NFL Player Prop Bets Week 17: Lions vs. 49ers (MNF)
Welcome back to Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets. Week 17 wraps up on Monday Night Football. We have a matchup on Monday night between the Detroit Lions and the San Francisco 49ers. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, sports bettors only care about making money. However, which prop bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite NFL player prop bets for this Week 17 MNF matchup.
NFL Player Prop Bets Week 17: MNF Lions vs. 49ers
Week 17 wraps up on Monday Night Football as Jared Goff and the red-hot Detroit Lions take on a struggling San Francisco 49ers team. This is a rematch of last year’s NFC Championship. Last year, the 49ers beat the Lions 34-31 after being down by 17 points. Look for Goff and the high-powered Lions offense to bounce back big time. Continue reading for my 5 favorite NFL player props in this Week 17 MNF showdown.
Brock Purdy Over 252.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Unfortunately, the 49ers won’t make the playoffs this year for the first time since 2020. Yet, Purdy has had a solid season. The third-year pro has averaged 249.1 passing yards per game. He has had some poor performances. However, they’ve come when the weather has been awful. Meanwhile, Purdy has averaged 260 passing yards per game over the past three weeks despite playing the Week 15 contest in heavy rain, totaling 313 or more twice.
The former Iowa State star has an appealing matchup on Monday night against the Lions. Detroit has surrendered the sixth-most passing yards to quarterbacks entering Week 17, giving up 255.1 per game. They have allowed over 315 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks in over a quarter of their games, including back-to-back contests against Josh Allen and Caleb Williams. More importantly, the Lions have surrendered 289.5 passing yards per game to quarterbacks over the past month.
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 93.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Gibbs has averaged 74.9 rushing yards per game in the 14 contests with David Montgomery this season. However, he has been outstanding without the veteran running back. Last week, the second-year pro had 23 attempts for 109 rushing yards. The former Alabama star has averaged 19.3 attempts for 102.3 rushing yards per game in four career contests without Montgomery, totaling over 100 in back-to-back outings. More importantly, Gibbs has an appealing matchup on Monday night.
San Francisco has surrendered 97.8 rushing yards per game to running backs, giving up 98 or more in 53.3% of their contests, including five of the past seven outings. More importantly, the 49ers have allowed opposing running backs to average 135.4 rushing yards per game over the past five weeks, surrendering 113 or more in four of their past five contests. Gibbs should have over 100 rushing yards for the second consecutive week.
Brock Purdy Over 3.5 Rushing Attempts (-120)
While bettors don’t consider Purdy a mobile quarterback, the former Iowa State star has shown off his wheels this year. He has averaged 4.9 rushing attempts for 22.2 yards per game in 2024, up from 3.7 and nine last season. More importantly, Purdy has used his legs more since the 49ers lost Christian McCaffrey (knee) and Jordan Mason (ankle) to season-ending injuries, totaling at least four rushing attempts twice over the past three games.
Furthermore, he has had four or more rushing attempts in 71.4% of the games this year, including 10 of the past 12 contests. Purdy has had four or more attempts in all but two games since San Francisco’s Week 9 bye. Meanwhile, the Lions have had issues keeping quarterbacks in the pocket lately. They’ve surrendered seven rushing attempts per game to quarterbacks over the past five weeks, allowing four or more in every outing.
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 3.5 Receptions (-145)
Bettors should expect a massive performance from Gibbs on Monday night. He has averaged 2.9 receptions per game, totaling four or more in 40% of the contest. However, the superstar has become a critical part of the passing attack lately. Gibbs has averaged five receptions per game over the past three weeks, totaling four or more in every outing. More importantly, his role on offense has expanded with David Montgomery out of the lineup.
The former Alabama star had four receptions last week with Montgomery out for the season with a knee injury. Furthermore, Gibbs has averaged 4.8 receptions per game in four career contests without the veteran running back. Meanwhile, the 49ers have struggled to stop running backs in the passing game, giving up 4.7 receptions per contest. They’ve surrendered four or more receptions to running backs in 60% of their games, including three consecutive matchups.
Sam LaPorta Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Many had high hopes for LaPorta after an impressive rookie year. He has bounced back after a poor start to the season. The former Iowa star has averaged 42.8 receiving yards per game this year despite averaging only 2.8 targets and 37.3 yards per contest over the first month. Furthermore, LaPorta has played better lately, averaging eight targets and 69.3 receiving yards per game over the past three weeks, totaling 54 or more twice.
Meanwhile, the second-year pro has an underrated matchup on Monday night against San Francisco. The 49ers have given up the third-fewest receiving yards to tight ends this season, surrendering 37.3 per game. They’ve allowed 38 or fewer receiving yards to tight ends in 66.7% of their contests. However, San Francisco has given up 43.8 receiving yards per game to tight ends over the past month, surrendering 67 or more twice, including last week.
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