Dynasty Buys, Sells, And Holds: Preseason Week 3

Welcome back to our weekly dynasty fantasy football series, where we delve into the weekly performances that have left an impact on the general trade market. Throughout this series, we’ll steer you through key choices that shape your team’s fate. In the final week of the preseason, we assess prime targets for your lineup, players to let go, and players worth your patience. In case you missed it, you can find last week’s edition of this series here.

As preseason wraps up, this series aims to fine-tune your decision-making. Whether you’re a seasoned pro or a newbie, staying updated on the evolving dynasty landscape is a winning strategy.

As a preface, when I say “Buy”, “Sell”, or “Hold”, it is in reference to the price shown by the trades that accompany the player section. As a baseline, all of the trades are sourced from 12-team Superflex/2QB leagues. So, let’s dive in and take your team management to the next level!

Anthony Richardson

On Thursday, we got our second glimpse of Richardson in a Colts uniform against live action, and he showed significant improvement from his first performance against the Bills. While he began with a few off-target throws, he quickly settled, leading to consecutive touchdown drives.

Richardson benefited from the Colts’ use of play-action and RPOs, simplifying the decisions he has to make. Expect Coach Shane Steichen to maintain this strategy early in the season, aiding Richardson’s transition to the pros.

With his legs, Richardson can excel immediately in fantasy, though he must refine post-snap adjustments and reads should he look to be the face of the Colts for years to come.

Did the Colts rush in declaring QB1? Gardner Minshew, a new addition, has arguably outperformed the physically imposing rookie this preseason. Here’s a direct comparison between their stat lines.

	Completion Percentage	Passing Yards	Rushing Yards	Total Touchdowns	Interceptions
Gardner Minshew	87.5% (28/32)	281	2	2	0
Anthony Richardson	44.8% (13/29)	145	45	0	1

My take on this? I think it should be obvious that a NFL veteran like Minshew would outplay a rookie who threw less than 400 passes in college. Inexperience aside, naming Richardson Week 1 starter was the Colts’ correct call. He should be given ample room to make mistakes, thrive, and grow against real-deal NFL defenses on Sundays.

As for the dynasty implications, I think it’s safe to say he is a volatile asset. If his season starts out bumpy, with few highs and many lows, his value should hold. However, if he were to come on strong to end the year, his value could very well skyrocket into the upper echelon of dynasty quarterback rankings.

Trade One: Daniel Jones, 2024 first round pick, 2024 second round pick

Trade Two: Sam Howell, Jordan Addison, 2024 first round pick

My Verdict: Hold

Marvin Mims

Marvin Mims’ potential is on the rise as Tim Patrick, the Broncos’ WR3, suffered another season-ending injury during early camp. Furthermore, Jerry Jeudy, the presumed WR1, is grappling with a grade II sprained hamstring. These developments create an early opportunity for Mims to establish himself in Sean Payton’s offensive scheme, catching the eye of Russell Wilson.

Mims honed his skills during a three-year stint at Oklahoma, with his breakout season coming in his junior year. In 2022, he showcased his prowess by securing 54 passes for 1,083 yards and six touchdowns. His remarkable average of 19.5 yards per reception at Oklahoma underscores his deep-threat potential. At the NFL scouting combine, Mims displayed impressive speed, tying for fourth place among wide receivers with a 4.38-second 40-yard dash and ranking fourth in the three-cone drill with a time of 6.9 seconds.

Denver’s new leadership handpicked Mims, trading up to secure him with the 63rd pick of the NFL Draft. It’s not a stretch to envision Mims fitting the mold of Tyler Lockett, a type of wide receiver that Russell Wilson has excelled with in the past. This combination of circumstances paints a promising picture for Mims’ future prospects.

Trade One: Jaylen Warren, 2024 third round pick

Trade Two: Josh Downs, 2024 third round pick

My Verdict: Buy

Justyn Ross

Justyn Ross showcased his skills at Clemson, teaming up with Trevor Lawrence for an impressive freshman year. However, neck concerns affected his draft prospects. Ross delivered 1,865 yards and 17 touchdowns in his first two seasons, followed by 514 yards and 3 touchdowns in the last. Overcoming injuries, including a foot stress fracture, Ross is ready for mini-camp.

