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Keep Trade Cut — Dynasty Fantasy Football (Week 10)

Keep Trade Cut — Dynasty Fantasy Football (Week 10)

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Welcome to our Week 10 edition of Dynasty Keep Trade Cut at Faceoff Sports Network. As we reach the end of the fantasy football regular season, now is the time to either acquire pieces to compete or look towards the future at each position of your team. In this series, we look at three similarly ranked players for dynasty fantasy football purposes. This week, we’ll swing back to Keep Trade Cut (KTC) and discuss three young wide receivers who need to provide more consistent production going forward.

In dynasty fantasy football, a player’s week-to-week viability factors into their value across the season. That can lead to volatile valuations from managers and trades involving the assets trending up and down. Weekly during the 2023 NFL season, we’ll look at a trio of players who are valued back to back to back. Each week we’ll use a different source. From those rankings, we’ll discuss the three similar players that should be considered worth keeping, trading, or “cutting”, them. No, you won’t be actually cutting these players in most dynasty leagues at this time, but that’s not the purpose of this scenario. Let’s get into it.

Keep Trade Cut

For this exercise, the keeper is a player who can sustain their current value in this season and beyond. In other words, the player who should be valued most by managers or potential managers. The player worth trading is a player whose value may be buoyed by unsustainable volume. That, or is holding a level of value that may be more useful to move along for your team’s makeup. Finally, the “cut” in this scenario is a player who is trending down or has a rapidly changing future outlook, therefore being seen as the least valuable asset in the trio.

Here in Week 10, it’s all about receivers who need a boost as we discuss the WR33, WR47, and WR48 in the current Fantrax Dynasty Rankings.

Kee: WR48 Jerry Jeudy

We start with Denver Broncos wide receiver Jerry Jeudy as this week’s keep, despite sitting as the current WR57 in half-PPR formats this year. Jeudy has offered managers a scoring option with floor this season, mainly due to Jeudy reaching at least 50 yards in five of his seven games, while also seeing at least five targets each game. In 2022, Jeudy would go over 50 yards in 11 of the 14 games he started and finished.

Jeudy came into this season a little banged up and has been an overall disappointment following his strong finish to the 2022 fantasy season. However, he isn’t producing far off what we’ve seen throughout his recent career. He’s still explosive with the football and can do well in space, we’ve just seen Courtland Sutton become a vital target for Russel Wilson early in 2023. A re-calibration of Jeudy’s ceiling may be a good idea for his managers, but this player can be a consistent value, whether it’s for the Broncos or somewhere else. He feels like an ideal flex with his modest volume and ability to make big plays. As a roster’s WR4 or WR5, he’s more than capable of producing.

Trade: WR33 Gabriel Davis

Our most productive wide receiver in the trio is Buffalo Bills receiver Gabriel Davis. However, he finds himself as the trade candidate due to his sporadic scorelines. In best ball formats, the appeal of a player like Davis is evident, for now. He’s currently a top-30 wide receiver in both half-PPR and full-PPR formats.

Conversely, managers who must set a starting lineup know how frustrating this player can be to start (five games with less than 40 yards on the season). Davis has also had three scoring lines of 1.1 points or lower in three of the Bills’ last four games. Ultimately, on the season Davis has 434 yards and five touchdowns overall.

Furthermore, Davis has difficulty stringing together consistent fantasy seasons, despite being a big play threat. Davis has had encouraging red zone involvement in 2023, scoring four of his five touchdowns inside the 20. Unfortunately, the offense hasn’t been as strong as hoped going into the season, and Davis supplying games where he disappears in the box score isn’t helping.

Finally, Davis is the most productive player here, but so much of his fantasy football value comes from his role as a top-two receiver for the Bills and Josh Allen. With the emergence of players such as Dalton Kincaid and James Cook, a change in role may be coming for Davis. He can provide big games but it’s difficult to project when and his floor is difficult to start or build around for fantasy.

Cut: WR47 Jameson Williams

The cut and WR44 from this trio is Detroit Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams. Needless to say, he’s a player who has had a difficult beginning to his football career. He began injured last season and wasn’t able to make himself a fixture in the offense towards the end of the year. Now in his second year, his development has taken a back seat to the roles of David Montgomery, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Sam LaPorta. Williams’ role was a question mark when the only healthy threatening option on the team was Amon-Ra St. Brown. Now, since the team has multiple offensive options that have secured targets, William’s fantasy future has become more bleak.

Williams only has six catches and 71 yards through four games this season. Additionally, he hasn’t seen over 50% of the snaps in any game. Williams’s speed coming out was seen as game-changing and it could still be that. However, how often it will be used is another question altogether. The highest target total in his career came in Week 7 of this year with six, a game in which he didn’t get a catch. He isn’t seeing many targets and everyone else in this offense is seemingly finding quality targets. All things considered, it may be worth getting something out of Williams right now if there are many believers left in your league.

All in all, these three young wide receivers have found themselves under different levels of scrutiny throughout their professional careers. Both Jeudy and Williams came in with massive expectations tied to their capital and fantasy upside. Unfortunately, neither has provided what managers want in a WR1 and may never reach those peaks. However, all three of these receivers have some level of value to play or trade. That’s what makes dynasty football so fun.

We’ve seen Jeudy be the most consistent producer in this sporadic trio recently and he also seems to have enough value to be staving off rookie Marvin Mims Jr. on the depth chart. Moving players like Davis who go through peaks and lows are gonna keep your team fresh and searching for consistency, while Williams was a huge swing to take in rookie drafts. Sometimes those just don’t pan out right away, especially with the talent surrounding Williams out in Detroit. Overall, Jeudy may have the best long-term outlook if he moves to another team. However, that might not be likely until at least the 2025 offseason. For now, be satisfied with Jeudy as a consistent performer who may be a great piece for a contender to take a chance on.


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