Free NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets For Week 12 (2024)
The 2024 NFL season is finally here, and we’ve got you covered with our free NFL picks, predictions & best bets today. In this article, we’ll break down our top free NFL picks against the spread and highlight the best bets for Week 12 NFL betting action. Additionally, we’ll share the top NFL betting targets for your favorite sportsbook. Let’s win some money together.
Free NFL Picks Week 12
Week 12 is upon us. Contenders are beginning to separate themselves from the pretenders across the league. If we took a poll, which team would win for the worst situation, the New York Jets or the Dallas Cowboys? Fresh off a 28-27 loss to the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, the Gang Green has now lost seven of their last eight games. As a result, the team fired general manager Joe Douglas on Tuesday following six years with the franchise.
Switching gears to the Cowboys, they fell 34-10 to the Houston Texans on Monday Night Football. What if I told you Dallas remains winless at Jerry World during the season? It’s truly been a disastrous year for America’s team. Now sitting at 3-7, it’s hard to see Cooper Rush and company winning many more games. A top-five pick in April’s NFL Draft seems more and more likely, as does a new head coach. Deion Sanders, anyone? Anyways, the time for speculation is not now. As always, there are picks to be made and money to be had, so without further ado, let’s get into it.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6.0) vs New York Giants (+6.0)
The Buccaneers have quickly lost four games in a row, including a narrow 23-20 loss to the San Francisco 49ers. Baker Mayfield has been trying to keep Tampa Bay in the hunt. The former number-one overall pick ranks ninth in passing yards (2505) and third in passing touchdowns (24). Set to get reinforcements in the passing game; Mike Evans is trending towards playing Sunday after missing the last three games with a hamstring injury.
Now 2-8 on the season, the Giants appear headed to another top-five pick in the NFL Draft. The team benched starter Daniel Jones this week and announced that Tommy Devito will start on Sunday. While Devito played well in stretches a year ago, he does not really provide an upgrade over Jones. Pair that with the struggles of a New York defense that now ranks 25th in DVOA and is going to swallow the points and play the Buccaneers in this one.
Pick: Buccaneers (-6.0)
Tennessee Titans (+7.0) vs Houston Texans (-7.0)
Continuing to struggle on the offensive side of the ball, the Titans have eclipsed the 20-point mark just once in their last six games. The team also ranks 29th in the league in passing yards per game (178.4) and 27th in total yards per game (314.5). Despite this, Tennesee has remained stout defensively, ranking as the number one pass defence in the NFL.
Fresh off a 34-10 victory over the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football, the Texans snapped their two-game losing skid. They got a big day from Joe Mixon, who rushed for 109 yards and three touchdowns. Struggling to find consistency of late, C.J. Stroud has thrown just two touchdown passes over his last five games. He has also tossed three interceptions during that period. While Demeco Ryans’s group will likely run away with the AFC South, divisional games are always tough. Bet on Tennesee to cover this number.
Pick: Titans (+7.0)
Arizona Cardinals (-1.0) vs Seattle Seahawks (+1.0)
Arizona routed the New York Jets and the Chicago Bears before their bye week. They now sit atop the NFC West at 6-4. Continuing to play well, Kyler Murray has tossed five touchdown passes to just one interception over his last five games. Meanwhile, the Oklahoma product has also added three scores on the ground.
Seattle suddenly fits itself back in the division race after stunning the San Francisco 49ers last Sunday. Geno Smith found the end zone on a 13-yard scamper to give the Seahawks the victory. Meanwhile, Mike Macdonald’s defense held Brock Purdy to just 159 yards through the air. Nonetheless, Seattle has lost four in a row at home, and the Cardinals have yet to lose a divisional game this season. I’ll take the road team to win a close one in one of the best games of the weekend.
Pick: Cardinals (-1.0)
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.0) vs Los Angeles Rams (+3.0)
Following their win over the Washington Commanders, the Eagles now have a stranglehold atop the NFC East at 8-2. Philadelphia has won six contests in a row. Led by the play of their defense, over the last three games, Vic Fangio’s group ranks fourth in the league in opponent points allowed (15.7) and first in passing yards allowed (125.0).
Los Angeles knocked off the New England Patriots to stay in the hunt for the NFC West crown. Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua remain one of the league’s most dangerous wide receiver tandems. They combined for 13 receptions for 229 yards and three touchdowns in the victory. However, the play of Kyren Williams is a concern for the Rams. The Notre Dame product has failed to find the end zone in his last four games after scoring in six straight to begin the season. While I trust Sean Mcvay more than Nick Sirianni, the Eagles have the better overall roster and hold a significant advantage in the trenches.
Pick: Eagles (-3.0)
Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears (O/U 39.5)
The Vikings trail the Detroit Lions by one game for the top spot in the NFC. Brian Flore‘s defense has been one of the NFL’s best units all year. Minnesota ranks 4th in opponent points allowed per game (17.0) and 11th in opponent yards per pass attempt (6.4). Furthermore, they also blitz at a 37.7 percent clip, the highest rate in the league.
The Bears have lost four games in a row, including a heartbreaking defeat at the hands of the Green Bay Packers on Sunday. Nonetheless, their defense has remained one of the team’s lone bright spots. The Bears have allowed an average of 16.7 points in all of their home games. No team has scored over 20 points at Soldier Field this year. The past three meetings between these two franchises in the windy city have all gone under the number. Look for that trend to continue in this one.
Pick: Under 39.5
Detroit Lions vs Indianapolis Colts (O/U 49.5)
The number one offense in the NFL, the Lions have eclipsed the 50-point mark in two of their last four games. They lead the league in points per game (33.6) while ranking sixth in passing yards per game (242.5) and third in rushing yards per game (152.2).
With Anthony Richardson back in the fold for the Colts, the former third-overall pick eclipsed three total touchdowns in the team’s victory over the New York Jets. Despite their quarterback carousel, Indianapolis still sits fifth in yards per completion (11.5) and 13th in rushing yards per attempt (4.5). While this is one of the highest numbers of the weekend, look for Detroit to supply the majority of the points, with Indianapolis providing enough offense to push the number over the total.
Pick: Over 49.5
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