Thursday Night Football Player Prop Bets: Bengals vs. Ravens

Welcome back to Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets.

Week 10 of the 2023 NFL regular season is in the books. Hopefully, bettors came away with more money in their pockets than they started the week with. However, the grind never stops. So, let’s not waste any time and get down to business.

Thursday night we have a matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, sports bettors only care about making money. However, which prop bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for Thursday’s game.

All props and odds are from DraftKings.

Lamar Jackson Over 43.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

While the Ravens added multiple wide receivers and changed offensive coordinators during the offseason, Jackson remains the top rushing quarterback in the NFL. The superstar has averaged 48.1 rushing yards per game this season, the most among quarterbacks and the 31st-most in the league. He has had at least 45 rushing yards in half the games this year, including the Week 2 matchup against the Bengals. Furthermore, Jackson has averaged 79.5 rushing yards per game in his career as the starter against Cincinnati, totaling 54 or more in four consecutive contests.

The Bengals have one of the better defenses in the NFL. However, they’ve struggled to stop rushing quarterbacks. Cincinnati has surrendered 247 rushing yards to quarterbacks this season, the fifth-most in the NFL. Four quarterbacks have had 44 or more rushing yards against the Bengals this season, including Brock Purdy with 57 a few weeks ago. Over the past three weeks, Cincinnati has given up 36.3 rushing yards per game to quarterbacks, surrendering 44 or more twice.

Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-110)

Unfortunately, a calf injury limited Burrow at the start of the year. He had only two passing touchdowns over the first four weeks. Yet, both scores came in Week 2 against the Ravens. More importantly, the superstar has looked healthy and been unstoppable since his slow start. Over the past five contests, Burrow has averaged 2.4 passing touchdowns per game, totaling two or more every matchup. Furthermore, the superstar is third in the NFL with 12 passing touchdowns since Week 5 despite having his bye week.

Baltimore has given up only five passing touchdowns, the fewest in the NFL by a significant margin. However, they have faced several awful quarterbacks, including C.J. Stroud in his NFL debut, Dorian Thompson-Robinson in his NFL debut, Ryan Tannehill, and Gardner Minshew. Those four quarterbacks had one combined passing touchdown against the Ravens. Meanwhile, Baltimore gave up two passing touchdowns to Burrow in Week 2 and Joshua Dobbs in Week 8. Burrow is more likely to have three passing touchdowns in this game than less than two.

Gus Edwards Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

When J.K. Dobbins suffered a torn Achilles in Week 1, Edwards took over as the starting running back. Since opening weekend, the veteran running back has averaged 52.2 rushing yards per game. He has totaled at least 48 rushing yards in 77.8% of those games, including three of the past four matchups. Furthermore, Edwards has been the featured running back. Over the past four weeks, the veteran has accounted for 58.3% of the rushing attempts and 44% of the rushing yards from the Baltimore backfield.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have surrendered 833 rushing yards to running backs this season, allowing 92.6 yards per game. They have given up over 140 rushing yards to running backs in a third of their games this year, including 150 to Devin Singletary last week. While Keaton Mitchell is a hot name off the waiver wire in your fantasy football leagues, Edwards will still produce. Edwards had 62 rushing yards on only 10 attempts in the Week 2 matchup against the division rivals. He should have no trouble totaling 60 or more rushing yards in the rematch.

Ja’Marr Chase Over 78.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The Bengals won’t have Tee Higgins for the second consecutive game because of a hamstring injury. Higgins had a massive performance in the Week 2 matchup against the Ravens, totaling eight receptions on 12 targets for 89 receiving yards and two touchdowns. With him out for the rematch, Chase will see an uptick in targets. The former LSU star had a slow start to the year, totaling 70 receiving yards over the first two weeks. However, he has averaged 107.3 receiving yards per game since the slow start, totaling 80 or more in all but two contests.

Furthermore, Chase has more games this season with at least 100 receiving yards (four) than games with fewer than 73 yards (three). Meanwhile, Baltimore has struggled against formidable passing attacks this year, including giving up 172 receiving yards to the Bengals wide receivers in Week 2. Baltimore likely won’t have star cornerback Marlon Humphrey for this game because of a calf injury. More importantly, Chase has owned the Ravens, averaging 98.6 receiving yards per game in five regular season matchups against the division rivals.

Mark Andrews Over 55.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

Despite all the offseason additions at wide receiver, Andrews remains Lamar Jackson’s favorite go-to target. The veteran tight end missed Week 1 with an injury but was solid in the Week 2 matchup against the Bengals. More importantly, the former Oklahoma star has been outstanding lately. Over the past seven weeks, he has averaged 63 receiving yards per game, totaling 63 or more in 71.4% of the contests. While the veteran had only 44 receiving yards last week, that was against a tough Cleveland Browns defense.

This week, Andrews has a much friendlier matchup. The Bengals have been one of the worst teams at defending tight ends this season. They have given up the fifth-most receiving yards to tight ends, surrendering 64.4 per game. Furthermore, tight ends have averaged 103.3 receiving yards per game against the Bengals since the bye week, totaling 71 or more in every contest. Andrews has averaged 86.3 receiving yards per game in his past three matchups against the division rivals and could hit that average Thursday night.

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