The Most Consistent Fantasy Football Quarterbacks of 2022
In fantasy football, we are always looking for players who can produce on a weekly basis. The term “consistent” gets thrown around a lot, but one of our Fantasy Football Tools helps you determine which players were the most consistent. That tool is The Consistency Score (CS), which is an easy-to-understand metric that tells us which players consistently score a high amount of fantasy points. Simply put, the higher the Consistency Score, the better.
I’ll be taking a look at some of the leaders in Consistency Score from the 2022 fantasy football season. Additionally, I’ll look at some of the outliers and players that stand out, either in a positive way or a negative way. I’ve also included fantasy points per game as well for comparison since that is one of the more popular and telling ways to evaluate players for fantasy purposes. Let’s get right into the quarterbacks and how consistent everyone was this year.
Top 12 Quarterbacks – Consistency Score
- Jalen Hurts (15.07)
- Patrick Mahomes (14.2)
- Josh Allen (13.19)
- Joe Burrow (12.58)
- Geno Smith (9.92)
- Daniel Jones (9.12)
- Tom Brady (8.91)
- Sam Darnold (8.02)
- Justin Fields (7.94)
- Justin Herbert (7.49)
- Dak Prescott (7.44)
- Tua Tagovailoa (7.43)
Top 12 Quarterbacks – Fantasy Points per Game
- Jalen Hurts (25.2)
- Josh Allen (24.7)
- Patrick Mahomes (24.5)
- Joe Burrow (21.9)
- Justin Fields (19.7)
- Lamar Jackson (19.7)
- Kyler Murray (18.2)
- Daniel Jones (18.1)
- Geno Smith (17.9)
- Tua Tagovailoa (17.8)
- Trevor Lawrence (17.4)
- Kirk Cousins (17.2)
1-4
For the top quarterbacks, the names shouldn’t come as much of a surprise. Depending on your scoring system, it’s highly likely that Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Joe Burrow were at the top of the list. They all threw for 4,300 or more passing yards except for Hurts, who ran for an additional 760 and missed two games, Weeks 16 and 17.
Allen now has four-straight seasons that he’s finished as the QB8 or higher. After finishing as the QB1 in fantasy for three straight years, he finished as the QB2 this year. Not much else needs to be said about Allen. He’s elite and is going to continue putting up fantasy numbers and be one of the top finishers in CS.
5-8
After the top four, things get interesting. Geno Smith had a fantastic season with a classic 10th-year breakout. Daniel Jones really stepped up and had the best season of his career to date, in his fourth NFL season. Tom Brady is a bit surprising to see on this list as he finished the season as the QB12 on the season. While he didn’t put up gaudy fantasy numbers, he was consistently producing. He finished as a top-24 quarterback in 62.5% of his games played, which was the best of any quarterback recorded this year.
One of the most interesting names on here is obviously Sam Darnold. While he only had five games that went towards his Consistency Score this year, he certainly produced in those games. In two of those weeks, he faced tough defenses in Denver and Pittsburgh but really didn’t look terrible. He threw for seven touchdowns and just one interception in that time. Furthermore, he added two rushing touchdowns as well. The CS only takes into account games where the player actually played, so it makes sense that his CS is a bit higher on this list than you might have guessed.
9-12
One name that stands out in this last group of quarterbacks is Justin Fields. Starting in Week 7, he went six-straight games with a rushing touchdown. He started off slow, but had that stretch of ridiculous production, giving him a fairly lower consistency score than you might expect.
Both Justin Herbert and Dak Prescott didn’t quite live up to expectations this year. The Chargers’ offense dealt with all kinds of injuries and Herbert was basically throwing to backup wide receivers and Austin Ekeler all year. As for Prescott, he threw 15 interceptions, which was tied with Davis Mills for the most in the NFL. Also, outside of CeeDee Lamb, he didn’t have much to work with in the receiving game.
For as good as Tua Tagovailoa was this year, he wasn’t the most consistent quarterback. That being said, in Weeks 4 and 12, he left early with injuries, which gave him a Top-24 finish and a 24+ finish. Had he not played at all or had two Top-24 finishes, his CS would’ve been higher and would’ve likely made him QB10 instead of QB12 in this metric. While some say the best ability might be availability, it’s worth noting these things when understanding how “consistent” a player is for fantasy football purposes.
Inconsistency
When looking at the players with the lowest Consistency Score, it’s not as simple as just looking at the lowest numbers. The threshold for being listed in the CS is playing in a minimum of four games. For example, quarterbacks like Teddy Bridgewater or Gardner Minshew technically meet the requirements but don’t have an accurate representation due to partial games played.
That being said, there are some notable names that we see when you consider starting quarterbacks with a low Consistency Score. I’m talking more specifically of players like Derek Carr or Russell Wilson who both started in 15 games this year and were inconsistent for fantasy football purposes.
Derek Carr
Consistency Score: QB30
First up is Derek Carr, who has all sorts of drama around him right now and uncertainty regarding his future in the NFL. Finishing as the QB17 on the season is fairly normal for Carr, but it was a disappointment for sure, considering they brought in Davante Adams. He had the lowest Consistency Score of any quarterback this year who played in 15 or more games.
