NFL Best Bet Week 11: Rams vs. Patriots (2024)
Welcome to our free NFL best bet for Week 11 of the 2024 football season. Week 11 in the NFL takes center stage tomorrow with an intriguing inter-conference matchup between the Los Angeles Rams (4-5) and New England Patriots (3-7) at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Our free best bet for Week 11 features a player prop bet. Continue reading to learn more.
All NFL odds and lines are current as of Saturday, November 16th, at 2:30 PM, EST, courtesy of bet365 Sportsbook.
Domenic Lunardo’s 2024 NFL Betting Record: 8-4-0 (+ 2.78 Units)
Bet Name: Drake Maye (NE) OVER 202.5 Passing Yards
Sportsbook: bet365
Odds: (-110)
Wager: 1 Unit
NFL Best Bet Week 11: Rams vs. Patriots
Our best bet between Los Angeles and New England will target Patriots rookie quarterback Drake Maye to exceed 202.5 passing yards, on a single-unit wager.
The total for this game is 43.5, with the Rams entering as 4.5-point road favorites, meaning oddsmakers and sportsbooks are anticipating a relatively competitive affair, with the Rams coming out on top.
Winners of two of their past three games, the Pats have played some solid football over the past few weeks, and owe much of their recent success to their rookie gunslinger.
From a statistical standpoint, the third overall selection at the 2024 NFL Draft has thrown for 932 yards through the air, to go along with seven touchdowns, five interceptions, and an impressive 64.7% completion percentage in six appearances thus far this season.
On Sunday, Maye and the Pats will be up against a Rams defense, which has had its fair share of struggles over their first nine games. As a team, Los Angeles ranks 22nd in football in Opponents’ Yards per Game (346.6), 25th in Gross Passing Yards per Game (241.3), and 31st in Opponents’ Yards per Completion (11.7), via NFL Team Rankings.
In addition, as 4.5-home underdogs and (+180) odds to win outright, that carries with it a minuscule 35.71% implied-win probability. This signifies that we are likely to see a more pass-heavy approach from Jerod Mayo’s offense, who are expected to play from behind.
It’s also important to note that Maye has surpassed 202.5 yards through the air in three of his past five games, which translates to a superb 60% success/hit rate.
Take the Over on Maye’s passing prop at a decent (-110) price point for our NFL best bet of the day between the Rams and Patriots.
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