MLB Best Bets Today – Kyle Tyler Player Prop Bet
A full 15-game schedule makes up the Tuesday MLB slate as the 2024 regular season reaches its “dog days.”
In addition to the on-field action, there are plenty of value plays available across the board for prospective bettors to choose and hopefully profit from.
So without further ado, let’s dive in and examine my favorite MLB best bet for Tuesday, July 23.
All MLB odds and lines are current as of Tuesday, July 23, at 2:30 PM, EST. and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 MLB Betting Record: 0-1-0 (-1.00 Units)
Bet Name: Kyle Tyler (MIA) UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts
Matchup: Baltimore Orioles (60-39) vs. Miami Marlins (35-65)
Sportsbook: DraftKings Sportsbook
Odds: (+100)
Wager: 1 Unit
MLB Best Bet of the Day – Kyle Tyler Player Prop
Our best bet of the day will target Miami Marlins righty Kyle Tyler to go Under his strikeout prop, currently set at 3.5, on a single-unit wager.
Although Tyler has pitched to a solid 3.38 ERA in 16 innings pitched through four starts this season, his advanced metrics tell a different story. From a percentile standpoint among MLB starting pitchers, Tyler ranks 14th in K% (15.6%), 18th in BB% (12.5%), and 24th in both CS% (14.6%), and SwStr% (10.2%), per Pitcher List.
Tonight, Tyler will be up against a Baltimore team which boasts one of the potent lineups in the Majors. Through their first 99 games, the O’s rank fourth in baseball in xBA (.258), first in xSLG (.451), and third in xwOBA (.334). Brandon Hyde’s club also ranks ninth in Strikeouts (801) and fifth in Batted Balls (2,653), via Baseball Savant. The final two metrics hold particular significance because it speaks to Baltimore’s ability to make contact and avoid striking out.
In addition, as (-162) road favorites, that carries with it a substantial 61.83% implied-win probability, meaning the Orioles are likely to play with a lead and put runs on the board.
Look for Tyler to go under his strikeout prop at an enticing (+100) price point.
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