2022 Shriners Children’s Open – Picks, Odds, and Values

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Greetings folks! We’re off to the races in this year’s PGA Tour season. After a clutch victory from Mackenzie Hughes last week in Jackson, we head out west to Sin City where the Shriners Children’s Open returns to TPC Summerlin. A place that’s been home to this event for over a decade and counting. Let’s get right into it with 2022 Shriners Children’s Open – Picks, Odds, and Values.

Defending champion and international superstar, Sungjae Im, will be one of the favorites this week alongside President’s Cup competitors,  Patrick Cantlay and Max Homa.

Homa will look to pick up where he left off after an impressive showing at the Presidents Cup and a victory at the Fortinet Championship just a few weeks prior.

Cantlay, who captured his first PGA Tour victory at this event back in 2018, will be making his PGA Tour season debut as the lead favorite at +600. He’s been known to tear this place apart, holding a title and two runner-up finishes since joining the tour.

Should be an exciting one this week in Vegas. The odds board is looking juicy with a bunch of players who can cause damage at this track. Glad to lead you in the right direction for some big-time cash-outs. Without further ado, let’s get right into this week’s Shriners Children’s Open Picks, Odds, and Values.

Tournament History

Founded in 1983, the Shriners Children’s Open is played annually as part of the fall swing on the PGA Tour. It was originally designed as a 90-hole, 5-round tournament until the format changed to 72 holes in 2004.

Funny enough, this tournament is where Tiger Woods captured his first PGA Tour victory beating out Davis Love III in a final-round playoff back in 1996. The same year he was named PGA Tour Rookie of the Year. Go figure.

This event has a ton of history embedded since its inception back in 1983. Even though the field may not be the strongest, making the trip to Vegas fuels the fire for a lot of these younger players. Making the vets that much hungrier for a victory.

Excited to see how the third event of the year plays out.

Course Breakdown

TPC Summerlin was designed by Bobby Weed who is a highly praised architect in the business. To name a few, he designed TPC Sawgrass, Stadium Course where The Players Championship is held, TPC River Highlands, and even Michael Jordan’s new golf club located in Jupiter, FL.

This course is a par 71 and measures about 7,200 yards. It’s one of the easiest courses on the PGA Tour, ranking 6th in that category as of last year.

The fairways and rough will be Bermuda grass and the greens bent grass. They will be running about 11 on the stimpmeter, which is a bit slower than last week at the Country Club of Jackson.

Year after year, PGA Tour players rip this place apart. Last year, Sungjae Im won this event at 22 under,  Martin Laird and Kevin Na at 23 under, and Bryson DeChambeau at 21 under. There is no denying this week should turn out to be a birdie fest.

Not so fast there, partner. One thing to look out for this week is the form of weather. Serious windy conditions come into play at this place from time to time.

When Cantlay won back in 2017, his winning score was nine under par due to gusty conditions. Thankfully, mother nature seems to be looking out for us this week in Vegas. As the looks of it, we’ll be in the clear for this year’s Shriner’s!

Keys to Victory

• Strokes Gained: Putting  (Bent Grass)
• Strokes Gained: Approach
• Greens-in-regulation
• Consecutive Birdie Streaks

TPC Summerlin is an easy track to score on. The fairways are wide and even more generous. Just don’t miss big or you’ll find yourself in the middle of the desert. Given the elevation of about 2,500 feet, the course plays shorter than you think, enabling the ball to carry that much more.

You have to be able to hit greens in regulation at TPC Summerlin. Like last week, the strokes gained approach metric is one of the most important stats to success at TPC Summerlin.

Look to target players with strong tee-to-green numbers. When Sungjae won this event last year, he ranked in the top 5 in tee-to-green metrics which played a massive part in his victory.

The last thing you want to do is leave yourself tricky chip shots around to the green to go up and down for par. Find the green on your second shot and start to see some putts roll in for birdie. This tournament should turn into a putting contest.

My outright card below consists of five players who I believe have the best chance at winning this tournament given their prowess on approach, ideally in the 150-175 range, ability with the flat-stick, and recent performance not only at this track but on tour as a whole.

Time to make some money folks!

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Outright #1

Patrick Cantlay +600

Odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Patrick Cantlay is the clear-cut favorite this week at 6 to 1.  And rightfully so, I see no issue with this number given his track record at this place.

In four career starts at TPC Summerlin, Cantlay holds a victory, two second-place finishes, and a T8. And as of late, Cantlay has been playing some elite golf.

He played phenomenally at the Presidents Cup, he won the BMW Championship late last season and has plenty of T10 finishes in last season’s play.

The ball-striking numbers are firing on all cylinders and he has gained strokes with the flat stick in seven of his last nine excluding the Presidents Cup.

To keep it short and sweet here, there’s no reason not to place a wager on Cantlay this week. Outside of Sungjae and Homa, he’s the best player in this field. There is no doubt Cantlay will be a moderately heavy play of mine this week.

Excited to see how the Cali native backs up his play at a track he’s utterly dominated over the last few years.

Outright #2

Emiliano Grillo +5000

Odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Time and time again the question with Grillo revolved around the flat stick. And I think we are through folks. The native from Argentina has been finding something as of late.

After a stellar performance last week at the Sanderson, a tournament he probably should have won given a triple bogey on the par five 14th is his final nine, he still managed to finish T5.

Grillo has gained strokes putting in seven straight starts. In those events, he has two runner-up-finishes, a T5, and a T19. There’s no doubt that Grillo is at least a top seven putter in this week’s event.

Let alone the flat stick, the ball striking numbers have been pure as well. Grillo has gained at least seven strokes three different times in that category dating back to the John Deere Classic.

With the way Grillo has been performing, it would be foolish not to have him on my card this week. This value caught my eye right away. Just too good of a number for a guy who is on the threshold of a victory.  Let it fly with Grillo this week folks. Let it fly.

Outright #3

Tom Hoge +6000

Odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Coming off the Tour Championship with a very respectable performance and a T12 at the Fortinet, Hoge has found his rhythm.

He gained strokes across the board in Napa and putted the rock very well, gaining just under three strokes with the flat stick and about six in the ball striking category.

He has a nice track record at TPC Summerlin, holding a T14 and T24 in his last two starts here. In his last 24 rounds, he gains just over a half a stoke on approach to the field. Not to mention, he’s one of the best short-iron players on tour.

I think the Hoge summer slump has drifted away. If you parlay the form he’s currently in with his ability at this track, I believe the 33-year-old out of North Carolina can be right there with the leaders come Sunday.

Outright #4

K.H Lee +6500

Odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Talk about a money maker of an outright this can be. I am puzzled as to why this is the number next to KH Lee.

Even though the international team came up short in this year’s Presidents Cup, I believe many players on the squad left Quail Hollow with an abundance of confidence. KH Lee is no doubt one of those guys.

KH Lee had a phenomenal stunt in his President’s Cup debut. He played a total of 3 rounds and finished with a record of 2-1, including an impressive win against Billy Horschel in Sunday singles where he closed him out on the 17th hole.

There’s no doubt KH will have an extra motor coming into his first event of the season. Not to mention, he fits the narrative of this track extremely well. Hit the driver kind of accurately, and then go to work with the second shot and flat stick.   The last two are some of his best abilities on a golf course.

He also tore this place up last year, finishing T14 at 15 under par. Truly feel like KH is being overlooked this week as a ton of the public will likely be on Mito Pereira, who was Lee’s teammate in this year’s President’s cup.

Stoked to see what we get out of the 33-year-old from South Korea.

Outright #5 (Sprinkle)

Joel Dahmen +15000

Odds are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Let’s be great folks. Good luck.

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