Underdog Best Ball Discount Stacks
Best ball is one of the most underrated forms of fantasy football. It’s a great way to scratch the fantasy itch all off-season long without adding a dozen new leagues to your in-season workload.
Like all forms of fantasy football, stacking players is a popular strategy. Stacking players on high-powered offenses could be the difference between winning and losing some weeks. However, stacking players on high-powered offenses come at a price.
Everyone would love to stack Justin Herbert with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams or Josh Allen with Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. However, that would require using three of your top four selections to build that stack.
Instead, here are four best ball stacks you can create on Underdog using only players with an ADP outside the top 100.
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Aaron Rodgers (110.3) & Robert Tonyan (156.6), Romeo Doubs (214.4)
While the Green Bay receiving core took a hit in the offseason, Aaron Rodgers remains one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. He had the same number of passing touchdowns as Patrick Mahomes but averaged 5.5 fewer pass attempts per game.
Allen Lazard is currently the highest drafted Packers wide receiver on average, with an ADP of 79.5. While rookie Christian Watson has an ADP of 119.3, he is not the ideal target for this stack. Instead, you want to grab Robert Tonyan (TE18 off the board) and Doubs (WR100 off the board) with your later-round picks.
Tonyan averaged 3.45 fantasy points per target in the two games Davante Adams missed in 2020. Meanwhile, Doubs has gotten plenty of hype all offseason long. Coming from a Nevada pass-happy offense, he has the experience needed to fill the WR1 role in Green Bay this year. Furthermore, he has been the star of training camp for the Packers, making highlights play after play.
Justin Fields (126.3) & Cole Kmet (129.5), Byron Pringle (213.9)
Justin Fields’ rookie year didn’t go the way many had hoped. He averaged only 10.6 fantasy points per game but improved as the season progressed. After averaging only 6.4 fantasy points per game over his first seven games of the year, Fields averaged 16.4 fantasy points per game over his final five games.
More importantly, Fields started to run more later in the season. He had at least 35 rushing yards in six of the final seven games, averaging 51.6 rushing yards per game during that span. While pairing him with Darnell Mooney is an excellent move, you will likely have to spend a fifth-round pick to secure him.
Instead, Cole Kmet is a popular backup plan and a popular sleeper tight end this year. While he had zero touchdowns last year, Kmet was second on the team in targets with 93. He also had 23 third down targets, 12 red zone targets, and nine deep targets. After receiving a 17.7% target share last season, Kmet should break the 20% barrier this year, given Chicago’s lack of weapons.
If you are inclined to draft a Chicago wide receiver with your last pick, Byron Pringle is your guy. While he had only a 51.9% route participation rate, Pringle averaged 1.76 fantasy points per target last season. He also averaged a deep target once every 4.6 targets. Furthermore, Pringle averaged 10.7 fantasy points per game in the four games with over five targets last year. Pringle is worth a late-round dart throw in a few of your best ball drafts.
Mac Jones (169.8) & Hunter Henry (145.7), Kendrick Bourne (183.1)
Mac Jones is far from the most exciting quarterback to draft. However, he did produce five top-12 weekly finishes during the fantasy season last year, only two fewer than Derek Carr. More importantly, Jones was productive when the Patriots put more on his plate.
Last year he averaged 16.6 fantasy points per game in the five contests with over 35 pass attempts. Jones scored at least 15.2 fantasy points in all but one of those games and threw two or more passing touchdowns three in those contests.
While the Patriots traded for DeVante Parker this offseason, I have no interest in drafting him despite his current ADP (141.3, WR65). He has averaged under 9.7 fantasy points per game in every year of his career except in 2019. That was the final year of Parker’s rookie contract. Parker averaged 1.64 fantasy points per target that year because of a 12.5% touchdowns rate. However, he has averaged only 1.24 fantasy points per target and a 5.8% touchdown rate over the past two years.
Instead, you want to target Hunter Henry and Kendrick Bourne. Last year, Henry had a 23.6% red zone target share, including five targets inside the five-yard line. Furthermore, he accounted for almost 20% of the Patriots’ offensive touchdowns last year. His nine receiving touchdowns were tied for the most in the NFL among tight ends with Mark Andrews, Travis Kelce, and Dawson Knox.
Meanwhile, Bourne was second on the team in receptions (55), receiving yards (800), and receiving touchdowns (five). Jones also targeted Bourne multiple times in critical situations. More importantly, he had a route participation rate of only 70.5%. Yet, he averaged 2.19 fantasy points per target and had a 9.7% red zone target share.
Parker’s injury history is a concern. Instead of using an 11th-round pick on him, you should wait till the final six rounds and target Henry and Bourne.
Davis Mills (206.2) & Nico Collins (159.7), Brevin Jordan (206.5)
The Texans will be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. However, that is good for fantasy teams as a negative game script is a fantasy quarterback’s best friend. Last year, Mills averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game in his 11 starts. However, he averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game over his final six losses as the starter last year. Without a meaningful backup on the roster, Mills will spend the entire year as the unquestioned starter in Houston.
Ideally, you should draft Brandin Cooks at his ADP (50.7, WR24) regardless if you pick Mills or not. Unfortunately, Cooks isn’t eligible for this stack as a fifth-round pick. However, a pair of second-year pass catchers are excellent later-round targets.
Nico Collins was a third-round pick last year, while Brevin Jordan for a fifth-round selection. The two second-year players had mostly quiet rookie seasons but flashed potential.
Collins, the former Michigan star wide receiver averaged only 4.8 fantasy points per game last year. He played only 61.9% of the snaps and had a route participation rate of 73.1%. However, he saw an uptick in targets in the red zone. He had a 14.3% red zone target share and had five targets in the green zone (inside the ten-yard line). Furthermore, Collins was second on the team in deep targets behind Cooks.
Meanwhile, Jordan only played nine games as a rookie. However, he was productive in those games. He averaged 5.1 fantasy points per game for the season. Yet, Jordan averaged 7.9 fantasy points per game in the four games with more than three targets. He also had three top-12 weekly finishes in nine games played, including two top-seven finishes. Furthermore, his role has plenty of room to grow after playing only 40.8% of the snaps and seeing a 9.8% target share last season.
Unfortunately, second-round pick John Metchie announced he has been diagnosed with Leukemia and likely won’t play this season. While everyone wishes him a speedy recovery, his absence will open up more snaps and targets for Collins and Jordan. The Texans have an excellent trio if you want a cheap stack to wrap up your best ball draft.
More Underdog Stacks to target.
– Underdog Fantasy 101 –
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