With a redshirt year behind him, Ross now boasts potential as a top-tier receiver. Comfortable and healthy, he’s poised to excel in 2023 by refining routes and thriving against challenges like double coverage. His emergence as an outside X receiver adds a new dimension to the Chiefs’ offense, a facet not seen since Sammy Watkins.

Despite impressive training camp displays and upside potential, the Chiefs’ primary wide receiver lineup is established per reports out. Fantasy excitement might not be high, with veterans Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Justin Watson as returning contributors. Skyy Moore’s role is set to solidify after his own redshirt year, while Kadarius Toney is expected to shine when back. Not to mention the addition of receiver Rashee Rice in the second round of the most recent NFL Draft.

Ross is a hidden gem, obtained at a likely low cost due to his draft position and lack of rookie-year production. However, his age and acquisition price could impact his dynasty value’s durability. Not to mention his UDFA status puts him on a very narrow track to success to begin with. In fact, as of today, there are only four wide receivers ranked within the top 50 on Keep Trade Cut that were drafted on day three.

Trade One: 2024 second round pick, 2024 third round pick

Trade Two: Baker Mayfield

My Verdict: Sell

Tyree Wilson

Tyree Wilson, a standout talent, possesses the versatility to excel in the NFL. Throughout his college career, he dominated opponents with his unique attributes. In his final season with the Red Raiders, he showcased his skills in 538 snaps across 10 games.

During this time, Wilson accumulated an impressive stat line: 37 tackles, 15 assists, and 32 stops. What sets him apart is his exceptional pass-rushing ability, totaling 50 pressures for the season. This includes 32 quarterback hurries, 10 quarterback hits, and an impressive 8 sacks.

While he may not start the season as a primary starter, Wilson will play a crucial role as the No. 3 pass rusher for the Las Vegas Raiders. The team plans to rotate him extensively, ensuring he shares the field with Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones. If Wilson can disrupt the passing game as a rookie, he’s poised to make a significant impact for the Raiders. And if this play is any indication of his impact, tackles around the league should look out.

Trades: I could not find any standalone trades, however, his talent should win out sooner than later.

My Verdict: Hold

Bryce Young

Bryce Young’s Friday night performance showed dynasty managers a glimpse into the future. Among the three exhibition games, this stood out as his finest showing for the Panthers. The same improvement applied to Carolina’s offense.

During Young’s two possessions before exiting, the Panthers secured 10 points. A highlight was his 16-yard touchdown throw to Adam Thielen on the game’s final play. Notably, Young displayed enhanced scrambling skills compared to the past month.

His stats for the night tallied up to 7-of-12 passes for 73 yards, a touchdown, and zero turnovers. Additionally, he ran three times for 21 yards. Amidst an injury-burdened receiving corps, veteran Thielen emerged as his preferred target. Thielen not only snagged the sideline-route touchdown but also accumulated four receptions from Young’s seven completions.

Young, set to begin as an NFL Week One starter, might face Fantasy limitations due to cautious coaching and a lack of standout receivers. While his refined skills could slightly boost his teammates’ stats, major improvements to the supporting cast might take a year or two. Although he’s not primarily a runner, he’ll contribute some rushing production.

Trade One: Tony Pollard, 2024 first round pick

Trade Two: Kyler Murray

My Verdict: Hold

Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson showcased promise with another positive showing. The second-year Cleveland quarterback connected on 5 of 10 passes, amassing 92 yards and a touchdown. A standout moment was a graceful touch pass to tight end David Njoku. On the subsequent drive, Watson impressed again, evading pressure to find Amari Cooper for a 53-yard gain. At the conclusion of that third drive, up 22-3 on the scoreboard, the Browns benched Watson.

Moreover, the Browns are optimizing their offense for Watson’s potential, bringing in receivers Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman. Despite a challenging 2022, the team’s offensive line remains strong, with the prospect of reclaiming elite status. A new offensive scheme centered around Watson is in the works, promising a more dynamic 2023 season.

