5 Quarterbacks to Buy Low in Dynasty Fantasy Football
If you play in Superflex dynasty fantasy football leagues, then you know the importance of rostering quality quarterbacks. Having elite quarterbacks can cover flaws in your lineups and give you a massive advantage over your opponents. If you have neglected the quarterback position, odds are you have found out how difficult it can be to acquire one when you’re in need. Today, we’re breaking down 5 quarterbacks who you might want to buy low on in your dynasty football leagues this offseason.
Luckily, the dynasty market fluctuates more than Wall Street. Recency bias is real. This presents us with buying opportunities. Even at a position as important as quarterback. If you’re in a tough spot at quarterback or just looking for a good deal, here are five quarterbacks to buy low in your dynasty football leagues.
5 Quarterback To Buy Low In Dynasty Fantasy Football
Player | Rank |
---|---|
Kyler Murray | 1 |
Bryce Young | 2 |
Will Levis | 3 |
Deshaun Watson | 4 |
Aaron Rodgers | 5 |
Here are 5 quarterbacks you should be buying low on that can help you win your dynasty fantasy football leagues in 2024.
Kyler Murray
Just two years ago dynasty gamers were drafting Kyler Murray as a top-six quarterback in startup drafts. Fast forward to today, Murray is now a consistent mid to late second-round startup pick. In my two most recent startups, Murray went at picks 2.07 and 2.10. He’s going in this range despite averaging more fantasy points per game than Patrick Mahomes last year.
Look, I’m not suggesting that Murray is now as valuable as Mahomes. It’s with good reason that Mahomes is seen as a top-two dynasty quarterback. I’m merely pointing out that the gap between him and Murray is not this wide. I’m not sure what gamers expected from Murray last year. He was just 11 months removed from tearing his ACL when he returned to the field. He wasn’t even that bad.
Despite missing the first nine weeks, Murray finished 6th in our signature Consistency Score among all quarterbacks. This was better than Lamar Jackson, Dak Prescott, and Brock Purdy. Impressive stuff considering he missed half the year.
Despite his injury, Murray still offers Konami Code appeal. Because of that, he carries elite fantasy football upside. Additionally, he’s just being criminally undervalued. A top-three season is always within striking distance.
I’ve been looking to buy Murray wherever I can. I’m also interested in tiering down from the top-five quarterbacks to Murray. I guess I’ll put it this way-I’m buying the dip. Ultimately, Murray can easily return a top-five season now a full year removed from his ACL injury.
Bryce Young
Words cannot describe how poorly Bryce Young played as a rookie. Young ranked 61st among all quarterbacks in Pro Football Focus’ passing grade. Oof.
It’s hard to believe the man picked first in last year’s draft could be this bad. Things look even worse when you consider the Panthers passed on C.J. Stroud in favor of Young.
In fairness, Young had little to work with in Carolina’s offense. Adam Thielen as WR1 just isn’t going to cut it. There was major dysfunction with former coach Frank Reich. It was not the ideal setup for success.
New Head Coach Dave Canales does provide hope that Young can turn his career around. Canales worked closely with Geno Smith during his out-of-nowhere 2022 breakout season. Baker Mayfield enjoyed a career renaissance under Canales’ guidance in Tampa Bay last year. Oh by the way, Smith and Mayfield posted career highs in passing yards and passing touchdowns with Canales. Overall, that’s a pretty good resume.
We’ve got two examples of Canales turning around mediocre quarterbacks. He helped design two offenses that maximized their skills and allowed them to play at their best. Personally, I am very bullish that Canales can do the same for Bryce Young.
Moreover, if I’m being honest, based on his rookie season, Young is unlikely to ever produce a top-three or top-five fantasy season. However, this doesn’t mean he is useless for fantasy football purposes. He can still be a serviceable starter and even break into the QB1 range like a Jared Goff type. The key will be Canales figuring out how to unlock Young.
