Underdog Best Ball Favorite Stacks
The 2022 NFL Draft is long over with. Now is the time of year to turn our attention to fantasy football draft season. That includes redraft, rookies, dynasty startups, and best ball. For now, I am going to focus on Underdog Best Ball drafts and highlight some of my favorite stacks and will include their current ADP.
For those of you that are not familiar with the term stacking, it just means pairing your quarterback with one or more of their pass-catchers. This creates a positive correlation since each time your pass catcher gains fantasy points, so will your quarterback. Of course, I would love to stack Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Justin Herbert but with the high ADP of their stacking options, it is not always an option. Below are the stacks that I love getting because they all have a chance to provide much better finishes than their current ADP.
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Matthew Stafford (87.8 ADP) Allen Robinson (70.1 ADP)
Fresh off their Super Bowl win the Rams went out and signed Allen Robinson to take over WR2 duties. Matthew Stafford finished last season as the QB6 and is now being taken as the QB12. I get the rushing upside is not there, but they threw the ball over 600 times last year and we can expect them to do something very similar next season. I do not mind grabbing Stafford in the seventh round and trying to pair him with Robinson.
Coming off the worst season of his career, look for Robinson to bounce back with this high-powered Rams offense and Cooper Kupp taking away a lot of the defense’s attention.
Justin Fields (117.8) Darnell Mooney ( 67.7) Cole Kmet (144.5)
I get the concern with Justin Fields having a poor rookie season, but he showed a lot of improvement over the latter part of the season. He topped 16 fantasy points in four of his last five games and was hurt early in the game he missed. While he will certainly have to improve his passing accuracy he gives us elite rushing upside. Last season he ran for 420 yards at a 5.8 YPC.
Darnell Mooney comes in as the 31st wide receiver off of the boards and I think that is too low. He finished last season as WR23 and Robinson is now on the Rams. Mooney was top 20 in the NFL last year in routes, targets, snaps, receptions, and yards. If we see continued growth in Fields, then Mooney is in for a top 20 fantasy finish which is outperforming his ADP.
I also like pairing Fields with Cole Kmet, who is being drafted as TE16 and certainly has a chance to outperform this price tag. Last season Kmet finished ninth among tight ends for targets and had the second-highest snap count. He received six end zone targets but did not record a single touchdown. With some positive touchdown regression and some improvement out of Fields, Kmet is a prime candidate to outperform his ADP.
Davis Mills (200.4) Brandin Cooks (69.9)
Davis Mills is coming off the board as QB28. Last season, after only playing in parts of 13 games, finished as QB29. Mills showed some promise in that time frame, completing 67% of his throws. He posted four top-10 fantasy performances last season giving you real fantasy upside out of the 16th round. Houston is still not a good team and will be playing from behind often, giving Mills steady passing volume to build on his solid rookie campaign.
Brandin Cooks comes in as WR32 after a 20th place finish last season. Cooks has finished as a top-20 fantasy wide receiver in six of the past eight seasons, and I look for him to do the same this season. Cooks is the clear top option in Houston and is Mills’ favorite target. Last season the pair connected for 69-736-5 on 96 targets. Cooks scored 17 or more fantasy points in half of his games, giving him WR1 upside any given week.
Tom Brady (73.6) Chris Godwin (47.3)
After a quick retirement, Tom Brady is back at the helm for the Bucs, coming off of a third-place fantasy season. With this pass-happy Bucs offense, Brady threw a whopping 719 times which was good for over 42 attempts per game. With new coach Todd Bowles, I expect the number to go down a little bit, but still plenty of volume to exceed the QB9 position he is currently being drafted.
Chris Godwin is currently being taken as the WR19, primarily due to questions about his early-season availability coming off ACL surgery. While the injury is a legitimate concern, the Bucs do not seem to be worried as they gave him an extension that includes $40 million guaranteed. Godwin was the 7th most productive fantasy producer per game last season and in just 14 games, with a 98-1103-5 receiving line and added a rushing touchdown. Whenever Godwin is able to take the field you can expect WR1 numbers in this explosive Bucs offense, greatly outperforming his WR19 ADP.
Carson Wentz (187) Logan Thomas (167.4)
I know I know, recommending Carson Wentz is probably not a very popular thing to do. But, even during his tumultuous Colts stint, he finished as QB18 in fantasy points per game. That is mid-tier QB2 production at QB3 cost. Looking back throughout his career, Wentz has only finished outside of the top 20 in fantasy points per game in his rookie season. Wentz has flashed QB1 numbers in various weeks (6 total) last season, giving him a much higher ceiling than the 26th QB being taken.
I do like pairing him with Terry McLaurin (WR18 ADP), but you are offered a much cheaper price pairing him with his tight end Logan Thomas. Thomas is being taken as TE22 in the 13th round currently, and with a healthy season can outperform this number with ease. In 2020, Thomas finished as a top 10 tight end with a line 72-670-6 on 110 targets.
In Philadelphia, Wentz loved throwing to his tight end, Zach Ertz. During their time together Ertz had 331 catches for 3478 yards and 24 touchdowns. While Thomas is not quite to that level, it is nice to see that Wentz will target the tight end. Thomas has a top 10 finish in his range of outcomes and getting him at TE22 is a steal. Thomas is a very cheap option if you’re punting the tight end position.
Aaron Rodgers (89.5) Allen Lazard (123.2)
My next stack starts with Aaron Rodgers, fresh off an early playoff exit coupled with losing his top pass catcher. As of right now, Rodgers is being taken as the 13th quarterback in best ball drafts after a top-six finish last season. Even without Davante Adams, Rodgers can still put up big numbers as he has shown time and time again. Rodgers is one of the elite quarterbacks that always has massive upside. I am really finding good stack value in pairing him with Allen Lazard.
Over the past three seasons, Lazard has averaged 52.6 targets and over nine yards per target. The loss of Adams creates a massive void of 169 targets from last season. Lazard has already established a connection with Rodgers over the last few seasons and could get a production bump this season with no Adams. Coming off an eight touchdown season and currently, WR55 off the board makes for an easy target in the 10th round.
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