1QB Dynasty Rookie ADP – Risers and Fallers (2024)

We have moved on to Pro Days for the 2024 Draft class with the NFL Combine now behind us. At Faceoff Sports Network, we have been conducting dynasty rookie mock drafts since before the Super Bowl. Today, I’ll be, analyzing the latest risers and fallers since the 2024 NFL Combine in our 1QB rookie ADP.

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1QB Dynasty Rookie ADP

Risers

Let’s see who the biggest risers are, along with our biggest fallers for 1QB dynasty league football rookie mock drafts. In this guide, we’ll delve into the ADP trends for rookie quarterbacks in 1QB dynasty leagues, providing valuable insights to help you navigate your draft strategy. Whether you’re a seasoned dynasty manager or new to the format, join us as we explore the ADP data, player values, and potential steals in the 2024 rookie draft class.

Isaac Guerendo, RB, Louisville (+40)

Prior to the NFL combine, Guerendo was going well outside the fourth round, causing him to be the biggest riser since combine weekend. Why the massive jump? First, his raw athletic score (RAS) was in the 99th percentile. On top of that, he ran a 4.33 40-yard dash and a 41.5-inch vertical jump. All of which were first among running backs.

Additionally, he also has very low mileage on him with only 273 total touches. A limited workload in his four years at Wisconsin, Guerendo transferred to Louisville and had his first season not only over 500, but over 1,000 total yards. Currently going in the fourth round, the upside is worth the dart throw.

Luke McCaffrey, WR, Rice (+18)

What is it with the McCaffrey family? They are just a family of athletes. From his father Ed McCaffrey who played 13 seasons, to his star brother Christian, Luke is the next one up. Although he lacks the size of his father, and the explosiveness of his brother, he does have good hands and extreme athleticism. 

McCaffrey transferred from Nebraska as a quarterback to Rice as a wide receiver. Over the last two seasons, he’s excelled at the position and improved his overall game. However, many might think he will be drafted high in the draft, but he should fall to sometime late in day 3. Overall, he could be a last pick to a waiver wire pickup.

Ben Sinnott, TE, Kansas State (+13)

A player who not only boosted his stock up in the Senior Bowl, but also in the combine is none other than Ben Sinnott. Personally, I was low on Sinnott, but am now warming up to him. Brock Bowers and Ja’Tavion Sanders are more than likely to be locked as the TE1-2 of the class. However, Sinnott is pushing himself up draft boards to be the TE3.

Sinnott led the Kansas State Wildcats yards (676) and receiving touchdowns (six) this past season. As stated above about him boosting his stock, he smashed the NFL Combine being the fastest tight end (4.68 seconds) in the 40-yard dash. Furthermore, he dominated in the 3-cone drill (6.82 seconds) and the 20-yard shuttle (4.23 seconds). He is a jack of all trades as he can play tight end, H-back and fullback. Currently in the fourth round of rookie mocks, he could hear his name called on Day 2 of the NFL Draft.

Jaylen Wright, RB, Tennessee (+8)

Most if not, all are down on the running backs for this 2024 class. However, from a complementary back, Wright has everything it takes to be a two-down back. From watching many college games, he had the speed to beat them all. Additionally, I thought Wright would be one of the fastest backs at the NFL Combine, and he was as he finished second amongst all. 

However, he’s a north-south type of runner with little cut ability. But he has the acceleration to take the top off the defense once he gets past linebackers. There are many outcomes for him at the next level, and a team with a solid offensive line could utilize his skills.

Ricky Pearsall, WR, Florida (+8)

Pearsall took it upon himself to return to Florida his senior year and it panned out. He excelled with 65 catches, for 965 yards and four touchdowns. Additionally, he had three carries for 62 yards and another two touchdowns. 

From an NFL team perspective, he too is rising up draft boards. With his sure hands and ability to create separation. Not to mention his excellent performance in the NFL Combine. Overall, the boost he is getting in rumors of the NFL Draft is also showing in our mocks. 

1QB Dynasty Rookie ADP

Fallers

As you can guess, fallers are the players who have dropped in perceived value since the NFL Combine. Here are the latest fallers in our 1QB dynasty rookie ADP.

Bucky Irving, RB, Oregon (-9)

While being productive at Oregon, the hate is going too far on Bucky here. Sometimes I wonder if we put too much emphasis on the NFL Combine compared to what we see weekly in college football. Surprisingly, Irving is falling due to a bad combine performance, as he had one of the worst RAS scores for running backs. It makes sense of the drop here.

I’m buying the dip. Seeing what he did in college will and should translate at the next level. His tape looked better than what his numbers at the combine showed. More than likely he could continue to hold his late second round appeal. However, we could see him going in the third round at a value.

Audric Estime, RB, Notre Dame (-8)

Another running back we see falling here. Audric Estime looked like a riser in drafts from his performance at Notre Dame. However, just like Bucky Irving, Estime dropped in rookie drafts after he ran a 4.71 40-yard dash. Which was the slowest of all running backs at the combine.

What we shouldn’t look past is his overall physicality. Coming in at 5’11”, 227 pounds, this guy is a human bowling back. Additionally with his size, he managed 30 touchdowns over the last two seasons as he finished with 18 this past season with the Irish.

For what it’s worth, he did improve his 40-time at Notre Dame’s Pro Day as he improved his time to 4.58! A massive improvement for him as he shined once again. Quite an improvement and I expect him to move up here going forward.

Devontez Walker, WR, North Carolina (-6)

Why is Walker dropping here? To be honest Walker did nothing to drop, it’s just that running backs moved up along with a couple of wide receivers. His speed kills as he ran a 4.36- 40-yard dash, which shows in his game tape. Furthermore, he will make a good Z receiver on whatever team drafts him.

What makes him blend in to the late-second of rookie mocks is that’s the same level as other wide receivers in his range are going. In other words, he doesn’t stand out from the rest and blends in with others. To utilize his skills, a team that runs the West Coast offense like the Kansas City Chiefs or Los Angeles Rams.

Keon Coleman, WR, Florida State (-5)

No knock-on Coleman, but not running all the drills at the NFL Combine probably is the reason for the fall here. It shouldn’t be a red flag on him as he has shown the traits of being an X receiver. Is it that some are worried it won’t transition over to the NFL level? Possibly, but we’re going to have to wait and see. 

Overall, he is still one of the top-12 wide receivers in the class and should start rising. His top-tier athleticism, along with his speed and leaping ability will have you falling in love with him as a prospect. Although he only drops five spots, he’s still viewed as a player taken early in the second round.

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