Free Player Prop Bets for Week 11

After going 3/4 last week in my player prop bets, there are a few for Week 11 that I’ll be targeting. Justin Fields went crazy, rushing for 147 yards and two rushing touchdowns. Donovan Peoples-Jones and Foster Moreau both hit their lines as well. As for Derrick Henry, he had his worst fantasy performance of the season since Week 1 with just 53 yards on 19 carries. He also didn’t find the end zone after scoring twice in three of his last four games.

Regardless, I’m happy hitting on 75% of the picks. For this week, we have the Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers on their bye week. Here are some player prop bets you should be targeting for Week 11 of the NFL season.

Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD

Caesars (-130)

Coming off their bye week, the New England Patriots face off against the New York Jets in Week 11. New England went on the road and shut down Zach Wilson and the Jets back in Week 8 and will look to do that again this week. This Patriots defense has been one of the best in the NFL and I’m expecting this to be a low-scoring one where the defenses grind it out.

That tends to correlate to more running, and Rhamondre Stevenson should be the main beneficiary. He’s averaging 14.3 rush attempts per game this year and has been coming into his own as a solid NFL running back. He’s scored a touchdown in three of his last four games and his teammate Damien Harris hasn’t scored since Week 4. Stevenson has taken this backfield over this year and should continue his success in this one against the Jets. You can also sprinkle a bit on Stevenson to score two touchdowns (+370) or for him to score the first touchdown of the game (+325).

DeVonta Smith Over 4.5 Receptions

DraftKings (-155)

The Eagles are coming off their first loss of the season, losing to the Commanders last Monday night. They head to Indianapolis to take on the Colts led by Jeff Saturday, fresh off their upset against the Raiders. Philadelphia dealt with some injuries to key players, as Dallas Goedert has now been placed on IR with a shoulder injury. AJ Brown suffered an ankle injury but is supposedly fine and will play this week.

Looking forward to Week 11, the next pass-catcher that will step up is going to be DeVonta Smith.  Smith is having a solid second year and has caught 46/61 targets this year for 481 yards and three touchdowns. Indianapolis is not the easiest matchup on paper, but this Eagles offense will be looking to bounce back in a big way this week after losing to Washington. Furthermore, Smith has hit this reception number in 4/5 of his last games this year.

You can also consider taking the Over on his yards set at 58.5 for -115 odds. He’s also +135 to score a touchdown. I like Smith to hit the number of receptions as the best bet at Over 4.5, as Jalen Hurts averaged completed 20 completed passes per game this year. All that being said, you should be targeting Smith to some extent this week.

Patrick Mahomes Over 288.5 Passing Yards

DraftKings (-120)

Next up is the Sunday Night Football matchup as the Chiefs go on the road to face off against the Chargers. Historically, Mahomes has not exactly lit up the Chargers as far as yards go, but this year is a bit different. He’s gone Over this 288.5 number in 25% of his previous eight matchups against them. That being said, this year Mahomes has been playing as well as ever and will be the frontrunner for the MVP.

Mahomes has hit this Over in five-straight games, including two games with 400+ passing yards. He leads the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns, and this Chargers defense and team all around, has been dealing with injuries like crazy. The Chargers give up an average of 25.3 points per game and the Chiefs are averaging 30 points per game, which is the most in the NFL. You might also consider betting a bit on Mahomes to throw more than two passing touchdowns at positive odds of +115.

This could very well be a primetime game where we see Mahomes absolutely light up a struggling Chargers team and remind everyone that he’s right up there with Josh Allen as one of, if not the best quarterback in the NFL.

Darnell Mooney Over 45.5 Receiving Yards

Caesars (-133)

Justin Fields has been coming into his own as of late and has been unstoppable on the ground. Opposing defenses have to be well aware of this by now and Atlanta should be focusing on stopping the rushing attack. This game has one of the highest totals on the slate at 49.5 points and with two struggling defenses, this could be a bit of a low-key shootout.

Fields has been leaning on his tight end Cole Kmet as of late, but he’s dealing with a thigh injury. While he’ll still play, he might be a bit limited or see fewer snaps this week. Mooney has been slowly getting more involved as this Bears offense has been playing better all around.

Mooney has gone over 45.5 receiving yards in six of his last seven games. The receptions line is set at 3.5 (-131), which he’s hit in four of his last five games. Atlanta is soft against opposing wide receivers and Mooney should be in line for a big day this week.

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