DraftKings Week 3 Bargain Plays and DFS Values

Fantasy football is in full swing and if you’re 0-2, don’t lose hope and keep trying. What’s nice about DFS is after the prior week’s slates, we start fresh at 0-0. Every day, every time.

Before I break down all of our picks, here are the most notable scoring rules for DraftKings contests: Full-point PPR, four-point passing TD’s, three-point bonuses for 100 rushing yards, 100 receiving yards, and 300 passing. Along with having a $50,000 budget to build a complete lineup. 

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QUARTERBACKS 

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,100)

Through the first two weeks of the season, Tua Tagovailoa leads the league in passing yards with 739. Behind him is just who we expected in Carson Wentz (650) and Joe Flacco (616), and I’m saying that sarcastically.

Last week Tua went out and put up a monster game with 43.9 DK points. With the help of Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill, they’re going to be needed as the Miami Dolphins host the red-hot Buffalo Bills.

The Bills held Justin Jefferson to 48 yards on six receptions, but he doesn’t have the threat on the other side like the Dolphin’s dual-threats that Tua has. Expect another high-scoring game.

Jared Goff ($5,800)

There’s so much hype going on around the Detroit Lions, and it’s looking good. The Lions have started 1-1 for the first time since 2016 and the kool-aid is flowing strong. Jared Goff has a 6:1 TD/INT ratio, leading the NFC North in touchdowns and second in passing yards behind Kirk Cousins (498) with 471.

The fun part of this is Goff will have a chance to surpass Cousins this week as the Lions take on the Vikings. This game should be a back-and-forth game as both offenses move the ball well. Goff has over 34 passes a game this season and we should continue to see that Sunday.

Mac Jones ($5,100)

You may cringe at seeing Mac Jones on here, but if anyone can scheme against a team, it’s Bill Belichick. Two weeks into the season and it’s looking like Jones is taking a step back compared to last year.

He hasn’t even topped 15 DK points yet and Belichick has said after a Week 1 loss to the Dolphins, that the whole offense could be thrown away.

Why not this week against the Ravens who ranks last against quarterbacks so far? The Raven’s secondary is still one to pass on and I see Jones being able to break the 20-point barrier and returning to that player who we saw progressing last season.

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RUNNING BACKS

David Montgomery ($5,900)

The hate has gone too far on David Montgomery as he is the RB16 this week, even after having 15 carries for 122 yards. The Chicago Bears offense is in shambles as it has a hard time passing the ball around, but Montgomery showed that he is still a valuable running back.

The Green Bay Packers are the middle of the pack (15th) against the running back position, but the Houston Texans are even worse (32), which should get you excited. Justin Fields should have a field day on the ground (no pun intended) and may get the passing game going. I have a feeling though this is a Montgomery week and he will finally score a touchdown in week 3.

Dameon Pierce ($5,000)

Going to the other side of the ball, we’re looking at Dameon Pierce who had 15 for 69 yards. Rex Burkhead was used sparingly on Sunday and it looks like it will remain that way going forward.

Pierce is finally on the up and up as the lead running back for this offense and with the Bears’ questionable run defense, the rookie should look to score his first career touchdown.

Jerick McKinnon ($4,500)

It’s hard to admit it but Jerick McKinnon is in a committee with Clyde Edwards-Helaire and is $1,800 cheaper. McKinnon’s touches may be limited, but when he gets the ball he is very productive with it.

It’s the Indianapolis Colts that the Chiefs will be at and with the Colts starting 0-2 and the Chiefs 2-0 the Chiefs will be in the red zone often. When the Chiefs are within the 10-yard line, it’s McKinnon who you will see on the field over CEH.

WIDE RECEIVERS 

Tee Higgins ($6,100)

Coming off a concussion, many had concerns about putting Tee Higgins into lineups in week 2. If you did put him in though, congratulations on the 3x return! With only a $200 increase this week, I am purring Higgins in lineups over Ja’Marr Chase.

Chase should be covered by rookie Sauce Gardner who has just been a shut-down corner this year and has allowed only 41 yards on 64 pass coverage snaps. Higgins on the other hand should be covered by D.J. Reed who should have trouble with Higgins. 

Drake London ($5,800)

Drake London has looked like the real deal since being drafted as the first wide receiver in the 2022 NFL Draft. He has been Atlanta’s target leader early here and has surpassed Kyle Pitts as the true threat in the passing game. Being a WR2 in total DraftKings points is why I’m pouncing on this value as you’re getting him at WR3 cost.

Sure the Seahawks may look tough against wide receivers, but I’m not worried here, London is the WR1 here and will continue to produce here in week 3.

Curtis Samuel ($5,100)

How is this possible? Curtis Samuel is the WR8 per FantasyData and is valued as the WR40 who is averaging 21.6 DK points on the season. We’re going back to the well on this because as long as he’s a WR1 and being valued as a WR4, we’re going to continue to pounce on this till proven otherwise or the price is adjusted.

JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5,500)

The fluctuation in JuJu Smith-Schuster can be a cause for concern, but if you’re concerned about him, the rest could be said for the offense.

But let’s not fret about it as the game against the Los Angeles Chargers is a division rivalry so we can expect it to be hit and miss from time to time on players. Smith-Schuster like the other receivers in this offense will have up and down weeks, but I think with 10 days of rest, he should produce back to what he did in week 1.

Garrett Wilson ($5,400)

Even looking at the OPRK:5 against wide receivers, I’m not worried about the rookie wide receiver who has seen eight and now 11 targets to start his NFL career.

He’s an exciting wide receiver and has been compared to being in-coverable to the likes of Justin Jefferson. I’m not scared of the matchup and don’t want to miss out on an explosive game that could happen.

TIGHT ENDS

Gerald Everett ($4,400)

The tight-end position this week is interesting in general. The top 4 are each a difference of $1,000 from one to the next, but after Kyle Pitts, they start dropping by $100.

It’s a tough week to buy into the tight end but Gerald Everett is looking like a real threat. You are getting the TE4 at the price of TE8 whereas Kyle Pitts is currently the TE4 in salary but is to date the TE35. Furthermore, if Keenan Allen is limited or out, Everett could be a focal point for the Chargers’ offense. 

Hayden Hurst ($3,900)

The catches have been there for Hayden Hurst, but the total yards and zero touchdowns are the tough ones to absorb here.

It may be gut-wrenching to put Hurst in a lineup but with the target and snaps, he has so far, that touchdown drought is what I’m looking to bring to an end. It’s hard to have that many targets and receptions and not have touchdowns. But then again, Kyle Pitts only had one last year.

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