One of the main reasons for Carr’s low CS is due to a couple of terrible weeks. In Week 8 he had just 1.94 fantasy points against the Saints and in Week 14 he had 2.58 against the Rams. On top of that, he had 14 interceptions this year, which is tied with 2021 for the most interceptions in a season. Furthermore, he had career lows in both attempts (502) and completions (305).
Russell Wilson
Consistency Score: QB21
Staying in the AFC West, one of the most disappointing players in the entire NFL this year was Russell Wilson. Wilson was a bit more consistent than Carr overall, but in 75% of his games, he had less than 17 fantasy points. He also was 18th in fantasy points per game, which was just slightly better than his CS was. Furthermore, in nearly half of his games this year he finished as the QB24 or worse, at 43.75%. We all know that Wilson wasn’t great this year, and his consistency speaks volumes to that.
Zach Wilson
Consistency Score: QB36
Similar to Russell Wilson, we all know that Zach Wilson was a massive disappointment this year. He had plenty of offensive weapons like rookies Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson, but that didn’t matter.
You might not think it’s fair to really include Wilson in this list considering the Jets kept on bringing in Joe Flacco and Mike White. Wilson ended up starting in eight games this year while Flacco and White both had four. Wilson was also 36th in fantasy points per game, which was the lowest of any quarterback that I reviewed in this article.
QB1 Weekly Finishes
- Patrick Mahomes 93.75%
- Jalen Hurts 81.25%
- Josh Allen 76.47%
- Joe Burrow 64.71%
- Geno Smith 62.5%
- Trevor Lawrence 62.5%
- Kirk Cousins 58.82%
- Justin Herbert 56.25%
- Justin Fields 52.94%
- Kyler Murray 46.67%
- (T) Derek Carr 43.75%
- (T) Jared Goff 43.75%
- (T) Daniel Jones 43.75%
Numbers are from FantasyData
Lastly, I wanted to cover the top players with the most weekly finishes as a QB1. The elite options that are included here aren’t too surprising, with Mahomes, Hurts, Allen, and Burrow as the top four. After that, we see Smith once again, tied with Lawrence. Both of them having over 60% of their weeks as a QB1 is very promising. Whether you believe Smith is the future in Seattle or not, he was fantastic. As for Lawrence, he’s trending up and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him improve on his consistency moving forward.
Carr making this list while his CS was so low makes a lot of sense and speaks to his boom-or-bust potential. Fields finishing in the top-12 on all three of the lists on here is great to see as well and if he continues, he could push into that borderline-elite group of quarterbacks for fantasy purposes thanks to his ridiculous rushing upside.
Finally, it’s promising to see Jones included here as well. Nearly cracking the top 10 in CS, points per game, and weekly QB1 finishes should make fantasy managers who have Jones feel pretty good.
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Fantasy and Dynasty Takeaways
Dynasty fantasy football has always been my personal favorite format out there, so I included a few takeaways. Some of these players you might want to consider buying or selling, as they could see a spike or drop in value this off-season.
Trevor Lawrence
Finishing 15th in CS, 11th in fantasy points per game, and 6th in weekly QB1 finishes, there’s a lot to get excited about with Lawrence. For dynasty purposes, he is worth paying up for as he’s looking like someone who could break into that elite-upside group of quarterbacks for fantasy football.
Finishing where he did with players like Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, and Zay Jones was extremely impressive. All three of those players were essentially left for dead, and all far exceeded any expectations this year. Don’t be afraid to pay up a bit for Lawrence now, as he could easily make a push to be a tier below the elite quarterbacks.
Daniel Jones
I’ve mentioned Jones a few times already, and he’s definitely someone I’d consider buying. Jones has absolutely proven that he deserves a chance to run this offense for the foreseeable future. He’s produced solid numbers both through the air and on the ground, despite really having no weapons to work with.
Don’t be surprised if the Giants target a top wide receiver in this draft class. Whoever that rookie ends up being, they’ll immediately step into a potentially large role and even become the Giants’ future WR1, even if it’s in the 2nd Round.
Jared Goff
Similar to Jones, Jared Goff is someone worth buying low on in your dynasty leagues. Goff signed a deal with Detroit that goes through the end of 2025. The Lions far exceeded expectations this year and the offense has a ton of weapons to work with, despite losing TJ Hockenson.
Overall with Goff, it’s a matter of buying into a quarterback that should be starting in the NFL for the next 3-5 years. He’s currently 28 years old and I could absolutely see him having a Kirk Cousins-type of career, where he just continues to find a starting role. He might not be an elite fantasy football option, but quarterbacks like this have immense value in Superflex and 2QB leagues, while they never really get the love they deserve.
Geno Smith
This one might seem a bit obvious, but I’d be selling Smith for what I can right now. There’s a very good chance that Smith is not the future for this Seahawks team as they’ll be likely looking at a quarterback in the 1st Round of the 2023 NFL Draft. Don’t just sell him for the sake of it, but there are probably a few managers out there in your leagues who think Smith will stick around for a few more years in Seattle. I see one more year tops and think he’s going to be competing with a rookie in 2023.
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