Formerly a top-tier quarterback, Watson’s extended absence left him rusty. Yet at 28, a rebound is plausible, supported by a talented receiving group. The team’s success hinges on his recovery to pre-suspension form. For savvy investors, there’s potential in banking on a discounted Watson for substantial returns.

Trade One: Rhamondre Stevenson, Trey Palmer, Justyn Ross

Trade Two: Daniel Jones, 2024 second round pick

My Verdict: Buy

Garrett Wilson

Wilson teamed up with new quarterback Aaron Rodgers for their 2023 preseason debuts with the Jets last Saturday. The dynamic duo effortlessly connected for a 14-yard touchdown to cap off the first team’s second drive. With the Jets acquiring the two-time MVP this offseason, Wilson is primed to elevate his game.

Last season, the Ohio State product racked up an impressive 83 receptions, 1103 yards, and 4 touchdowns. He clinched the AFC Rookie of the Year, catching passes from Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco, and Mike White. Now, expectations soar with Rodgers joining the mix.

In the competitive AFC East, the Jets face an uphill battle, leading to many tight games, and therefore consistent targets for Wilson. Rodgers has a history of thriving with top-notch wide receivers, and Garrett Wilson fits the bill. He’s known for his precise route running from any alignment, dependable hands, and sharp cuts, making him a true alpha receiver. For dynasty, this year, and for years to come, he is a potential league-winning receiver.

Trade One: Tee Higgins, David Njoku, 2024 second round pick

Trade Two: Michael Pittman Jr, Rhamondre Stevenson, 2024 first round pick

My Verdict: Buy

Rachaad White

The Buccaneers displayed unwavering confidence in Rachaad White’s ability to take on the starting role this year within new offensive coordinator Dave Canales’ zone running scheme.

White certainly lived up to expectations. In just nine plays, he exhibited explosive moves, agility, and strength, consistently gaining extra yards after tackles. Carrying the ball seven times for 39 yards and catching a two-yard pass, White’s yards per carry averaged an impressive 5.6. He solidified his claim as a “three-down back” by playing all nine snaps alongside the starters.

However, the retirement of Tom Brady leaves the quarterback room manned by Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask, both of which are certainly not what I’d dare to compare to the GOAT. This leads me to the conclusion that Tampa Bay’s offense will operate at a slower pace, with fewer plays, reduced efficiency, and lower scoring compared to the Brady era. This prompts the question, just how can White deliver meaningful fantasy value?

Granted, White might experience an outlier season in terms of touchdowns, or an unforeseen boost in efficiency. These scenarios are within the realm of possibility. However, our focus should center on the most probable outcomes.

The likely scenario is that White maintains his performance from last year, albeit within a slower and less effective overall offense. If he faces even moderate competition for touches from rookie addition Sean Tucker, there’s a chance he could struggle to reach a consistent 10 points per game as a running back.

Trade One: 2025 first round pick, 2024 third round pick

Trade Two: Calvin Ridley

My Verdict: Sell

George Pickens

In the recent Thursday match against the Falcons, we witnessed yet another astonishing catch by second-year wide receiver George Pickens. He’s becoming known for these acrobatic downfield plays.

Additionally, I’d anticipate a more pass-oriented approach from Pittsburgh’s offense in 2023, resulting in increased downfield opportunities for Pickens. What’s even more captivating is the potential use of Pickens in the red zone, capitalizing on his 6-foot-3 stature and outstanding ball skills for numerous touchdowns.

It’s nearly certain that Pickens will continue his second-year breakthrough. However, considering the presence of seasoned player Diontae Johnson, set for over 120 targets if injury-free, there are limitations to Pickens’ overall potential in Pittsburgh.

Trade One: Kenneth Walker III

Trade Two: 2024 first round pick

My Verdict: Buy

In today’s dynasty fantasy football market, player values change quickly. To build a winning strategy, you need sharp insights into player values. Make smart purchases, plan your sales, and hold strategically to shape your team’s success. Stay ahead by using new trends, thinking about player potential, and team dynamics. Before the season starts, these actions could make you stand out in dynasty leagues.

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