Monday Night Football Player Prop Bets – Seahawks vs. Giants
Welcome back to Fanelli’s Fave Five Prop Bets.
Week 3 of the 2023 NFL regular season is in the books. Hopefully, bettors came away with more money in their pockets than they started the week with. However, the grind never stops. So, let’s not waste any time and get down to business with this week’s Monday Night Football matchup.
Monday Night we have a matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and the New York Giants. While fans will have their eyes glued to the game, watching every play with the utmost attention, sports bettors only care about making money. However, which prop bets will lead to cash in their pockets? Here are my five favorite prop bets for Monday’s game.
All props and odds are from DraftKings as of 9/30/23
Geno Smith Over 249.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The veteran quarterback had a rocky Week 1 performance, totaling 112 passing yards on only 26 attempts. However, Smith has played better over the past two weeks, averaging 312 passing yards on 38.5 attempts, totaling at least 296 yards and 36 attempts in both contests. More importantly, Seattle’s offense is clicking. After scoring only 13 points against the Los Angeles Rams, the Seahawks have scored 37 points in back-to-back weeks.
No one should be surprised that New York’s defense has struggled to slow down opposing quarterbacks this season. The Giants have a young unit, including two rookie starting cornerbacks. They have surrendered 227 passing yards to quarterbacks this year. However, that includes the blowout Week 1 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. By comparison, the Giants have given up 269 passing yards per game over the past two weeks, the 11th-most in the NFL.
Kenneth Walker to Score an Anytime Touchdown (-110)
When the Seahawks picked Zach Charbonnet in the second round of the NFL Draft, everyone assumed the backfield would become a 50-50 split. However, Walker has remained the featured guy. The second-year running back has accounted for 69.1% of the backfield’s rushing attempts, 68.2% of the rushing yards, and 100% of the touchdowns. Furthermore, he has accounted for half of Seattle’s offensive touchdowns this season.
Walker has the second-most rushing touchdowns in the NFL entering Week 4 (four), only behind Raheem Mostert (six). The former Michigan State star has been on fire since opening weekend, scoring two touchdowns in back-to-back games. Meanwhile, the Giants’ pass defense has been awful this season. Unfortunately, their run defense hasn’t been much better. New York has given up four rushing touchdowns to running backs this year, the fifth-most in the league.
Darius Slayton Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
The Giants didn’t add a No. 1 caliber wide receiver this offseason, instead trading for Darren Waller. Unfortunately, that leaves Slayton as the team’s most proven and consistent wide receiver. The veteran has averaged only 36.3 receiving yards per game this season. However, he has faced two of the top defenses in the NFL – the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers. In the other matchup this year, Slayton had 62 receiving yards on only three receptions.
Last year, the veteran averaged 45.3 receiving yards per game. Furthermore, Slayton averaged 55.7 receiving yards per game in the 13 contests that he played at least 20% of the snaps. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have struggled to slow down opposing passing attacks this season. They have surrendered 255 receiving yards per game to wide receivers, the second-most in the NFL. While Riq Woolen will play this week, all it takes is one downfield reception for Slayton to hit the over on this prop bet.
DK Metcalf Over 4.5 Receptions (-140)
Seattle has arguably the top trio of wide receivers in the NFL. While Tyler Lockett has been a star for several years, Metcalf is the team’s clear-cut No. 1 wide receiver. Rookie Jaxon Smith-Njigba has shown flashes but will take some time to get going. The former Ole Miss star had a slow start in Week 1, totaling three receptions on five targets for 47 receiving yards. However, he has been much better over the past two weeks. Metcalf has had at least six receptions for 75 receiving yards in back-to-back games. Last year, the star receiver had six receptions on 10 targets for 55 receiving yards against the Giants.
New York’s secondary has struggled to slow down opposing wide receivers. They have surrendered 10 receptions on 15.3 targets for 145.7 receiving yards per game to the position this season. However, the Giants have had no answer for opposing No. 1 wide receivers. CeeDee Lamb, Marquise Brown, and Deebo Samuel have averaged 5.3 receptions on 8.7 targets for 86.7 receiving yards against New York this year. Metcalf will have no trouble totaling at least five receptions against the Giants’ young secondary on Monday night.
Jason Myers Over 1.5 Made Field Goals (+100)
Rarely will I consider kicking prop bets for this article. However, Myers has played well this season. The veteran has made every extra-point attempt and converted 72.7% of his field goals. Seattle has repeatedly given him chances to put up points. Myers has eight made field goal attempts this season, including five last week against the Carolina Panthers. More importantly, the veteran has attempted at least three field goals in every game this year.
Meanwhile, the Giants’ defense has had a theme this season – bend but don’t break. While New York has given up plenty of yards, they have forced teams to settle for field goals. Opposing kickers have attempted at least two field goals in every game against the Giants this year. More importantly, they have converted 87.5% of those kicks, making at least two in every contest. Myers made both field goal attempts in last year’s matchup against New York.
Next Up – Travis Kelce Prop Bets for Chiefs vs. Jets
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