Given his track record, it’s a good bet. All things considered, it certainly makes Young an intriguing buy-low candidate for your dynasty fantasy football rosters.
Will Levis
Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis busted on the scene in a big way last year. He came out slinging throwing four touchdown passes against the Atlanta Falcons in his debut.
Will Levis first career touchdown pass pic.twitter.com/EMRlUx0kcR
— Pardon My Take (@PardonMyTake) October 29, 2023
From there, it was a bit of a bipolar experience. Levis only threw four touchdowns compared to four interceptions over his remaining eight starts. Not terrible, but also not great.
There is a risk the Titans decide to take a quarterback at pick seven in April’s draft. Yet, based on many experts’ mock drafts, that appears to be outside the plans. We need to be aware that it was just last year when current General Manager Ron Carthon traded up into the top of the second round to select Levis. There were even murmurs they tried to trade back into the first round to take him. Based on their actions, it sure looks like the Titans believe in him. I’m not sure they have changed their evaluation after nine starts.
To be realistic, the range of outcomes for quarterbacks taken outside round one is very wide. It ranges from getting a handful of starts to becoming the franchise guy. Keep in mind, there are certainly risks here. However, this Tennessee roster needs a lot of work. Given that and the fact they just traded up to select him, it feels unlikely they would look to bail on him already. They could very well take an offensive lineman at seven or trade back for more picks. According to KeepTradeCut, Levis is valued as the QB25. At this cost, I don’t believe there’s as much risk as others think.
New coach Brian Callahan was instrumental in developing Joe Burrow in Cincinnati. While Levis isn’t the same type of prospect, I’m confident Callahan can bring out his best. Levis is a good gamble as a QB2 or QB3 with upside for more.
Deshaun Watson
While he certainly looked bad, Deshaun Watson did produce for fantasy football in 2023. He finished as a top-10 quarterback in three of his five full games last year. Watson likely would have provided a QB1 finish for managers if it wasn’t for injuries.
As a result of his injuries, Watson is now valued as the QB21. This feels like an overreaction. At this price, where’s the downside? The Browns are locked into Watson for the foreseeable future with that, well, interesting contract. Joe Flacco is unlikely to return. The only thing seemingly stopping Watson from delivering a top-10 season is injury.
His cost in startups this year is also much more palatable. Watson is currently being drafted in the fifth round of startup drafts. Last year, he was a consistent end-of-first to early second-round startup pick. And fun fact- when he was healthy, he was on pace to deliver at that cost.
Is Watson risky? Yes. I think that’s understood considering he’s started 12 games the last three years. However, from a fantasy football standpoint, he’s a good bet to return a profit at his current price. I’ll take the gamble. It’s easy to see a QB1 finish. He just has to remain healthy.
Aaron Rodgers
One play. That was the length of Aaron Rodgers’ debut season with the New York Jets. It was a gut punch for the Jets, and they never recovered.
He’s surely motivated after suffering such a tough injury. The trade-off is that Rodgers will be 40 years old when he steps on the field again. He has indicated that he plans on playing for at least another two years though.
In 2022, Rodgers finished 13th in Adjusted Completion Percentage. Overall, his play didn’t decline despite what the raw stats showed.
Now, he’s a bit of a wildcard for 2024. He hasn’t played football in over a year and is coming off a torn Achilles. It’s hard to say exactly what we will get from Rodgers, but he is currently shown as the QB31 on KeepTradeCut.
QB31? Did I miss something? When did Aaron Rodgers become Desmond Ridder? At this price, why not take the gamble on Rodgers for a couple of years as a QB3?
Overall, Rodgers is a solid buy-low target for dynasty league football. His long track record speaks for itself. I get there are concerns, but this is still Aaron Rodgers we’re talking about. He’s a future Hall of Famer who can still provide high-end QB2 production and sneak into QB1 range. Until I see his play completely deteriorate, I’m going to keep betting on a four-time NFL MVP.
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