NFL Player Props Week 10: Bengals vs. Ravens (TNF)
Welcome back to Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets. This week we give you NFL Player Props Week 10 for the Bengals vs. Ravens game on TNF. Week 10 of the 2024 NFL regular season begins on Thursday Night Football. This week, we have an AFC North matchup between the Baltimore Ravens (6-4) and the Cincinnati Bengals (4-5). Continue reading to check out my five best NFL player props for Thursday Night Football between the Ravens and Bengals.
NFL Player Props Week 10: Bengals vs. Ravens
Thursday night, we have a matchup as Joe Burrow and the Bengals take on Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, sports bettors only care about making money. However, which NFL player props will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite NFL player prop bets for this Thursday Night Football in Week 10. All NFL Player Props are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-145)
If you blink, you might miss Burrow throwing another touchdown. The superstar has averaged 2.5 passing touchdowns per game since Week 1, totaling two or more in 75% of the contests. Furthermore, he has been outstanding lately, averaging 2.7 passing touchdowns per game over the past three weeks. More importantly, Burrow could hit the over on this prop bet before halftime. The former LSU star has five passing touchdowns in two games this year, including last week.
Furthermore, Burrow had five passing scores in the Week 5 loss to the Ravens on 39 pass attempts, posting a 12.8% touchdown rate. He also had a 12.8% touchdown rate against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 9. Meanwhile, rookie Bo Nix had zero passing touchdowns against Baltimore last week. However, the Ravens had surrendered 3.3 passing touchdowns per game over their previous four contests, giving up at least two in every matchup, including three or more in all but one.
Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-110)
Jackson didn’t practice on Tuesday because of a knee injury. However, the superstar has missed practice early in the week and played well on game day throughout his career. Meanwhile, the likely MVP winner has averaged 2.2 passing touchdowns per game this season, totaling two or more in five of his past six contests. Furthermore, Jackson has averaged three passing touchdowns over the past five weeks, totaling two or more in all but one matchup.
The superstar was outstanding when these two teams faced off in Week 5, throwing four touchdowns in the win. Jackson followed up with a five-passing touchdown performance a few weeks ago against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Meanwhile, the Bengals have held quarterbacks to 1.4 passing touchdowns per game this year. However, they’ve faced several awful quarterbacks, including Jacoby Brissett and Desmond Ridder. Jackson has had at least two passing touchdowns in three consecutive matchups against Cincinnati.
Chase Brown Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Unfortunately, Zack Moss is out for the year with a neck injury. While the Bengals traded for Khalil Herbert on Tuesday, he likely won’t play much, if at all, on Thursday. Therefore, Brown will have his second consecutive game as the featured running back. Last week, he had 27 rushing attempts for 120 yards against the Las Vegas Raiders, both season-highs. Furthermore, the second-year running back has averaged 58.5 rushing yards per game since Week 1.
More importantly, Brown has been outstanding when he earns at least 13 rushing attempts. He has averaged 81.3 rushing yards per game in the three contests with at least 13 attempts, totaling 80 or more twice. Meanwhile, the Ravens have surrendered 58.4 rushing yards per game to running backs. However, they have given up 70 or more rushing yards to running backs in four of their past five games, including the Week 5 matchup against the division rivals.
Zay Flowers Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
I don’t understand why Flowers’ receiving total is this low. The second-year wide receiver has averaged 72.7 receiving yards per game this season. Yet, he has been outstanding lately, averaging 99.2 receiving yards per game over the past five weeks. Furthermore, Flowers had 111 or more receiving yards in four such games, including against the Bengals in Week 5. More importantly, the former Boston College star has been elite when totaling five or more receptions.
Flowers has averaged 102.2 receiving yards per game in the six contests with at least five receptions, totaling 91 or more in all but one matchup. Meanwhile, Cincinnati has struggled with opposing No. 1 wide receivers, giving up 6.7 receptions for 86.8 receiving yards over the past six weeks, surrendering at least 81 yards in all but one contest. More aggressive bettors should bet on Flowers’ alternate line of 100 or more receiving yards at +425.
Mike Gesicki Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Cincinnati will likely be without Tee Higgins on Thursday for the third consecutive game because of a quad injury. While Andrei Iosivas is the next man up in the wide receiver room, Gesicki takes over as Joe Burrow’s No. 2 weapon behind Ja’Marr Chase. The veteran has averaged four targets and 39.2 receiving yards per game this season. However, he has averaged only 1.8 targets and 14.2 receiving yards per game in the five contests with Higgins playing.
By comparison, Gesicki has averaged 6.8 targets and 70.5 receiving yards per game in the four matchups without the star wide receiver, totaling 73 or more yards in three consecutive contests. Meanwhile, the Ravens have given up 67.6 receiving yards per game to tight ends, surrendering 100 or more in a third of their matchups. More aggressive bettors should bet on Gesicki’s alternate line of 70 or more receiving yards (+235) after hitting that total in back-to-back weeks.
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