and it’s hard to see Rattler playing well enough to keep up in this one.
Pick: Buccaneers (-3.5)
Los Angeles Chargers (-3.0) vs Denver Broncos (+3.0)
Following an 0-2 start to the season, the Broncos have been one of the hottest teams in the NFL. Winners of three straight games, Bo Nix has thrown for 482 yards, three touchdowns, and zero interceptions over that span. However, it has been Denver’s defense that has been carrying the team to victories. Vance Joseph‘s group is allowing just 14.6 points per game, tied for the second-lowest in the league.
Coming off their bye, the Chargers will have some key players back in this one. Both Joe Alt and Rashwan Slater practiced for the first time this week since suffering injuries against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Furthermore, Justin Herbert also took part in full team drills for the first time since suffering a sprained ankle. Los Angeles has scored just ten points per game in each of their two losses the past two weeks.
Along with this, after averaging nearly 200 yards per contest on the ground to start the year, the Chargers have racked up just 116 combined over their last two games. Travelling to the Mile High City is never easy. Denver looks to have found their groove. They should be able to keep this game to within a field goal and maybe win it outright.
Pick: Broncos (+3)
Detroit Lions (-3.5) vs Dallas Cowboys (+3.5)
In the most anticipated game of week 6, the Lions travel to Dallas in a rematch of last season. The Cowboys hung on for a 20-19 victory after a failed two-point conversion by Jared Goff and company in the dying seconds. Winners of two straight games, Detroit is coming off a bye and features one of the game’s most potent rushing attacks between the two-headed tandem of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs.
The duo has rushed for 147 yards on average over their last three contests. Set to square off against a Cowboys defense that ranks 16th in the NFL in opponent rushing yards per play (4.4) and 23rd in opponent rushing yards per game (135.0), and I will lay the 3.5 points and take the reigning NFC North champions to win this one.
Pick: Lions (-3.5)
Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Giants (O/U 47.5)
A popular Super Bowl pick before the season started, the Bengals have jumped out to a miserable 1-4 start. The team has lost all their games by seven points or less. Playing arguably the best football of his career, Joe Burrow leads the NFL in passing touchdowns (12) while sitting sixth in passing yards (1370). However, Lou Anaromos’s defense has struggled to get opposing teams off the field. Cincinatti’s group sits bottom three in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (151.4), points allowed per game (29.0), and third down percentage (47.5).
In the hunt in the NFC playoff race, the Giants stunned the Seattle Seahawks 29-20 last Sunday. Playing without his top target, Malik Nabers, Daniel Jones racked up 257 passing yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. As a result, over their last three games, the Giants sit 15th in yards per game (354.3) and 19th in points per game (21.7). While Nabers has already been ruled out due to a concussion, the Giants still have a capable group of skill players led by Wan’Dale Robinson and running back Devin Singletary. Both of these teams should eclipse the 25-point mark with ease and push this total over the number.
Pick: Over 47.5
Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens (O/U 51.5)
The story of the NFL season, Washington sits at 4-1 for the first time since 2008. Continuing to make his case for the Offensive Rookie of the Year award, Jayden Daniels was fantastic against a tough Cleveland Brown’s defense in week 5. He passed for 238 yards and a touchdown while leading the team in rushing yards (82).
With another challenging defense on tap, the Ravens lead the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (60.4). Additionally, they sit fifth in sacks per game (3.2). While Baltimore possesses one of the most explosive offenses in the game, three of their five games have gone under the total to begin the year. Furthermore, only 20 percent of games this season have eclipsed 54-plus points. Play the under on Sunday in Baltimore.
Pick: Under 51.5
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