MLB Best Bets Today – Luis L. Ortiz Player Prop Bet
A jam-packed 15-game schedule makes up the Friday MLB slate this evening.
In addition to the on-field action, there are plenty of value plays available across the board for prospective bettors to choose and hopefully profit from.
Let’s take a look and examine my favorite MLB best bet for Friday, July 26.
All MLB odds and lines are current as of Friday, July 26, at 4:00 PM, EST and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 MLB Betting Record: 0-2-0 (-2.00 Units)
Bet Name: Luis L. Ortiz (PIT) UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts
Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates (52-50) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (53-50) (60-39)
Sportsbook: DraftKings
Odds: (+120)
Wager: 1 Unit
MLB Best Bet of the Day – Luis L. Ortiz Player Prop
Our best bet of the day will target Pittsburgh Pirates RHP Luis L. Ortiz to go Under his strikeout prop, currently set at 3.5, on a single-unit wager.
Although Ortiz has enjoyed a stellar campaign thus far in 2024, posting a 5-2 record with a 2.57 ERA in 73.2 innings pitched, his advanced metrics, specifically with regards to striking out batters have been porous. From a sheer percentile perspective among MLB starters, Ortiz ranks 25th in Chase Rate, 28th in K%, and 30th in Whiff%, via Baseball Savant.
Tonight, Ortiz will be in tough spot against a Diamondbacks team which ranks among the best in baseball in a wide range of offensive metrics. As a team, Arizona is renowned for putting together complete at-bats, ranking 9th in baseball in both xBA (.252) and strikeouts (814), fifth in OBP (.325), and fourth in batted Balls (2,729), via Baseball Savant.
In addition, as (-162) home favorites, that carries with it a substantial 61.83% implied-win probability, meaning the Diamondbacks are likely to play with a lead and put runs on the board. It’s also important to note that Ortiz has also gone under this prop in 8 of his past 12 starts (66.6% success rate).
Look for Ortiz to go under his strikeout prop at an enticing (+120) price point.
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