We have reached Championship Sunday with some excellent matchups between what is likely the four best teams in the NFL. The games last week weren’t very competitive but that should change this weekend with neither favorite favored by more than three points.

For the regular season, we hit 60%, but for the playoffs, it has been a rough start. With that said, we will keep grinding and hope to sweep the rest of our picks. This week we throw some PrizePicks props into the mix. Let’s roll!

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San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles

These two teams are very even on paper. Both have very good defenses and pass rushes. Furthermore, they both have top offensive lines, strong running games, and talented pass catchers. The difference for me is Jalen Hurts’ experience and his running element versus Brock Purdy’s overall inexperience. The Eagles also have the benefit of being at home which will be a ruckus environment for the 49ers and Purdy.

The 49ers allowed the third most yards to wide receivers this season and will be facing one of the best combos in the league in DeVonta Smith and AJ Brown. I expect both to have solid games and I am taking both their overs on their receiving yard totals on PrizePicks. The 49ers who are only allowing 3.3 YPC on the ground will likely force Hurts to have to throw more in this game, boosting Brown and Smith’s yards. I think the 49ers’ gameplan should be run first with Christian McCaffrey because the Eagles’ weakness on defense is their run defense as they have allowed 4.4 YPC this year and the Giants ran for 6.7 YPC against them last week. This will help take some pressure off of Purdy against this very tough Eagles secondary. If the 49ers win this game it will be because of their running attack and this certainly may be the case. All that being said, I am taking the McCaffrey prop on PrizePicks over 56.5 rushing yards.

Ultimately, I think Hurts, the Eagles being home and their defensive line which led the league in sacks will end up being the difference in this game. I think they will get to Purdy and force him into an interception or two. Purdy has certainly been playing solid, going 7-0 as the 49ers starter, and has a great shot to have a good career in this league, but I think his season comes to an end this week and the Eagles get the win and cover. As for the over,  I just think there are too many playmakers on offense between both teams. If Jarret Stidham can put up 34 points and Geno Smith can put up 23 against San Francisco, I think Hurts can put up at least 27 to 30. The 49ers then just need 17-20 points to push it over. I will also throw down a two-team teaser with the Eagles and the over.

The Picks: Eagles -2.5, Over 46

Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs

We should all know at this point that Joe Burrow is 3-0 against Patrick Mahomes in his career. Now Bengals players are even calling Arrowhead Stadium, “Burrowhead”. For what it’s worth, the Bengals have only won in Arrowhead once. Certainly, this will provide fuel for the Chiefs, but on the other hand, when Chiefs linebacker Willie Gay Jr. was asked what impressed him about this Bengals offense, he replied, “Nothing”. As expected, we’ve got some smack talk coming from both sides.

Will the Chiefs fare better than the Bills on defense against this Bengals team missing three starting offensive linemen?  Possibly. But Burrow still gets the ball out extremely quickly and as he showed against the Bills last week, he knows exactly where to go with the football. It also doesn’t help that the Chiefs have allowed the most receptions to opposing running backs this season which is key for Burrow to ward off this pass rush and hit his check-downs.

The Chiefs allowed six catches to Samaje Perine in their Week 13 matchup and they need to try and take away these easy reads for Burrow in this matchup. However, then you still need to deal with Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Joe Mixon did not play in that matchup in Week 13, but Perine had over 100 yards rushing in that game and I think Mixon will find similar success this week. I am taking his over-rushing yards prop on PrizePicks at 56.5. Travis Etienne averaged 7.1 YPC last week against the KC. This is potentially something the Bengals can exploit.

Mahomes has averaged 249 passing yards in his last two matchups with the Bengals, most recently throwing for just 223 yards in Week 13. Now, he has no Tyreek Hill to fall back on and he’s playing with a high ankle sprain. Mahomes undoubtedly can overcome all of this, but I am still taking his under-passing yards prop of 274.5 yards on PrizePicks. The Bengals did not allow any big plays to the Bills last week and really bottled up Josh Allen. Nothing came easy for Allen, every completion he made was pretty much a ridiculous throw or him evading pressure to complete a pass. Compare that to Burrow who was throwing to wide-open guys pretty much all game. This is a credit to defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo who has done as a masterful job at slowing down two of the best quarterbacks in the league in Allen and Mahomes. The Bengals also have a solid secondary led by safeties Jessie Bates and Von Bell and corners Mike Hilton along with rookie Cam Taylor-Britt.

It’s crazy to think that Burrow could start his career going 4-0 against Mahomes, but that’s what I think will happen. Certainly, the Chiefs can win this game, I just haven’t been able to fall off the Bengals all week. I see them winning and covering and I like the game to go under the total of 47.5 despite the last two matchups hitting exactly 51 points both times.

The Picks: Cincy +1, Under 47.5

Thanks for reading, enjoy the game, and all the best this weekend. You can follow me on Twitter @FantasySavvy.

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