Marvin Harrison Jr. 2024 Fantasy Outlook: WR1 Rookie Season?
The 2024 fantasy football season is quickly approaching and many drafts will be taking place over the next few weeks. One of the most hyped rookies this offseason and probably this century has been the former Ohio State Buckeye Marvin Harrison Jr. Will he live up to the hype or disappoint?
In this article, we’ll dive into Harrison’s 2024 fantasy football value, analyzing his current team dynamics, and his potential for the upcoming season. We’ll explore his strengths and potential red flags. Whether you’re contemplating drafting him in a redraft or start-up league or trading for him in your dynasty league, this analysis will help you make an informed decision on Harrison.
WR Marvin Harrison Fantasy Value
During his last season at Ohio, Harrison amassed 67 receptions, 1,211 receiving yards, and 14 touchdowns, leading him to win the Biletnikoff Award as the nation’s best wideout. Without a doubt, Harrison has the attributes to be a dominant receiver in the NFL. He has outstanding body control and flexibility, great route running skills along with strong hands. Additionally, he plays with rare speed and agility for his size at 6’3. Simply put, he is one of the top receiver prospects this century.
Fantasy Football Outlook
Harrison was drafted 4th overall in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft by the Arizona Cardinals. He immediately steps into the desert as the top option for quarterback Kyler Murray. Harrison’s current ADP is WR9 and 14 overall.
There is no questioning Harrison’s immense talent and potential. My only concern is the high price tag associated with drafting a rookie without even playing a snap in the NFL. If you want to draft the uber-talent receiver, you’ll have to do so in the early second round.
Last year the WR9 (where Harrison is bring drafted this year) was the former Buffalo Bills wideout Stefon Diggs. Diggs put up 107 receptions for 1,183 yards and 8 touchdowns for a total of 273.8 fantasy points. It is not out of the realm of possibility for Harrison to put up similar numbers with the Cardinals this upcoming season, however, he will have to have one of the best rookie wide receiver seasons ever to do it.
While many receivers are better and more prepared in college today than they ever were, due to many collegiate programs running pro style offenses, there still remains a high level of risk with drafting an unproven rookie. For every Ja’Marr Chase and Justin Jefferson who were extremely successful in their rookie seasons, there are also the likes of Kevin White and Justin Blackmon who were not as successful.
Dynasty Football Outlook
Harrison’s dynasty ADP is WR5 and 7 overall which would be a mid-first-round pick. I would feel more comfortable trading for Harrison in dynasty leagues rather than drafting him that high in a startup. You could be drafting a receiver that could be the cornerstone of your fantasy team for the next 8-10 years. Contrarily, if Harrison does not live up to the hype, it could take years for your fantasy team to recover.
Conclusion
Harrison has the earliest ADP ever in a redraft league for a rookie receiver at WR9. Ceedee Lamb’s ADP in 2020 was WR38 and 100 overall. Ja’Marr Chase’s ADP in 2021 was WR29 and 73 overall. Drake London‘s ADP in 2022 was WR42 and 98 overall. Clearly the fantasy community has corrected the market a bit with rookie receivers who can produce immediately. However, Harrison’s ADP is baking in the fact that he will produce at an elite level and leaves no room for error.
I am absolutely in the minority when it comes to avoiding Harrison in redraft and dynasty start-up leagues at his current ADPs. The risk and the setback are too big to ignore. However, I wouldn’t fault you for taking the plunge on the supremely talented wideout – just not me.
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