NFL Week 11: Free Picks, Betting Tips and Best Bets

Thanks for joining us for another week of free NFL picks and advice on my best bets of the week. Last week we only had four picks, but we went 3-1, with the Bears just missing for the sweep. That puts my season record at 45-27 overall (62.5%) going 33-20 on sides and 12-7 on totals. Pretty solid so far, but we have lots of season left as we look to finish strong.

For Week 11, we have seven plays, just one total with one favorite and five underdogs! Let’s get right into it with NFL Week 11: Free Picks, Betting Tips, and Best Bets.

Week 11 – Free NFL Picks

Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons

The Pick: Bears +3

What else is new? We are picking the Bears. Every week they fit our numbers and Justin Fields is certainly doing his part if we could just get that defense to come around some. Fields will likely go off again facing this porous Falcons defense, but this time I think his defense makes a big play or two and the Bears secure the win in Atlanta.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Indianapolis Colts

The Pick: Colts +6.5

Jeff Saturday won his head coaching debut last week against the Raiders, silencing the haters and doubters for at least one week. Now they take on an Eagles team fresh off their first loss of the season. The Colts are a live dog with Saturday at the helm, Jonathan Taylor looking like himself again, Parris Campbell showing life, and this Colts defense continuing to be tough like it has all season. I think the Eagles could hit a little bit of a mid-season funk here, don’t be afraid to take a little on the Colts’ money line at +240. Pound for Pound these teams are closer than this line indicates.

Los Angeles Rams @ New Orleans Saints

The Pick: Rams +3

Things have gotten so ridiculous for the defending Super Bowl champs, that they are now three-point underdogs to the 3-7 Andy Dalton-led Saints. I think this spread is going a little overboard and the Rams will get a win in New Orleans. Yes, there is no Cooper Kupp and Stafford’s line hasn’t protected him all season, but the Rams shouldn’t be a three-point dog. Take the value with the Rams as I expect them to win this game outright.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Denver Broncos 

The Pick: Broncos -2.5

This is a battle of potentially fired Head Coaches with Nathaniel Hackett and Josh McDaniels. It’s also the battle of two underachieving quarterbacks in Russell Wilson and Derek Carr. The difference in this game is Denver’s defense and secondary. They will do enough to push the Broncos to victory and cover this spread.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers

The Pick: Chargers +5

Justin Herbert should finally be getting some reinforcements in this game with Keenan Allen expected back. Mike Williams also has a chance to return, but that seems less likely. On the other side, Patrick Mahomes will be without both JuJu Smith-Schuster and Mecole Hardman. I think the five here is just a tad too much and it pushes me to the Charger’s side.

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals

The Pick: Cardinals +8, Over 43

Kyler Murray may miss another game with his hamstring injury, but Colt McCoy will be there to back him up again if he needs to. McCoy played admirably last week leading this offense to 27 points in the win over the Rams. Some have argued this offense is more efficient with McCoy at the helm! I do expect the 49ers to win this game, but I think it’s just too many points. Give me the over as well. Cardinals and the over sounds like a decent teaser.

Thanks for reading, all the best this week. You can follow me on Twitter @FantasySavvy.

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