Monday Night Football Player Prop Bets – Eagles vs. Seahawks

Welcome back to Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets.

Week 14 of the 2023 NFL regular season is in the books. Hopefully, bettors came away with more money in their pockets than they started the week with. However, the grind never stops. So, let’s not waste any time and get down to business.

Monday night we have a matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Seattle Seahawks. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, sports bettors only care about making money. However, which prop bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for Monday’s game.

All props and odds are from DraftKings.

Jalen Hurts to Score an Anytime Touchdown (-170)

Last week, the Eagles didn’t have an offensive touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys. However, expect Philadelphia to get back on track after losing back-to-back contests. The first thing they need to do is re-establish the run game. While the superstar quarterback didn’t score a rushing touchdown last week, Hurts still has the second-most rushing touchdowns in the NFL (12). Furthermore, he has found the end zone in nearly 70% of the games this year, including seven of the past eight before the matchup against Dallas.

Seattle has surrendered only one rushing touchdown to quarterbacks this season, the fourth-fewest in the NFL. However, they haven’t faced a quarterback or rushing attack like Hurts and the Eagles this year. Yet, the Seahawks have surrendered 17 rushing touchdowns in 2023, the fourth-most in the league. Furthermore, only the Carolina Panthers and New York Giants have allowed a higher touchdown rate than Seattle (4.7%) this season. Hurts is more likely to score two touchdowns than zero in this matchup.

D’Andre Swift Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Unfortunately, Swift has been in a slump lately. He has had only 52 rushing yards over the past two weeks, totaling 39 or fewer in both contests. However, the veteran running back faced two of the top run defenses in the league. Meanwhile, Swift has averaged 68.3 rushing yards per game since taking over as the starter in Week 2. He had at least 62 rushing yards in over half of those contests, including 76 or more in back-to-back games before his recent slump.

More importantly, the veteran running back has had a featured role since taking over as the starter. Swift has accounted for 72% of the backfield rushing attempts since Week 1. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have surrendered the 11th-most rushing yards to running backs entering Week 15, giving up 94.5 per game. However, they have allowed running backs to average 127 rushing yards per game over the past seven weeks, surrendering 133 or more in over half of those contests.

DK Metcalf Over 63.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Metcalf had only 52 receiving yards last week against the San Francisco 49ers before getting ejected from the game. The star wide receiver has struggled against the NFC West division rivals, totaling 84 receiving yards in two matchups this season. However, he has been impressive against everyone else in 2023. Metcalf has averaged 78 receiving yards per game this year when facing anyone but the 49ers. The star wide receiver has had at least 94 receiving yards in three consecutive games against non-San Francisco opponents.

Furthermore, Metcalf totaled 67 or more receiving yards in 70% of the matchups, not against the NFC North division leaders. Meanwhile, the Eagles have struggled with opposing No. 1 wide receivers lately. Over the past five matchups, opposing No. 1 wide receivers have averaged 98.8 receiving yards per game against Philadelphia, totaling 71 or more in all but one contest. The last time Metcalf faced the Eagles, he had 177 receiving yards, including multiple receptions of over 30 yards.

A.J. Brown Over 81.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

After a slow start, Brown has been outstanding this season. He has 1,258 receiving yards, the second-most in the NFL. The superstar has averaged 96.8 receiving yards per game, totaling 94 or more in 61.5% of the contests, including two straight. The former Ole Miss star has more games this year with over 110 receiving yards (seven) than under 90 (five). More importantly, Brown is prime for another massive performance on national television.

The Seahawks have surrendered 167.8 receiving yards per game to wide receivers in 2023, the 10th-most in the NFL. More importantly, they have had no answer for star wide receivers lately. Over the past three weeks, Seattle has allowed opposing No. 1 wide receivers to average 114.7 receiving yards per game, totaling 116 or more twice. Brown and DK Metcalf are close friends. Don’t be surprised if Brown does everything possible to one-up Metcalf in a matchup between former college teammates.

Dallas Goedert Over 42.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

While Goedert had only 30 receiving yards last week, it was his first game back in a month because of a fractured forearm. However, the veteran tight end ran 25 routes against the Dallas Cowboys, only two behind A.J. Brown for the team lead. More importantly, he has averaged 48.9 receiving yards per game since his Week 1 dud, totaling 50 or more yards in three of five games before getting hurt.

Meanwhile, Goedert has an appealing matchup on Monday night. The Seahawks have surrendered 56.2 receiving yards per game to tight ends, the 10th-most in the NFL this season. However, they have been awful at stopping tight ends lately. Over the past two weeks, Seattle has surrendered the most receiving yards to tight ends, giving up 79 or more in both contests. Tight ends have had at least 56 receiving yards in 61.5% of the games against the Seahawks this year.

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