TNF Player Prop Bets: Raiders vs. Rams

Welcome back to Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets.

Last week I struggled, going 1-4 on my prop bets. The only prop to hit was Devin Singletary under 53.5 rushing yards. He barely hit the under, totaling 51 rushing yards against the New England Patriots. However, the other prop bets were awful misses. Mac Jones had only 195 passing yards, as cornerback Marcus Jones was the only Patriot with more than 31 yards in the game. Meanwhile, Rhamondre Stevenson averaged 54.6 receiving yards per game over his previous five games before last week’s matchup. Yet, he had only 24 receiving yards against the Buffalo Bills, missing the over on his prop bet by 12 yards. Hopefully, I can bounce back with a strong performance this week.

For the Thursday Night Football game this week we have a matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Rams. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, sports bettors only care about making money. However, which prop bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for this game.

All odds are from DraftKings.

Davante Adams Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

When the Raiders traded for Adams in the offseason, he was supposed to join Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller to give Derek Carr a trio of talented weapons. However, Waller hasn’t played since Week 5, while Renfrow has missed the past four games because of injuries. Meanwhile, Adams has turned into a target hog with both playmakers out of the lineup. Over the past five games, the superstar receiver has averaged 13.4 targets per game. More importantly, he averaged 132.5 receiving yards per game during that span, totaling 126 or more yards four times. Furthermore, Adams is coming off his best performance of the season with 177 receiving yards last week against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Waller and Renfrow are eligible to come off the injured reserve list this week and play against the Rams. Renfrow has a chance to play, while Waller likely won’t. Even if both players return for this matchup, Adams will still see the targets needed to hit the over on this prop bet. More importantly, the Rams have been awful at slowing down wide receivers lately. Over the past two weeks, Los Angeles has surrendered 214.5 receiving yards per game to wide receivers, the second-most in the NFL during that span. Adams has totaled 100 or more receiving yards in 58.3% of the games this season. He might hit the over on this prop bet before halftime.

Cam Akers Over 44.5 Rushing Yards (-120)

Fantasy football players who drafted Akers can explain his season in one word: frustrating. The former Florida State star struggled early in the year and ultimately asked for a trade. When the Rams didn’t move him before the trade deadline, Akers returned but played a limited role on offense. However, the team released Darnell Henderson a few weeks ago. Since then, Akers has come back to life. Over the past three games, he has averaged 13 rushing attempts for 52.7 yards per game, totaling 60 or more rushing yards twice. More importantly, Akers played 72% of the snaps last week and had 17 rushing attempts. Kyren Williams played 28% of the snaps and had only three rushing attempts by comparison.

Last week Akers had an appealing matchup against the Seattle Seahawks. He has another positive matchup this week against the Raiders. Las Vegas has surrendered 93.3 rushing yards per game to running backs this season. However, they have given up 99 or more rushing yards in 41.7% of the games this year, including three of the past five contests. Akers won’t have 100 yards against the Raiders, but he should have no trouble reaching 50 yards for the third time in the past four games.

Derek Carr Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-115)

The Raiders have won three games in a row. The veteran quarterback has 20 passing touchdowns the season, the seventh-most in the NFL. However, he has consistently put the ball in the end zone lately. Carr has thrown two or more touchdowns in five straight contests. Furthermore, the star quarterback has two or more passing touchdowns in 75% of the games this season. Despite a lack of proven receiving threats (besides Adams), Carr has put together a productive year throwing the ball.

Meanwhile, the Los Angeles defense has struggled to slow down opposing quarterbacks this season. They have surrendered 17 passing touchdowns this year, around the league average. However, the Rams have been awful at keeping opposing passing attacks out of the end zone lately. Over the past two weeks, they have given up four passing touchdowns, the second-most in the NFL. Furthermore, the Rams have surrendered eight passing touchdowns over the past month, the most in the league during that span. Carr should have no trouble keeping his streak of two or more passing touchdowns going this week against the Rams.

Tutu Atwell Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

No team has been hurt more by injuries than the Rams this season. Not only is Matthew Stafford likely done for the year, but wide receivers Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson won’t play again in 2022. Regardless of who starts at quarterback for Los Angeles in this game, they will have limited receiving options. However, Atwell has played well lately. Over the past three weeks, he has averaged 44.3 receiving yards per game, totaling at least 23 yards in every contest. Furthermore, the 2021 second-round pick has played the third-most snaps and the third-most targets among wide receivers during that span.

More importantly, the Raiders have surrendered 161.3 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season, the 12th-most in the NFL. However, they have been awful at slowing down opposing receivers lately. The Raiders have surrendered 167.3 receiving yards per game to wide receivers over the past four weeks, the 11th-most in the league. Furthermore, Las Vegas has allowed wide receivers to average 191.5 receiving yards per game over the past two weeks, the seven-most in the NFL during that span. Atwell has excellent speed, meaning all he needs is one big play to hit the over on this prop bet.

Josh Jacobs Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Jacobs has been arguably the best running back in the NFL this season. He leads the league with 1,303 rushing yards, averaging 108.6 yards per game. Furthermore, the veteran running back has averaged 5.4 yards per rushing attempt, the fourth-highest average at the position. Meanwhile, Jacobs has been on fire lately. Over the past three weeks, he has averaged 27.7 rushing attempts and 160.7 yards per game, totaling at least 109 rushing yards in every matchup. More importantly, the veteran running back has rushed for over 100 yards in six of the past nine contests.

Not only have the Rams gotten destroyed by injuries on offense, but they won’t have future Hall of Famer Aaron Donald for this game because of an ankle injury. Meanwhile, they gave up 87 rushing yards to Seattle’s backfield last week. However, Kenneth Walker accounted for only 36 of the 87 rushing yards as he left the game early with an ankle injury. Yet, the rookie star running back averaged 12 yards per rushing attempt before leaving the game. If the Rams struggled to keep DeeJay Dallas and Tony Jones Jr. in check, they have no chance against the NFL leader rusher. Jacobs should hit the over on this prop bet early in the fourth quarter.

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