Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values: Week 10

It’s redraft season, which means it’s overreaction season. Every week of games brings new surprises and another subset of data to evaluate. With that information comes some large changes in value, not just for redraft, but for dynasty as well. Week 9 was full of big games, disappointments, and breakouts. Sometimes the hardest part can be figuring just how much you should pay to get these volatile players, or how much you should demand of those trying to buy them from you. Fantasy football can be a game of quick reactions and decisions that can have effects years down the road. I want to help you get all the information to make your own informed decisions on some of these players. I’ll be breaking down some of the more polarizing players each week and talking about their dynasty value. Check this week’s out in Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values: Week 10.

Dynasty League Football (DLF) has a lot of great tools for their members that I highly suggest you check out and subscribe to. One of my favorites, that I will use for this article, is the DLF trade finder. They use real trades happening in real-time across hundreds of leagues and compile the information into one searchable database. Today I have chosen four players and collected what I thought to be a representative sample of their trades occurring between their Week 9 game and today. I will break down which trades I prefer to acquire the player in question and which I would prefer to sell him. In the end, I will give a verdict of market value for the player so you can make your own decisions and trades in your own leagues. Use these values to try and go out and make some trades for yourself. Let’s get into it.

Aaron Jones

Aaron Jones has not been what people were hoping or expecting on the year.  He is still the 8^th highest scoring back on the season but falls outside the top 12 when you filter for points per game.  The good news is he is still on track for 281 total touches for over 1400 total yards and 13 touchdowns on the year.  The bad news is that the AJ Dillon seems to be getting involved more consistently and has been a thorn in Jones’s side.  So where does this leave the trade value for the back that was viewed as top five coming into the year? He still isn’t cheap but is being solid by a lot of teams looking to get younger and less proven.  There were multiple trades with Jones being moved for Etienne and another young secondary asset.  He was also moved for young guys like Bateman and Michael Carter with another additional valuable piece.  In terms of draft picks he went for a first-round pick and a pair of second-round picks so clearly still carries value from that perspective though not nearly what he had coming into the year.

Verdict: Aaron Jones is a 26-year-old back with an uncertain quarterback situation in future years and another young back breathing down his neck.  But he still looks great on the field and is in the early stages of a big new contract.  If you are a contender I think he is a good buy that can be had for unproven pieces that won’t help you as much this year like Travis Etienne or Michael Carter plus draft picks.  I do understand the desire to sell for rebuild teams though and would be trying to shoot for multiple young studs like Etienne and DeVonta Smith or a young stud and a first-round pick.

Donovan Peoples-Jones

The Odell Beckham sage dominated news headlines this week as he was let go by the Browns and signed with the Los Angeles Rams. There is a team left behind from this saga and many interesting storylines as a result.  Who will step forward from this Browns offense to replace the volume Odell was seeing? Donovan Peoples-Jones led the Browns in receiving without Odell last Sunday with 86 yards and a touchdown. However, he did do it on only 3 targets and 2 catches.  Peoples-Jones has proven himself to be a legitimate deep threat in this league.  The question is can he develop into more than that with the opportunity now presented.  The trade market shows some mixed belief in that happening.  For the most part, he is still very affordable.  He was packaged with a late pick multiple times for a future second-rounder.  He was also used to acquire veteran rentals for contending teams such as Zach Ertz and Cam Newton.  He was packaged with a second-rounder to get a young back in Michael Carter.

Verdict: Donovan Peoples-Jones’ trade value seems to be somewhere between a second-rounder and a third-rounder in terms of value, as there were many trades involving him netting a second-rounder but they always included another pick attached to him.  There were no examples of him being available for a third-rounder.  If you aren’t a contending team I would be looking to send my aging assets like Ertz and Newton to acquire Donovan Peoples-Jones and am also happy to send a late second or package of lesser assets to take the swing on the talented young deep threat.

Pat Freiermuth

The Muth is luth! Pat Freiermuth has been on fire lately.  Since Week 6, with Ebron out of the lineup, Freiermuth has been the third-best tight end in fantasy football.  When you look at points per game he has been the highest-scoring player at the position.  A lot of that has come on the back of touchdowns as his yardage totals have been modest with only one game over 50 yards on the year and a YPR of 9.1.  However, the volume has been consistent with 6-7 targets each of the 3 weeks over that stretch.  Freiermuth is also a player known for his red-zone prowess, so touchdowns should continue to come for the young tight end.  Managers have been taking notice, including one that shipped away David Montgomery to lock up the young tight end.  He was also was able to get packages of quarterbacks and second-round picks in Superflex leagues.  Damien Harris might have been one of the cheaper prices paid to obtain Freiermuth.

Verdict: The days are over of getting the rookie tight end for cheap as he is dismissing the narrative of rookie tight ends not being able to produce.  However, I still don’t mind the price for a guy having one of the better rookie tight end seasons in recent memory.  If you can package an expiring or aging asset with a second-rounder to lock up your tight-end position for the next decade, I am happy to do that.  Do keep in mind though that he isn’t Kyle Pitts, and you will have volatility when the touchdowns aren’t flowing.

Javonte Williams

Managers have been clamoring for a Javonte Williams takeover of the backfield all year, but Melvin Gordon refuses to go away.  That hasn’t stopped Williams from having a couple of great games recently, however, and will Gordon is set to be a free agent at the end of the year the future is undeniably bright.  It’s going to take some legitimate packages to pry him away but he was involved in quite a few trades this week.  Notably, he was traded for more proven players like Stefon Diggs and Dalvin Cook.  He was even packaged with a couple of assets to acquire Christian McCaffrey.  He was also used in a package to get another young back in Antonio Gibson packaged with Terry McLaurin.  As far as draft picks it will require more than the single first-round pick you used to select him.

Verdict:  I chose Javonte Williams for this exercise expecting him to be a screaming sell based on what I am seeing on Twitter and in my personal leagues, but there definitely were some deals I wouldn’t mind making for him. If you aren’t a contender and can package a bunch of assets like in the first trade to consolidate to Williams, I like that move.  I was also surprised to see him go for a single first and a third and would make that deal all day.  However, this game is still about winning championships.  If you can use Williams to get a Dalvin Cook or Christian McCaffrey type player, I am very open to that as a contender.

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