Just like that, we are seeing the 2023-2024 NFL season wrapping up. After an exciting season of ups and downs, we head into the NFL Conference Championship weekend. In the AFC Championship, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will face off against Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. Following that, the NFC Championship includes Jared Goff and the Lions taking on Brock Purdy and the 49ers.
The NFL Divisional Round in the NFL has come and gone. Hopefully, everyone did well with all your bets. I know I did. Now, we are down to four teams and the route to the Super Bowl travels through Baltimore and San Francisco. So, let’s not waste any time and get into my favorite player props for the Conference Championship round.
Player Prop Bets for the NFL Conference Championships
Lamar Jackson Over 10.5 Rush Attempts (-105)
For my first prop of the weekend, I’m going to attack Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson. I like Jackson to go over his rush attempts set at 10.5. This prop checks all the boxes for me. The biggest game of Jackson’s career. He’s gone over this number in 3 of 4 post-season games.
Furthermore, we also saw an uptick in designed QB rush attempts last week averaging 7 but during the regular season, the Ravens only averaged 4.4 per game. Now, going against the Chiefs who pressure the quarterback at the second-highest rate in the league, it will just lead to more scrambles. Chiefs have allowed a lot of rush attempts vs mobile quarterbacks. Josh Allen had 10+ twice, Jalen Hurts with 12 and Justin Fields had 11 rush attempts.
All in all, it should be another cool, windy rainy day in Baltimore. I love the Ravens to control the ball in this game. Ultimately, I project Jackson to have anywhere from 11 to 12 rush attempts on Sunday.
Isiah Pacheco Over 14.5 Rush Attempts (-108)
Let’s go over to the Chiefs’ side of the ball and attack their running back, Isiah Pacheco. Going back to the rushing attempts market I like the over 14.5 rush attempts from the stud out of Rutgers. Personally, I don’t get why the books continue to post Pacheco’s number this low.
Pacheco has gone over this number in 7 of his last 8 games including both playoff games. We have to continue to ride the hot hand and Pacheco is definitely the best running back Mahomes has ever had. As long as the Chiefs keep this game relatively close, Pacheco should have more than enough volume to go over this number once again.
Same LaPorta Anytime Touchdown (+187)
What a story of a season the rookie from Iowa is having this year! LaPorta had one of the best rookie years for a tight end in NFL history. His 10 regular season touchdowns are second-most by a rookie tight end, trailing only Mike Ditka’s 12 touchdowns in 1961.
Furthermore, LaPorta didn’t score last weekend against the Bucs but still went off for 9 catches and 65 yards. I expect another big game from LaPorta who could create space in the middle of the field. Additionally, we should see a lot of points for both offenses. Most importantly, at plus money for one of the best tight ends in the league to find the end zone, I’ll take that every day.
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