Free NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets For Week 10 (2024)
The 2024 NFL season is finally here, and we’ve got you covered with our free NFL picks, predictions & best bets today. In this article, we’ll break down our top free NFL picks against the spread and highlight the best bets for Week 10 NFL betting action. Plus, we’ll share the top NFL betting targets for your favorite sportsbook. Let’s win some money together.
Free NFL Picks Week 10
Happy Week 10 to all. I think if I had to pick my favorite move from the NFL trade deadline it would have to be the Washington Commanders acquiring cornerback Marshon Lattimore from the New Orleans Saints. The shock of the NFL season at 7-2 and atop the NFC East, it’s refreshing to see a changing of the guard in Washington and for them to be adding pieces at the deadline in order to make a run in the postseason.
On the flip side, I continue to scratch my head at the Dallas Cowboys. They recently acquired wide receiver Jonathan Mingo from the Carolina Panthers. Sitting at 3-5 in the NFC East, Jerry Jones already announced this week that Dak Prescott would be placed on the injured reserve list with a hamstring injury keeping him out at least the next four games. Acquiring Mingo feels like a move to try and stay relevant in what has quickly become a lost season in Big D.
Enough of that. As always, there are bets to place and money to be made. Fresh off an astounding 5-1 week, here are the picks. Continue reading for our Week 10 free NFL football picks.
Atlanta Falcons (-4.0) vs New Orleans Saints (+4.0)
Atlanta knocked off the Dallas Cowboys for its fifth win in its last six games. Guided by the play of Kirk Cousins, the veteran quarterback tossed three touchdown passes in the victory. Beginning to click on the offensive side of the ball, the Falcons have now scored 30 or more points in three of their last five games.
Following a 2-0 start, the Saints have dropped seven straight games. As a result, the team fired head coach Dennis Allen earlier this week following 2.5 seasons with the team. New Orleans’ defense enters this one severely undermanned following the Lattimore trade to the Washington Commanders. They have been unable to get anyone off the field over the last three weeks, allowing over 350 yards of offense per game on average. Ultimately, Cousins and company should have no problem covering this number.
Pick: Falcons (-4.0)
Detroit Lions (-3.5) vs Houston Texans (+3.5)
The Lions knocked off the Green Bay Packers 24-14 and now hold a commanding lead atop the NFC. They have been red-hot on the offensive side of the ball over the past few weeks. Detroit leads the NFL in points per game (32.3) while sitting fourth in yards per play (6.1).
Houston has lost two of its last three games and now sits just two games ahead of the Indianapolis Colts for the top spot in the AFC South. C.J. Stroud has failed to look like the MVP candidate many people pegged him to be before the start of the season. In two of his last three games, the Ohio State product has failed to eclipse 200 yards passing and a 50 percent completion rate. The Texans dense is stout behind head coach Demeco Ryans. Nonetheless, the Lions are the most complete team in football and can beat you in a variety of ways. Back them in this spot.
Pick: Lions (-3.5)
Buffalo Bills (-4.0) vs Indianapolis Colts (+4.0)
Buffalo outlasted the Miami Dolphins 30-27 behind the leg of Tyler Bass. He hit a game-winning 61-yard field goal, the longest field goal in franchise history. The Bills now sit a commanding four games up in the AFC East. Continuing to cement his case for the league’s MVP Award, Josh Allen has 17 touchdown passes to just two interceptions on the season.
Thurst into the starter’s role in Indianapolis, Joe Flacco could not provide any magic for the Colts in their loss to the Minnesota Vikings. He completed just 16 of his 27 passes for 179 yards and an interception. Meanwhile, the Colts defense continues to struggle. They rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (149.8). Buffalo is 3-1 against the spread on the road this season. Look for that trend to continue in this one.
Pick: Bills (-4.0)
Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) vs Washington Commanders (-2.5)
Two of the biggest surprises of the 2024 NFL season, the Commanders host the Steelers on Sunday. Sitting atop the AFC North at 6-2, Pittsburgh is coming off its bye week. Once again led by the play of their outstanding defense, the Steelers rank sixth in defensive EPA per play (-0.08) while sitting fourth in rushing yards per game (90.5) and second in points per game (14.9).
Likewise, Washington is atop the NFC East at 7-2, its best start since 1991. Jayden Daniels continues to run away with the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. The LSU product ranks third in completion percentage (71.5). He has tossed nine touchdown passes and just one interception. Nevertheless, Mike Tomlin is 13-4 coming off a bye week, including winning his last seven contests. Take the points and bet on Pittsburgh.
Pick: Steelers (+2.5)
Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys (O/U 43.5)
Philadelphia has won four straight games and remains hot on the heels of the Commanders for the top spot in the NFC East. The Eagle’s defense has quietly played its best football of the season. Over the last three weeks, Vic Fangio’s group has allowed just 14.3 points per game, which is the second-lowest mark in the league. Furthermore, they also lead the league in opponent yards per play (3.7) over that same stretch of time.
Things have quickly gone from bad to worse for the Cowboys. Currently sitting at 3-6, the team placed Prescott on the injured reserve list this week, keeping him out for at least the next four games. Set to turn to backup quarterback Cooper Rush, expect the Cowboy’s offense to struggle for the foreseeable future. Pair that with the play of the Eagle’s defense, and the under is the way to go in this one.
Pick: Under 44.5
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs (O/U 41.5)
Bo Nix has quietly played really good football during his rookie season. The Oregon product has thrown eight touchdown passes to just two interceptions. He also has 33 plays of 20-plus yards trailing only Lamar Jackson. As a result, the Bronco’s offense has scored 28 points or more in three of their last five contests.
Kansas City’s offense is heating up after a slow start to the year. Guided by the play of Kareem Hunt, Kansas City ranks third in the league in rushing success rate according to Next Gen Stats. Moreover, they sit 14th in rushing yards per game (122.4) and first in third-down percentage (53.2). While the Bronco’s defense remains stout, both teams should be able to eclipse the 20-point mark. Play the over.
Pick: Over 41.5
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