NASCAR Best Bet of the Day – 2/27
Erik Jones Top 10 (+550)
The practice and qualifying runs were not what anybody expected yesterday, filled with problems and drivers crashing. One driver who really stood out was Erik Jones who put together a good qualifying lap and will start on the front row in 2nd. I’m going to go ahead and take Erik Jones Top 10 at +550 (Bovada). When looking around on other books, DraftKings has Erik Jones Top 10 at +160, and FanDuel has him listed at +250, so as always, be sure to shop around to grab the best odds available.
Jones is a part of Petty GMS Motorsports which of course doesn’t have the best equipment available so not many people are going to look towards him, but these new NextGen Cars were said to be made for nearly identical performance to give lower budget teams a chance to be more competitive. So I decided to go back to 2020 when Erik Jones drove the #20 car for Joe Gibbs Racing where he had top-tier equipment and great speed. In 2020, Jones finished 10th at Auto Club and finished top 10 in 4/6 races at high tire wear tracks making him finish sixth in total speed rankings. Jones has a 12.0 finish average in his career at Auto Club and also owns the 4th best driver average rating at Auto Club since 2005.
Lastly in the last five years at Auto Club, a driver starting on the front row in second has failed to finish in the top 10 only once. Jones will start on the front row today and I have to grab him here at +550, I believe these odds are great compared to other books and Jones has shown his potential here and he showed his success during qualifying and practice.
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