MLB Best Bet of the Day – Joe Ryan Player Prop
A colossal 15-game schedule makes up the Friday MLB slate today.
In addition to the on-field action, there are plenty of value plays available across the board for prospective bettors to choose and hopefully profit from.
Let’s take a look and examine my favorite MLB best bet for Friday, August 2.
All MLB odds and lines are current as of Friday, August, 2, at 3:30pm E.T. and courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 MLB Betting Record: 1-3-0 (-1.90 Units)
Bet Name: Joe Ryan (MIN) OVER 6.5 Strikeouts
Matchup: Chicago White Sox (27-84) vs. Minnesota Twins (59-48)
Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Odds: (-145)
Wager: 1 Unit
MLB Best Bet of the Day – Joe Ryan Player Prop
Our best bet of the day will target Minnesota Twins RHP Joe Ryan to exceed his strikeout prop, currently set at 6.5, on a single-unit wager against an absolutely pitiful Chicago White Sox club.
Ryan has enjoyed a stellar season thus far in 2024 posting a 6-7 overall record, 3.62 ERA, and 0.99 WHIP through 21 appearances.
The Twins righty has also put up some impressive figures in the advanced metrics/analytics sector of the game. In terms of percentile rankings among MLB starting pitchers, Ryan lines up 90th in xERA (2.84), 96th in BB% (3.9%), 84th in xBA (.213), and 67th in Chase% (30.1%), via Baseball Savant.
Tonight, Ryan faces an extremely favorable matchup against the White Sox, who have posted a league-low winning percentage (.243), and sit a whopping 40.5 games behind the Cleveland Guardians for first place in the A.L. Central Division.
As a team, Chicago ranks 21st in baseball in Strikeouts (965), 29th in Walks (274), 27th in xBA (.236), and 30th in xwOBA (.294). The White Sox also rank 21st in Whiff% (26.5%), and 25th in Chase% (29.9%), which speaks to their ability to consistently swing-and-miss, per Baseball Savant.
To add insult to injury for the lowly White Sox, the Twins enter play this evening as monumental home moneyline favorites (-320), which carries with it a ridiculous 76.19% implied-win probability. This means that Minnesota is expected to play with a lead, put runs on the board, and provide Ryan with tons of run support.
It’s also noteworthy to mention that Ryan has hit this prop in three of his past five starts (60% success rate). Look for Ryan to mow down an atrocious White Sox lineup and go Over 6.5 strikeouts at an adequate (-145) price point.
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