Looking for our free NHL picks and predictions for today’s matchup between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Pittsburgh Penguins? We’ve got you covered. Dive into our breakdown to see which team has the edge and where the smart money lies for this Lightning vs. Penguins showdown. Continue reading for today’s free NHL picks and predictions.
Let’s take a deep dive and examine my favorite best bet between the Tampa Bay Lightning (9-6-1) and Pittsburgh Penguins (7-10-3). This game kicks off tonight in Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania at 7 PM, EST.
All NHL odds and lines are current as of Tuesday, November 19th, at 9:30 AM, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024-25 NHL Betting Record: 3-6-0 (- 3.37 Units)
Bet Name: TB Lightning 3-Way ML (To Win in Regulation)
Sportsbook: DraftKings
Odds: (+115)
Wager: 1 Unit
Free NHL Picks and Predictions Today – Lightning vs. Penguins
Our best bet between Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh will target the Lightning to win the game in regulation (60 minutes), on a single-unit wager. The total for this matchup is currently set at 6.5. This means that oddsmakers and betting markets are anticipating a high-scoring matchup between two Eastern Conference foes. Personally, I’m in agreement there as well.
Winners of back-to-back contests, the Lightning are finally beginning to hit their stride after a rocky start to the 2024-25 NHL campaign. Currently, they find themselves in third place in the Atlantic Division.
Tampa Bay is led by the likes of star winger Nikita Kucherov, who has tallied 26 points through 16 games thus far this season (1.63 points per game). As a result, the Bolts own the best goal-differential in the division at plus-11. Additionally, they have played better than their 9-6-1 record would suggest.
Furthermore, this is evident in their advanced metrics/analytics. Specifically, on the offensive end of the rink. Currently, Jon Cooper’s team ranks 7th in the NHL in both Goals% (56.92%) and Goal-Differential per 60 Minutes (0.7), and second in Shooting Percentage on Shots on Goal (11.28%).
The Penguins, on the other hand, have lost five of their past seven games. Unfortunately, they have had their fair share of struggles thus far this season. Specifically on the defensive end of the rink. As a team, Pittsburgh ranks 31st in hockey in Expected Goals Against (48.11), 29th in Save Percentage on Shots on Goal (89.06%), and 28th in High-Danger Shots Against (48), via MoneyPuck.
Finally, this particular selection also offers bettors some slight +EV, where Pinnacle Sportsbook has the Bolts listed at (+105) odds to win in 60 minutes.
Look for Tampa Bay to come away with the victory in regulation time at an excellent (+115) price point. This concludes today’s free NHL picks and predictions. Let us know if you’re riding with us!
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