Free NHL Picks and Predictions Today – Wild vs Sabres
A mammoth 15-game schedule composes the Wednesday NHL slate on the eve of U.S. Thanksgiving, providing prospective bettors with ample opportunity to cash in on various wagers. Let’s examine my free NHL picks and predictions between the Minnesota Wild (13-4-4) and Buffalo Sabres (11-9-1) from the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York.
All NHL odds and lines are current as of Wednesday, November 27th, 8:30 AM, EST, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024-25 NHL Betting Record: 5-8-0 (- 3.71 Units)
Bet Name: Wild/Sabres UNDER 6
Sportsbook: bet365
Odds: (-105)
Wager: 1 Unit
Free NHL Picks and Predictions Today – Wild vs. Sabres
Our best bet between Minnesota and Buffalo will target the Under on the game total, on a single-unit wager. The total for this matchup is currently set at 6, meaning oddsmakers and betting markets are predicting a relatively low-scoring affair between two inter-conference opponents.
After a poor start to the 2024-25 NHL campaign, the Sabres have reeled off victories in four of their past five contests, including a three-game sweep of the California teams. Additionally, currently occupy the second (and final) postseason berth in a very competitive Eastern Conference playoff picture.
They’ve accomplished this through their strong defensive play. Ultimately, limiting opponents to two goals or less in seven of their past 10 contests.
The Sabres have also posted some solid advanced metrics/analytics figures, specifically in the defensive end of the rink, ranking 11th in hockey in Expected Goals-Against (41.13), and 10th in both High-Danger Shots Against (38) and Goal-Differential Above Expected (7.29), via MoneyPuck.
The Wild, on the other hand, have been terrific this season under Head Coach on their own under Head Coach John Hines. Additionally, with superstar winger Kirill Kaprizov and their two-headed monster in goal, Marc-Andre Fleury and Filip Gustavsson. Impressively, they have combined for a combined .918 Save Percentage (fourth) and 2.48 Goals-Against-Average (third).
Minnesota has also posted some stellar advanced stats, ranking fourth in the NHL in Expected Goals Against (35.89), second in Save Percentage on Shots on Goal (93.78%), and first in Goals-Against Per 60 Minutes (1.65).
In terms of recent betting trends, both Minnesota and Buffalo have combined for Under six goals in seven of their past 10 games. In total, this translates to a whopping 70% success/hit rate.
This particular wager also possesses some significant +EV, as the game total is listed at 5.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Once again, we see the underlying value of locking in a bet early before prospective betting markets can make adjustments.
Look for a tight-checking, hotly contested game to unfold this evening between the Wild and Sabres, keeping the total to under six goals, at a solid (-105) price point.
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