NBA Best Bets of the Day – 11/29
Jarrett Allen Over 12.5 Points
Attacking Jarrett Allen’s points with confidence. The line is at 12.5 and the model has him projected for 14.68. Most books have him at 14.5, and this simply is an error. He has covered 12.5 10 of the 17 games played. The line at 14.50 has hit 9 of the last 17 games. He is averaging for the season 15.5. He is averaging 18.1 in the last 10 games covering 8 of the last 10 at 12.5 and 7 at 14.5. Over the last five games, he’s averaging 17.2 points. 20, 25, and 19 on the last three. Centers have been doing well against Dallas and I’m taking the over here.
Rudy Gobert Over 12.5 Points
Attacking Rudy Gobert points today. The line is at 12.5 and the model has him projected for 15.66, giving us a huge advantage. He should play a lot of minutes unless it ends up being a blowout. On most sportsbooks, this line is at 13.5 putting it a little tight. He is averaging for the season 14.9 points and has covered this line at 12.5 14 of the 20 games played. At 13.5 he has covered 13 of the last 20. Against Portland, in 3 games played (2 last season and one this), he covered the line 3 times by averaging 17.7 scoring 20, 18, and 15. He was cold in the last 2 games versus the Pelicans and should be ready to get back on track today.
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