Welcome to our first NBA best bet of the day for the 2024 basketball season. Today, we have a matchup between the San Antonio Spurs (6-7) and the Dallas Mavericks (5-7). We’ll be breaking down the outlook for these two teams and giving you our free NBA pick of the day.
A mini five-game schedule composes the Saturday NBA slate. That said, there is still ample opportunity for prospective bettors to cash in on various player prop bets.
Let’s take a deep dive and examine my favorite best bet between the Spurs and Mavericks from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.
All NBA odds and lines are current as of Saturday, November 16, at 9:30 AM, EST, courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 NBA Betting Record: 0-1-0 (- 1.00 Units)
Bet Name: Victor Wembanyama (SA) OVER 24.5 Points
Sportsbook: bet365
Odds: (+100)
Wager: 1 Unit
NBA Best Bet of the Day – Spurs vs. Mavericks
Our best bet between San Antonio and Dallas will target Spurs star Victor Wembanyama to surpass 24.5 points, on a single-unit wager.
The total for this game is 229, with the Mavs as colossal 10.5-point home favorites, meaning betting markets and sportsbooks are anticipating a relatively high-scoring matchup, with Dallas winning handily.
After being the consensus number one overall selection at the 2023 NBA Entry Draft, Wembanayama continues to morph into an all-world, elite-level talent, living up to his hype as one of basketball’s most exciting young players.
Through San Antonio’s first 11 games of the 2024-25 regular season, the Le Chesnay, Le Chesnay-Rocquencourt, France native has averaged 22.7 points per game and 10.5 rebounds. All while shooting 47.2% from the field and averaging 31.6 minutes per game. Needless to say, he’s been fantastic.
Wembanyama has also posted some impressive advanced metrics/analytics this year. Notably, ranking 22nd among active players in Field Goals Attempted (17.62), 10th in NBA Efficiency Rating (27.77), and ninth in Win Score (13.89).
On the other side of the court, the Mavericks have struggled on the defensive end through the early stages of the season, ranking 21st in basketball in Defensive Rebounds per Game (32.1), and 29th in both Defensive Rebounding Percentage (71.3%), and Opponent Fastbreak Efficiency (2.561), per NBA Team Rankings.
In terms of game script, as heavy 10.5-point road underdogs favorites and (+400) odds to win outright, this carries with it a minuscule 20% implied-win probability. This signifies that San Antonio is expected to play from behind, and ultimately look to their star center to keep them in the game.
It’s also important to note that Wemby has exceeded 24.5 points in each of his past three games. Impressively, including a 50-point performance against the Washington Wizards. Ultimately, accounting for a terrific 100% success/hit rate.
Furthermore, this particular selection also offers bettors significant EV+ value. Wembanyama’s point prop (24.5) is listed at (-127) at Pinnacle Sportsbook.
Look for the Spurs star to score at least 25 points this evening at a terrific (+100) price point. Be sure to follow along and let us know if you’re tailing our NBA best bet of the day between the Spurs and Mavericks.
Trending Now
