Week 9 was… weird to say the least. Buffalo didn’t score a touchdown. Against Jacksonville?! The Los Angeles Rams offense sputtered against a Tennesse Titans without Derrick Henry. And the Denver Broncos, without Von Miller bullied the Dallas Cowboys. Fantasy Football rosters everywhere let their managers down. And now we have four more teams on their bye week. This past week was a perfect case of why having consistency on your roster is so important, so let’s see what our Consistency Score can tell us this week with Fantasy Football Week 10 Consistency Corner.
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Fantasy Football Consistency Risers
Cordarrelle Patterson – 5 to 2
I had to highlight Cordarrelle Patterson again in this column because he is currently dominating the fantasy football world. His Consistency Score (CS) of 7.44 is now second-highest behind only, Derrick Henry who is out for the remainder of the fantasy football season. In terms of total points, Patterson is the seventh running back with 134.7 points. He’s sixth in terms of fantasy points per game with 16.8. And he’s been a Top-24 running back in 88% of games played.
On the season, his ceiling is an impressive 32.1, while he hasn’t scored single-digit fantasy points since Week 1. He also has three Top-10 weeks, while never being ranked outside the Top-36 among rushers.
The clear reason for his success is that this offense has finally unlocked everything Patterson can do offensively. While his 73 rushing attempts is only 34th among his peers, the former receiver has a whopping 47 targets. That ranks 3rd among all backs and contributed to five of his seven touchdowns on the year. He’s proving to be a true multi-threat weapon and being used in the same facet as D’Andre Swift and Najee Harris.
Patterson is still second-fiddle to Mike Davis in terms of offensive snaps. Playing on 47.5% of the team’s offensive snaps, compared to Davis’s 64.1%. But he’s out touching Davis 111 to 108 and clearly outproducing him. Patterson has 737 yards from scrimmage and seven total touchdowns, which is not only better than Davis’s (386 and two), but leads the entire Atlanta Falcons offense.
Things you only say in the year 2021? “Cordarrelle Patterson is a ‘must start’ in fantasy football every week”.
Michael Pittman Jr. – 21 to 18
Michael Pittman Jr. has been on a steady rise up the CS rankings. Since Week 6, he has gone from 36th to 31st, then 21st and now 18th. Over that four-week span, he’s also been a Top-10 fantasy football receiver twice. Over that same time, he’s averaging 15.95 fantasy points per week in half-point PPR. In short, Pittman has been a stud.
Despite starting 2021 off with a complete clunker performance in Week 1 where he put up a line of three receptions off four targets for 29 yards and no touchdowns, resulting in 4.4 fantasy football points. Since then he has averaged 8.4 targets, 5.9 receptions, 78.6 yards, 0.63 touchdowns, and 14+ fantasy points per game. All of this on only 71 targets for the season, which rank 13th. Not the most in the NFL, but certainly leaves room to grow still.
With Jonathan Taylor coming into his own this year and being a true force to reckon with in the NFL, Pittman is seeing the benefit that A.J. Brown has seen in recent seasons. Defenses have to “sell out” to stop Taylor. This is making Carson Wentz and Pittman exponentially more dangerous, especially off of play-action. Considering Pittman’s ADP was in the middle of the eighth round this summer, he could be the MVP of fantasy football this year as he is a true WR1 even though you probably drafted him as your WR4.
Fantasy Football Consistency Fallers
Jarvis Landry – 66 to 71
This is a quick reminder that no pass catchers for the Cleveland Browns are worth rostering or starting in fantasy football outside of the deepest of leagues. Nick Chubb is a must-start, and Baker Mayfield is a solid QB2 in super-flex and 2-QB formats. That is pretty much the extent of the Browns’ fantasy options.
One would have assumed that with the departure of Odell Beckham Jr., that Jarvis Landry would have risen to the top and with one less mouth to feed, become a solid fantasy option. However, in Week 9 Landry got only five targets. Pulled in three of them for a lackluster 11 yards.
This is a team, in 2021, whose offensive engine is not through the air. This offense runs through Nick Chubb, and wants Baker Mayfield to spread the ball around to whoever and whatever the defense gives them. Sometimes that is going to be Landry, but enough of the time, it’s not going to be. In the NFL, it works great. But for fantasy football, there just isn’t enough volume to lock Landry into a starting role in your roster.
Landry has only reached double-digit fantasy points in one game all season. And that was Week 1. Since then, he’s averaged 4.43 fantasy points per game. He’s actually been very “consistent”. But he’s the perfect argument for my Consistency Score. He’s been consistently bad. The lack of a demonstrated ceiling is keeping Landry’s CS score at the bottom of the rankings.
Joe Burrow – 5 to 13
Joe Burrow put up his worst fantasy football performance since Week 5 of his rookie year against the Baltimore Ravens. After three straight weeks of three touchdowns and one interception a game, Burrow threw for only 282 yards, no touchdowns, and two interceptions.
On the season, Burrow has only one week in the Top-5, while having four weeks outside the Top-16 of signal-callers. His ceiling has only been 26.6 points while his floor was this recent performance of 7.38 fantasy points. With having such a low fantasy floor, his ceiling isn’t high enough to support Burrow as a matchup-proof starter.
Looking into the numbers, it’s mainly volume that is the main factor to Burrow’s CS dropping. He only has 286 pass attempts on the year, which ranks 17th among starters. And he’s averaging under 300 passing yards per game. If he’s going to have that low of volume, then he has to be perfect for a good fantasy week. There’s just little room for error.
While Burrow is still going to be a valid fantasy football quarterback enough to be rostered, you should probably pair him with another streamable QB and bounce between the two. You can use our D-PAC Score to check matchups between the two and start Burrow when he has the better opponent to target.
Fantasy Football Stream of the Week
Matt Ryan – Rostered in 46% of Leagues
Matt Ryan started 2021 with three straight performances outside the Top-16 quarterbacks in fantasy football. Since Week 4 he has averaged 20.54 fantasy points per game, 37 attempts, 290 yards and 2.2 touchdowns per game. In those five games, he has fallen outside the Top-16 again once more, but also had his only two Top-5 outings of the season in that span.
In Week 10 Ryan and the Falcons take on the Dallas Cowboys who currently hold the fourth-highest D-PAC score against quarterbacks, 8.86, while also averaging the seventh-highest average points allowed.
While Teddy Bridgewater didn’t do a great deal against the Cowboys in Week 8, 249 yards and only one touchdown. He still finished with 21.86 fantasy points against a non-competitive Cowboys.
I don’t expect Dak Prescott and company to poop the bed two weeks in a row, and neither do the sportsbooks with a nice juicy 54.5 over/under line. With more points scored, that’s just overall better for fantasy outputs. Ryan is going to have to throw the ball to keep up and clearly can against this Dallas secondary.
Did you like this piece? Disagree? Drop me a line and let me know @DumpsterDiveFF and go ahead and follow for more fantasy football nuggets & all things Consistency Score related! If you’re a fantasy football content creator, please take advantage of the Consistency Score and use it in your content!
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