Dynasty Fantasy Football: Week 11 Buys and Sells

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Now that we are through the first half of the season, dynasty managers have a clearer picture of their dynasty teams and how they really stack up. When everyone has a 2-0, 1-1, or 0-2 record after Week 2, it’s easy to say you’re team is a contender regardless of the record. However, that isn’t the case.

The 2022 NFL season is flashing right before our eyes, and several players have seen a rise or fall in their fantasy value. Your 2023 rookie drafts are going to be here before you know it. Younger players have shown superstar potential, while others have struggled to earn playing time. Some veteran players are showing signs of regression, while others remain the fantasy stars they were last season.

While everyone loves a buy low and sell high article, I’m focusing on four players I would consider trading for or trading away. Some of these players will be buy low and sell high candidates, while others will be buy high and sell low candidates.

As always, feel free to DM me on Twitter (@Mike_NFL2) with trade questions specific to your fantasy league.

*All stats in this article are based on 1/2-Point PPR scoring.

Buy: Cole Kmet, TE, Chicago Bears

Coming into the year, Cole Kmet was my favorite sleeper tight end. The former Notre Dame star had zero touchdowns last year but flashed to close out the season. In the final three healthy games last year that Justin Fields started, Kmet averaged 7.3 targets per game, up 25.4% from his season average. Kmet also averaged 8.3 fantasy points per game, up 34.9% from his season average. His 8.3 fantasy points per game average would have made him the TE8 over a 17-game pace. Furthermore, Kmet averaged 8.3 fantasy points per game during that span despite not scoring a touchdown. More importantly, the third-year tight end has been on fire lately.

Over the past three weeks, Kmet has been the TE1, averaging 16.3 fantasy points per game. Furthermore, he has the same fantasy point-per-game average as Travis Kelce during that span. The former second-round pick has five receiving touchdowns over the past three weeks, scoring twice in back-to-back games. Kmet has also seen a massive uptick in targets lately. After averaging 2.5 targets per game over the first eight games of the year, the former Notre Dame star has 13 over the past two weeks. Fields is turning into a fantasy superstar in front of our eyes. Kmet has become one of his favorite targets. Now is the time to trade for the young tight end.

Buy: Greg Dulcich, TE, Denver Broncos

After spending the first five weeks of the year on injured reserve, Greg Dulcich has played well. He averaged 5.7 targets and 10.1 fantasy points per game in his first three career contests. More importantly, the rookie tight end was second on the team in targets during that span. However, Dulcich had a disappointing performance in Week 10 against the Tennessee Titans, catching only one of his four targets for 11 yards and scoring 1.6 fantasy points. While that is disheartening, now is the time to target the former UCLA star in trade negotiations.

Denver’s offense has been a disaster all year long. Furthermore, the rookie tight end was the lone bright spot on offense until last week’s down performance. However, Dulcich is the unquestioned future starting tight end for the Broncos. When the team traded Noah Fant to the Seattle Seahawks as part of the Russell Wilson deal, fantasy players were excited to see Albert Okwuegbunam as the starter. However, he got drafted by former general manager John Elway. Meanwhile, Dulcich got picked by the current general manager George Paton. Don’t let one bad performance scare you off. Dulcich is a superstar in the making.

Sell: Joe Mixon, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

Contending teams should hold on to Joe Mixon. He is a top-five running back this season, averaging 17 fantasy points per game. However, he is coming off a historic five touchdowns and 53.1 fantasy points performance in Week 9 before the team’s bye in Week 10. While his performance was one for the record books, Mixon had scored double-digit fantasy points in four of his previous five contests before the Week 9 matchup. However, 34.8% of his fantasy points this season came in the Week 9 game against the Carolina Panthers.

The veteran running back averaged only 12.5 fantasy points per game over the first eight weeks of the season, making him the RB14 during that span. Meanwhile, Mixon is 26 years old and at the age when running backs are at risk of starting their decline. More importantly, the Bengals could move on from Mixon after the 2022 season and save $7.4 million in cap space. With Joe Burrow and Tee Higgins up for massive contract extensions in the offseason, the Bengals might need to move on from the star running back for salary cap reasons. Rebuilding teams should sell now, as Mixon’s fantasy value will never be higher.

Sell: Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

Like Mixon, Mecole Hardman’s fantasy value is at an all-time high. The fourth-year receiver missed the Week 10 matchup with an abdominal injury. However, he scored five total touchdowns in the previous three games on only 15 touches (33.3% touchdown rate). By comparison, Hardman had 13 touchdowns on 156 touches (8.3% touchdown rate) in his career before his three-game hot streak. Unfortunately, all five of his touchdowns were by design. More importantly, the Chiefs aren’t committed to Hardman long-term.

He is in the last year of his rookie contract. Meanwhile, the team recently traded for Kadarius Toney, who had 90 scrimmage yards, a touchdown, and 17 fantasy points on Sunday. Also, Kansas City opted against paying Tyreek Hill last off-season. Lastly, rookie Skyy Moore is waiting in the wings. The second-round rookie is part of the team’s future, while Hardman is not. Fantasy players should trade away the former Georgia receiver while they still can. Three months from now, fantasy players might struggle to get a late-round rookie pick for Hardman.

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