NFL Best Bet of the Day – Saints vs. Chiefs (2024)
Week 5 in the NFL concludes with a Monday night showdown between the New Orleans Saints (2-2) and Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) at HEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a deep dive and examine my favorite NFL best bet of the day between the Saints and Chiefs.
All NFL odds and lines are current as of Sunday, October 6, at 3:00 pm and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 NFL Betting Record: 6-1-0 (+3.96 units)
Bet Name: Chris Olave (NOS) OVER 59.5 Receiving Yards
Sportsbook: DraftKings Sportsbook
Odds: (-115)
Wager: 1 Unit
NFL Best Bet of the Day – Saints vs. Chiefs
Our NFL best bet between New Orleans and Kansas City will target the Over on Saints wide receiver Chris Olave’s receiving yardage prop. This player prop bet is currently set at 59.5, on a single-unit wager. Continue reading to find out why this is our best bet of the day.
The game total for this matchup currently sits at 43. This signifies that professional oddsmakers and sportsbooks are anticipating a relatively high-eventful matchup between two inter-conference teams.
After a quiet afternoon on the opening weekend of the 2024 campaign, Olave has topped 80+ receiving yards in each of his past three games. This has since further cemented his place as one of Saints QB Derek Carr‘s favorite downfield targets.
Furthermore, from a sheer statistical standpoint, Olave has posted some impressive figures. Notably, this includes a 24.7% Target Share, 26.4% Target Rate, and 34.5 Air Yards Share, to go along with 20 receptions and 265 yards receiving yards.
The former Ohio State wide receiver also ranks 9th among active receivers in Catch Percentage (83.33%), and tenth in Average Cushion (7.4), which measures the distance, in yards, between a receiver and their respective defender against them at the line of scrimmage, per NFL Next Gen Stats.
On Monday, Olave will be going up against a Chefs team. In lieu of their impeccable 4-0 record, has struggled through the air defensively ranking 22nd in football in Opponents Passing Yards per game (227.8), and 25th in Opponents Yards per Completion (10.7), per NFL Team Rankings, which bodes well for an explosive wide receiver like Olave.
It’s also important to note that Olave has surpassed 59.5 receiving yards in three of four games thus far this season, accounting for a terrific 75% success/hit rate.
The Saints also enter this matchup as heavy 5.5-point road underdogs, meaning Carr and the New Orleans offense will look to employ a pass-heavy approach to keep pace with the Chiefs.
Look for Olave to exceed his receiving prop at a decent (-115) price point. Overall, this makes up our NFL best bet of the day for tonight on Monday Night Football.
Trending Now
