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NFL Best Bet of the Day – Bills vs. Jets (Week 6, 2024)

NFL Best Bet of the Day – Bills vs. Jets (Week 6, 2024)

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Week 6 in the NFL concludes with a pivotal Monday night showdown. This week, we have Josh Allen the Buffalo Bills (3-2) taking on Aaron Rodgers and the New York Jets (2-3) at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Let’s take a deep dive at today’s NFL best bet of the day.

All NFL odds and lines are current as of Monday, October 14th, at 9:00 am, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 NFL Betting Record: 6-2-0 (+2.96 units)

Bet Name: Bills/NY Jets UNDER 40.5

Sportsbook: DraftKings

Odds: (-110)

Wager: 1 Unit

NFL Best Bet of the Day – Bills vs. Jets

Our best bet between Buffalo and New York will target the Under on the game total, currently set at 40.5, on a single-unit wager.

The spread for this game sees the Bills enter play as slight one-point road favorites. This means that professional oddsmakers and sportsbooks are anticipating a highly competitive and low-scoring matchup between two AFC East rivals. Both of which are in dire need of a victory.

After a hot 3-0 start to the 2024 campaign, the Bills have now lost back-to-back games to the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans. On the other sideline, the Jets, fresh off the firing of head coach Robert Salah, have been a model of inconsistency thus far this season in lieu of sky-high expectations.

Monday’s matchup features two teams that have seen their fair share of struggles on the offensive side of the ball through the first five games of the season. Notably, we have some talented running backs like Breece Hall, Devin Singletary, and rookie Braelon Allen.

The Jets enter play having ranked 27th in the NFL in Team Yards per Game (286.6). Meanwhile, the Bills rank 23rd (299.8). In addition, Buffalo ranks 30th in Team Completion Percentage (60.45%), while New York ranks 26th (61.58%), per NFL Team Rankings.

At the all-important quarterback position, it’s been rough. Both Aaron Rodgers and Josh Allen have also been underwhelming in the early onset of the season. Notably, of the 36 starting quarterbacks with a minimum of 45 pass attempts, Rodgers himself ranks 29th in Completion Percentage (61%), while Allen comes in at 32nd (60%). In addition, Allen ranks a mere 24th in Completed Air Yards (4.6), with Rodgers coming in at 31st (4.2), via NFL Next Gen Stats.

All things considered, take the Under at an enticing (-110) price point for our NFL best bet of the day.


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Domenic Lunardo Domenic is a freelance sportswriter at Faceoff Sports Network and The Game Day. Previously, he wrote for The Hockey Writers, LWOS, and Prime Time Sports Talk. Over the past few years, Domenic has provided analysis more frequently in the sports betting industry and maintains an active presence on Twitter, primarily posting daily betting cards across the NHL, NFL, MLB, NBA, college basketball, and soccer. Although Domenic has a diverse sporting background, he specializes in hockey, football, and baseball.