Tyreek Hill Fantasy Outlook – Will He Slow Down?
Veteran wide receiver Tyreek Hill is coming off one of the most productive seasons by a WR in league history. The former fifth-round pick set new career highs in targets (171), receiving yards (1,799), touchdowns (13), and receiving yards per game (112.4). Furthermore, he also commanded a (33.7%) target share, the highest mark in the NFL. Continue reading our Tyreek Hill fantasy outlook for 2024 and beyond to learn more.
As a result, the Oklahoma State product led all pass catchers in fantasy points per matchup (23.5) while finishing as the overall WR2 in PPR scoring. This was despite missing one contest due to an ankle injury. Additionally, there are concerns surrounding Hill’s age after turning 30 in March. Should fantasy managers expect a decline in production in 2024? Let’s get into the value and outlook for him.
WR Tyreek Hill Fantasy Outlook
Once on pace for the first 2,000-yard campaign by a wide receiver, Hill was ultimately hampered by injuries. Nonetheless, he still finished with 1,799 receiving yards, the seventh most in a single season in NFL history. The Georgia native has now eclipsed 1,700 receiving yards in each of his first two years in South Beach.
As consistent an option as they come for fantasy managers, the five-time First-team All-Pro finished as a top-five WR nine times in 2023. Furthermore, Hill also led all pass catchers in yards per route run (3.88), fantasy points per route run (0.81), and route win rate (65.9%). Still maintaining his electrifying speed, the longtime Kansas City Chief also hauled in 41 receptions of 15-plus yards.
Tyreek Hill Fantasy Outlook (2024)
Regardless of his age, fantasy managers should once again expect Hill to post monster numbers in 2024. With teammates Tua Tagovailoa and Jaylen Waddle, this passing attack is surely to be one of the best in the NFL again in 2024.
Over his last two seasons, Hill is WR1 in points per game (21.9). Along with this, the Dolphins funnel more than 50% of their targets through their wide receiver core. They also remain the 14th most pass-happy offense in the NFL. This means the eight-time Pro Bowler should continue to see significant volume.
Dynasty Football Outlook
In dynasty fantasy football leagues, Hill’s outlook is less than ideal. Set to play his ninth season in the NFL, Hill has missed just five games due to injury, making him a mainstay for managers. According to FantasyPros, he is currently ranked as WR11 in Full PPR dynasty leagues. The former Super Bowl champion should have another top-three finish this year. This is on the heels of following a 2023 campaign that saw him end as WR2 while averaging 18.9 half PPR points per contest.
In saying this, the question remains: how long do you ride it out with Hill? Additionally, is the former track and field standout an asset you should look to trade before he begins to show a decline? Every team faces a different situation. Nonetheless, if the future Hall of Famer is the only elite pass-catching option on your squad, moving him for a handful of starting quality players could be a good idea.
Conclusion
Ultimately, Hill has a very high ADP regardless of format. As expected, he’s behind Christian McCaffrey and CeeDee Lamb in most ADP and our latest fantasy football rankings. Possessing a strong case to be the first wide receiver taken, he has shown no signs of slowing down. Prior to his injury a year ago, Hill was on pace for 2,098 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns.
Needless to say, the Tyreek Hill fantasy outlook for 2024 and beyond is still very solid. Furthermore, even with a sprained ankle, he still averaged nearly 86 receiving yards a game during Miami’s final three matchups. All things considered, you can confidently draft Hill in all formats this year.
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