Free NFL Picks, Predictions & Best Bets For Week 13 (2024)
The 2024 NFL season is finally here, and we’ve got you covered with our free NFL picks, predictions & best bets today. In this article, we’ll break down our top free NFL picks against the spread and highlight the best bets for Week 13 NFL betting action. Additionally, we’ll share the top NFL betting targets for your favorite sportsbook. Let’s win some money together.
Free NFL Picks and Best Bets – Week 13
Week 13 is upon us. I want to start by wishing everyone a Happy Thanksgiving. I hope you get to spend some time with your loved ones this holiday. What a slate of games on tap this weekend, none bigger than the Baltimore Ravens showdown with the Philadelphia Eagles. If I asked who was the better free agent acquisition, who would you say, Derrick Henry or Saquon Barkley? The former signed a one-year deal with the Ravens in the offseason and has already eclipsed the 1,000-yard mark for the sixth time in his Hall of Fame Career.
Meanwhile, the Eagles poached Barkley away from the New York Giants. The former second-overall pick leads the NFL in rushing yards (1,392) and yards per carry (6.2). Furthermore, the Penn State product broke the Eagles franchise record by rushing for 255 yards in the team’s win over the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday Night Football. Barkley also racked up a career-high 302 scrimmage yards. You cannot go wrong with either choice. But hey, there’s food to be eaten and money to be made. Coming off a 3-3 week 12, here are the picks. Let’s get into our Free NFL Picks with predictions and best bets for Week 13.
Tennessee Titans (+5.5) vs Washington Commanders (-5.5)
Tennessee pulled off the shock of week 12. The Titans stunned the Houston Texans 32-27. Will Levis threw for 278 yards and a pair of touchdown passes in the biggest victory over his young career. In his three games since returning from injury, Levis has completed over 67 percent of his passes while throwing for over 700 yards.
Following their 7-2 start, the Commanders have now dropped three games in a row. They have punted as many during that stretch (17) as they did in all their previous games combined. Additionally, Washington’s defense has fallen to 21st in EPA/play. They allowed Cooper Rush to pass for a season-high 247 yards on Sunday. While Tennessee has been awful against the spread this year, the Commanders are banged up and in dire need of their bye week. Levis could throw a brutal interception and cost us this bet. Nonetheless, at this number, play the Titans.
Pick: Titans (+5.5)
Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) vs New England Patriots (+2.5)
Indianapolis suddenly sits two games back of the final wild-card spot in the AFC. Knocked off 24-6 by the Detroit Lions, Indianapolis could not finish drives with touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor totaled just 35 yards on the ground in the loss. Unlikely to have Josh Downs in this one; the third-year wide receiver injured his shoulder on Sunday and has yet to practice this week. The Colts have lost seven straight games at Gillette Stadium.
Headed for another top-five pick in April’s NFL Draft, the New England Patriots were beaten down 34-15 by the red-hot Miami Dolphins. The team has now lost three of four games since turning to Drake Maye while eclipsing the 20-point mark just once during that period. Meanwhile, New England’s defense has also been inconsistent. The unit ranks 18th in rushing yards per game (123.1) and 19th in points per game (23.5). Indianapolis needs this game if they hope to keep their postseason hopes alive. Look for Anthony Richardson to make a big play late in his best game of the season.
Pick: Colts (-2.5)
Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5) vs Atlanta Falcons (+1.5)
Los Angeles saw its four-game winning streak snapped on Monday Night Football. The Chargers fell 30-23 to the Baltimore Ravens. Unable to contain Lamar Jackson and the high-powered Ravens rushing attack, Derrick Henry amassed 140 yards on the ground on 24 carries. Nonetheless, Jessie Minter’s defense remains one of the top units in the NFL, allowing a league-low 15.9 points per game.
Atlanta is coming off its bye week. The Falcons have dropped two consecutive contests and are clinging to a one-game advantage atop the NFC South. Kirk Cousins and company have struggled offensively. The veteran quarterback leads the NFL in fumbles (11) and has the sixth most interceptions (9). Los Angeles is 6-0 against the spread in its last six games against NFC South opponents. I’ll take Jim Harbaugh’s group to bounce back in a big way in this one.
Pick: Chargers (-1.5)
Cleveland Browns (+5.5) vs Denver Broncos (-5.5)
Cleveland travels to Denver on Monday Night Football to wrap up Thanksgiving weekend. The Browns shocked the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-19 in heavy snow on Thursday Night Football a week ago. Nick Chubb ran for 59 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the victory. Meanwhile, Cleveland’s defense sacked Russell Wilson four times.
Arguably the hottest team in the NFL, the Broncos have won four of their last six games and currently hold the last wild card spot in the AFC. Guided by the play of Bo Nix, the rookie signal-caller has completed 71.4% of his passes for 795 yards and eight touchdowns during the last three weeks. The Browns can knock off any team but remain one of the most inconsistent clubs across the NFL. Furthermore, Nix has inserted himself into the Offensive Rookie of the Year conversation. Denver wins this one comfortably.
Pick: Broncos (-5.5)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals (O/U 47.5)
The Steelers and Bengals meet on Sunday for the first of two matchups between the two bitter AFC North rivals over the last six weeks. The Steelers saw their five-game winning streak snapped by the Browns. Struggling to finish off drives, Pittsburgh ranks 30th in red zone touchdown percentage (40%) during their last three games.
On the outside of the AFC playoff picture, the Bengals are coming off their bye week and trail the Broncos by two games for the final wild-card spot. Of the seven losses Cincinnati has suffered, six have come by one possession. Joe Burrow continues to play some of the best football of his career; the former number-one overall pick has thrown 12 touchdown passes to just one interception during his last three contests. Nonetheless, this is a high total in what should be a classic AFC North showdown. Play the under.
Pick: Under 47.5
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars (O/U 43.5)
Still manning the top spot in the AFC South, the Texans were stunned 32-27 by the Tennessee Titans. C.J. Stroud threw for 247 yards and a pair of touchdowns in the loss. Houston has now eclipsed the 23-point mark in each of their last three outings.
Currently holding the number one pick in April’s NFL Draft, there could be one lone bright spot for the Jaguars on Sunday as Trevor Lawrence took the majority of the first team reps at practice on Wednesday and could return from his shoulder injury. Playing well before going down, the Clemson product tossed seven touchdown passes over his last five starts. Houston captured the first meeting between these two teams 24-20 in week 4. They should be able to eclipse that number against Jacksonville’s defense. If Lawrence does start, the over is the call in this one.
Pick: Over 43.5
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