If you look at Isaiah Spiller‘s stat line, you might scratch your head and wonder why he is receiving such hype from the dynasty gurus and NFL Draft analysts. Take a look at the film and you start to get a clearer picture.
Spiller managed to hit the 1,000-yard mark in his final two seasons at Texas A&M, but only ranked 48th in rushing in 2021. But that doesn’t tell the full story. First off, Texas A&M split touches between Spiller and sophomore Devon Achane, with Spiller accounting for 43% of Texas A&M’s total rushes. Secondly, Texas A&M did not have what I’d consider a stellar offensive line, which is obviously a significant variable in rushing success. So where does that leave us with Spiller?
My first line of thinking is that I would be surprised to see Isaiah Spiller come in as a three-down running back. But I don’t expect that from most running backs in this class. At this point, I don’t see a Najee Harris-type player in this class. I think most likely this draft is going to produce several running backs that are stashes for most or all of 2022, and maybe standout late in the year or take a big step forward in year two or three.
With that in mind, there are several traits I like about Isaiah Spiller. First off, he is proficient in pass protection. I know fantasy leagues don’t score for that, but to me, it’s significant because of how teams will view that. I imagine Spiller will get more snaps because of his ability to provide chip help when taking routes and his blocking abilities. This will translate to increased target opportunities, providing a decent floor in PPR leagues.
He also is a patient runner, keeping his feet active while picking his best route upfield. These are positive traits that I think will serve him well in the NFL. That said, I see him playing a role in a running back by committee, likely as a number two at least to begin.
Currently, I have Spiller pegged as a second-round pick in dynasty, maybe a late first round. That will certainly shift depending on his landing spot after the NFL Draft. If he ends up with a team that has a good offensive line, he will move up my draft board because of the skill set he brings. Otherwise, he will fall to a late-round stash or a backup plan if my main targets are taken.
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