Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values: Week 6
It’s redraft season, which means it’s overreaction season. Every week of games brings new surprises and another subset of data to evaluate. With that information comes some large changes in value, not just for redraft, but for dynasty as well. Week 5 was full of big games, disappointments, breakouts, and unfortunately plenty of injuries. Sometimes the hardest part can be figuring just how much you should pay to get these volatile players, or how much you should demand of those trying to buy them from you. Fantasy football can be a game of quick reactions and decisions that can have effects years down the road. I want to help you get all the information to make your own informed decisions on some of these players each week. I’ll be breaking down some of the more polarizing players each week and talking about their dynasty value. Check it out in Dynasty Fantasy Trade Values: Week 6.
Dynasty League Football (DLF) has a lot of great tools for their members that I highly suggest you check out and subscribe to. One of my favorites, that I will use for this article, is the DLF trade finder. They use real trades happening in real-time across hundreds of leagues and compile the information into one searchable database. Today I have chosen four players and collected what I thought to be a representative sample of their trades occurring between their Week 5 game and today. I will break down which trades I prefer to acquire the player in question and which I would prefer to sell him. In the end, I will give a verdict of market value for the player so you can make your own decisions and trades in your own leagues. Use these values to try and go out and make some trades for yourself. Let’s get into it with some of the latest dynasty trades.
A.J. Brown
A.J. Brown has been extremely disappointing this year. He was coming into the year in the conversation for the overall top wide receiver in dynasty. Sometimes even higher. But injuries, and regression from the Titans offense, have led to Brown not surpassing four catches or 50 yards in a game yet this year, rendering him almost useless for fantasy. There is no denying he still has talent, and the name still carries some value alone. He was involved in plenty of trades this week with some owners starting to worry and others trying to buy low on a potential late-season breakout. There were trades involving rookie receivers like Rondale Moore or Terrace Marshall packaged with picks. Brown was also used to acquire young running backs who are currently injured such as Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Travis Etienne. One of the most interesting to me was packaging both Cam Akers and a late pick with Brown to acquire breakout superstar rookie Ja’Marr Chase who was drafted well behind Brown this offseason in startups.
Verdict: The buying window for A.J. Brown is definitely open. It won’t be super cheap but compared to what you had to give up a month ago there is definitely an opportunity. Packaging exciting but unproven young assets with exciting but unproven draft picks seems to be a popular path to get there. There is also always a need for running backs so if you are lucky enough to have excess running back depth or you just want to completely rebuild trading a running back for the struggling young receiver could be another option.
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Darrell Henderson
Darrell Henderson has been everything fantasy managers have been hoping for since Cam Akers went down this offseason. He has established himself as the clear bell-cow back for the Rams and is sitting just outside the top 12 in points per game at the position. He is a difficult dynasty asset to figure out given the situations surrounding him moving forward with Cam Akers coming off the Achilles injury, but contenders seem rightfully interested in him as an affordable potential title-winning asset. We saw multiple trades this week where managers received first-round picks for Henderson. We also saw him used to acquire younger receivers such as Brandon Aiyuk, Marquise Brown, and Laviska Shenault.
Verdict: Darrell Henderson looks like a great play for the rest of the year and there is even some hope he can be beyond that. If you are trying to acquire him using picks it will likely require a single first-round selection. But the cheaper route seems to be packaging young receivers with later picks or bench assets to acquire a potential league winner.
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Keenan Allen
Keenan Allen has been a stalwart in fantasy lineups for years. He has beaten his average draft position it seems like every year and always ends up as a top 15 receiver. He is currently sitting at WR17, so he is still a very usable asset, but he has been vastly overshadowed by the Mike Williams explosion. This combined with the quickly approaching 30th birthday has dynasty managers itching to get out from under him. The name value, the floor, and the high-end offense are still attractive factors though to a contending roster. This week he was traded for first-round picks in a couple of places, as well as packages including young players like JK Dobbins and Elijah Moore. He was also packaged with players such as Myles Gaskin to get younger options like Chris Godwin.
Verdict: Keenan Allen is the definition of a team-dependent asset right now given his age. If you aren’t contending this year you should probably look to sell. If you do have a good team though his value is as low as it has been in quite a while. It looks like you can start the discussion with a single first-round pick, but may have to add a little on top to get the deal done.
Kadarius Toney
Kadarius Toney is all the rage this week. The rookie was left for dead in the offseason despite the first-round draft capital thanks to a poor college production profile, some work ethic questions, and offseason injuries. But when asked to step in the last couple of weeks for injured Giants receivers he has absolutely exploded. In fact, he is the WR7 over those two weeks. There are certainly still skeptics out there, including myself, that want to see him do it with a healthy receiving corps in New York, but there is no denying that his value has risen quite a bit. He was able to return first-round pick value multiple times this week and when packaged with mid-round rookie picks he even fetched players like Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Chase Claypool.
Verdict: If you want to buy cheap on the rookie receiver that time is over. It will cost a pretty penny in draft capital to obtain him and managers will likely want a young highly valued asset in a return for a player for player swap. If you are a skeptic use these deals as a template to get something done as soon as possible. If you are a believer, I would still wait to buy till after a down week which is certain to happen at some point even if he is the real deal.
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