Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values: Week 11

It’s redraft season, which means it’s overreaction season. Every week of games brings new surprises and another subset of data to evaluate. With that information comes some large changes in value, not just for redraft, but for dynasty as well. Week 10 was full of big games, disappointments, and breakouts. Sometimes the hardest part can be figuring just how much you should pay to get these volatile players, or how much you should demand of those trying to buy them from you. Fantasy football can be a game of quick reactions and decisions that can have effects years down the road. I want to help you get all the information to make your own informed decisions on some of these players. I’ll be breaking down some of the more polarizing players each week and talking about their dynasty value. Check it out in my Week 11 edition of Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values.

Dynasty League Football (DLF) has a lot of great tools for their members that I highly suggest you check out and subscribe to. One of my favorites, that I will use for this article, is the DLF trade finder. They use real trades happening in real-time across hundreds of leagues and compile the information into one searchable database. Today I have chosen four players and collected what I thought to be a representative sample of their trades occurring between their Week 10 game and today. I will break down which trades I prefer to acquire the player in question and which I would prefer to sell him. In the end, I will give a verdict of market value for the player so you can make your own decisions and trades in your own leagues. Use these values to try and go out and make some trades for yourself. Let’s get into it.

AJ Dillon

Things didn’t look great for AJ Dillon when Aaron Jones signed a contract extension this offseason.  But Dillon has not had the type of season we are used to getting from him which has meant Dillon has been working his way in. On top of that, Jones is now set to miss a couple of weeks, which will allow Dillon to show what he can do with a workhorse role.  There definitely seems to be some belief that Dillon will thrive with multiple instances of managers trading first-round picks to get him.  He was also used to getting quarterbacks in Superflex leagues such as Carson Wentz and Jordan Love.  He was also traded straight up for Travis Etienne, a first-round rookie pick from this past year. There were some instances of managers getting Dillon for a second-round pick still.

Verdict: The hype is high right now with Dillon.  He is a young back with the size to carry a heavy workload on a successful offense.  I am still worried about Jones being tied to the Packers contractually for a few more years as well as the uncertainty of Aaron Rodgers.  If you are in a league where you can get Dillon for a second-round pick or maybe even a pair of second-round picks I am happy to pay that price.  I would prefer not to give up my first-rounder for a running back that may not even be the team’s starter though.  I also would rather have the young quarterbacks in Superflex or young running back in Travis Etienne.

Cam Newton

Cam Newton wasn’t even on an NFL team a couple of weeks ago.  Now his value has shot through the roof as a rushing quarterback surrounded with great weapons.  At this stage of his career, what does he have left? Can he succeed in the situation Sam Darnold floundered? His price seems to vary greatly from league to league, which makes sense given the uncertainty of his production.  There are still some instances, particularly in single quarterback leagues where he can be had for late-round picks and dart throw assets.  He is also netting more solidified returns such as Robert Woods and Ben Roethlisberger in Superflex or Dallas Goedert.  He also went for second-round pick straight up.

Verdict: Overall, the juice seems worth the squeeze for a contender looking for quarterback help.  I would be shopping late-round picks and end of the bench or declining pieces to try and acquire Newton, whose rushing upside will always offer value as long as he has a starting job.  If the price jumps to a second-round pick or established asset in one quarterback league I am out.  I am also certainly not giving up a starter or first-round pick in Superflex leagues.

Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders has missed almost a month now and wasn’t exactly lighting the world on fire before that happened.  His efficiency was still good though, the volume was the problem.  During his absence, the Eagles have switched from a pass-heavy team to a run-heavy team. The hope for Sanders is that this trend continues when he gets back to his lead-back role. In trades this week, Sanders was packaged with other pieces to upgrade to stud receivers like Stefon Diggs or Ceedee Lamb.  He has also been traded for packages that include Cardinal’s back Chase Edmonds and James Conner as well as Travis Etienne.  There were still some first-round picks had for Miles Sanders as well.

Verdict: Sanders is still a young talented running back on a team that wants to run the ball, and whose offense is starting to click.  Coming off an injury that makes him a nice buy-low candidate.  I would happily move declining or temporary assets like James Conner or Cordarrelle Patterson to get Sanders.  I do think, however, that Sanders still has flaws to his game that make me hard to believe long term.  I would be happy to move Sanders in a package deal that could help me upgrade to a stud.

Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson seems to be this year’s mid-round rookie value.  He has performed well every time he has been given the chance.  This includes Week 10 when he rushed 20 times for 100 yards and a pair of touchdowns.  He caught four passes as well.  The opportunity was the result of a missed game for Damien Harris however who was back for Thursday Night Football in Week 11. The duo split snaps, touches, even routes evenly.  This rendered the situation very difficult to predict for fantasy.  However, it is a clear transition from Harris mostly workhorse role before the injury which is a sign of good things to come for Rhamondre Stevenson in dynasty.  As far as prices go, Stevenson was traded multiple times for a second-round pick straight up.  He also was packaged to upgrade to running backs like Cam Akers, AJ Dillon, or Joe Mixon.

Verdict: Stevenson is a young running back who has performed well every time he has been given the opportunity.  He is in a situation right now that limits upside but has the combination that I like buying low on for dynasty.  If I can move a second-round pick or declining veteran asset for him I’m happy to do it at this point.  I would consider him a buy regardless of contending status. 

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