NFL Best Bet Week 10: Eagles vs. Cowboys (2024)
Welcome to our free NFL best bet for Week 10 of the 2024 football season. This week, our best bet takes place in an NFC East divisional matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles (6-2) and Dallas Cowboys (3-5) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Our free best bet for Week 10 features a player prop bet. Continue reading to learn more.
All NHL odds and lines are current as of Saturday, November 9th, at 12:00 PM EST and courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 NFL Betting Record: 8-3-0 (+3.78 units)
Bet Name: Saquon Barkley (PHI) OVER 90.5 Rushing Yards
Sportsbook: DraftKings
Odds: (-110)
Wager: 1 Unit
NFL Best Bet Week 10: Eagles vs. Cowboys
Our best bet between Philadelphia and Dallas will target Eagles running back Saquon Barkley‘s rushing prop, currently set at 90.5, on a single-unit wager.
The total for this game is 43.5, with the Eagles as hefty 7.5-point road favorites. This means that oddsmakers and sportsbooks are anticipating a relatively high-scoring affair between two bitter NFC East rivals. Ultimately, with the Eagles winning fairly comfortably.
After spending six seasons in the New York Giants backfield, Barkley has enjoyed a solid campaign thus far in the City of Brotherly Love. From a statistical standpoint, the former Penn State star ranks second among active running backs in yards (925), seventh in touchdowns (6), and ninth in carries (157). Needless to say, he’s been great.
Barkley has also posted some excellent advanced analytics/metrics. Impressively, ranking second among backs in both Rushing Yards Over Expected (263) and Rushing Yards Over Expected per Attempt (1.72), per NFL Next Gen Stats.
On Sunday, Barkley will be up against a Cowboys D-core. After high expectations heading into the year, this team has struggled mightily thus far. Specifically, against the run. As a team, Dallas ranks 30th in the NFL in Opponent Rushing Attempts per Game (31.9), and 31st in both Opponent Rushing First Downs per Game (9.1) and Opponent Rushing Play Percentage (51.62%), via NFL Team Rankings.
In addition, as large 7.5-point road favorites and (-370) odds to win outright, that carries with it a substantial 78.72% implied-win probability. This signifies that we are likely to see a more run-heavy approach from the Eagles offense. Look for Head Coach Nick Sirianni to possess the ball, play with the lead, and work the clock. In hopes of keeping the Cowboys offense off the field.
It’s also important to note that Barkley has surpassed 90.5 yards on the ground in six of his past eight games. This accounts for an excellent 75% success/hit rate. Take the Over on Barkley’s rushing prop at a solid (-110) price point as our free NFL best bet of the day.
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